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Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

economist.com

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Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#51
post #4

I have a Tesla and I also hold a short position on TSLA. My Tesla is a great car. The best car that I've ever driven but I'm not sure if it has anything that other car manufacturers can't replicate. I think Apple can make an even better car than Tesla if they build the hardware and software like their phones and computers. The idea that Autopilot has some magic sauce that nobody else can replicate is laughable.

Not sure what the general consensus on Tesla in Norway. Sure, they are great cars during the summer, but during the winter they severely lack the robustness of the traditional car manufacturers. One of them being able to open the car door!

Use the app to unlock the door

https://www.tesla.com/ownersmanual/model3/en_cn/GUID-F907200...

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#52
post #36
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Amazon's AWS definitely should be treated as tech.

AWS, yes. Retail? Nah.

Even back when I worked there in logistics, I wondered how much of AMZN share price comes from AWS and how much comes from retail. But then it is difficult, cash flow comes from retail, profits come from AWS. So Amazon might actually be both, and benefiting from it.

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#53
post #21
post #4

I have a Tesla and I also hold a short position on TSLA. My Tesla is a great car. The best car that I've ever driven but I'm not sure if it has anything that other car manufacturers can't replicate. I think Apple can make an even better car than Tesla if they build the hardware and software like their phones and computers. The idea that Autopilot has some magic sauce that nobody else can replicate is laughable.

> The idea that Autopilot has some magic sauce that nobody else can replicate is laughable. Apparently GM's Supercruise is better, and cheaper. I got enhanced autopilot in my first Tesla. Except for changing lanes, things like summon and autopark are just toys. The auto lane chance is so glitchy I decided I was better off saving seven grand on my second Tesla. But if Enhanced Autopilot was 1-2 grand, I'd have bought…

>"I was better off saving seven grand"

Seven grand for a software update sounds like a ripoff. Especially just for lane change.

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#54
It's not about tech or not tech, it's about potential for growth and earnings. TSLA does not have the upside we all thought, and they are showing no signs of wanting to acquire huge swaths of market share by buying competitors while they have/had the valuation to do so. In other words, TSLA is not realizing their potential to "take over the world" and is behaving like a normal, big company in a mature market.

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#55
post #4

I have a Tesla and I also hold a short position on TSLA. My Tesla is a great car. The best car that I've ever driven but I'm not sure if it has anything that other car manufacturers can't replicate. I think Apple can make an even better car than Tesla if they build the hardware and software like their phones and computers. The idea that Autopilot has some magic sauce that nobody else can replicate is laughable.

> I think Apple can make an even better car than Tesla if they build the hardware and software like their phones and computers. I'm not sure outsourcing manufacturing and focusing on design works in auto industry - but could be wrong.

You’re wrong. Auto manufacturers source parts from a huge variety of outside manufacturers. Auto manufacturers:

1) manage supply chain (hardest part) 2) spec parts (establish quality metrics, change small aspects of design) 3) come up with car concepts 4) assemble parts certain components (e.g. weld the frame, install all the premade parts)

They are not building or designing every component in a car - not even close.

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#56

Why are Rivian and Lucid stocks also getting hammered? All 3 seem to move together. Feels more like EV stocks being dumped.

Maybe its incumbent automakers finally ramping up the competition and putting electric vehicles on the road. Telsa has probably been overvalued for a while and needed to come back to earth but between their R&D and massive lead in charging networks I still think they have a bright future. I think the R1T is the coolest truck on the market right now and the R1S is my most desired suv but now that all of the incumbents are starting to ship electric trucks its going to be hard for them to compete. Those vehicles are like $100k+ with a reasonable configuration. I don't understand Lucid at all.

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#57
post #14

This is true for so many "tech" darlings: Should Uber be priced like a tech company, or a cab company? Is Amazon a tech company or a retailer? Are ecommerce outlets like Warby Parker and Away tech companies, or just retailers with good CSS? It continues to amaze me how investors seem bamboozled by the appearance of "tech company-ness", by businesses which are obviously in markets that don't support the high price to…

Amazon has AWS, Prime services and robots. They’re not like the other companies listed.

Amazon is an everything company. A little tech, a little retail, a little ads,a little logistics, a little entertainment.

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#58
post #4

I have a Tesla and I also hold a short position on TSLA. My Tesla is a great car. The best car that I've ever driven but I'm not sure if it has anything that other car manufacturers can't replicate. I think Apple can make an even better car than Tesla if they build the hardware and software like their phones and computers. The idea that Autopilot has some magic sauce that nobody else can replicate is laughable.

The difference seems to be that Tesla was 5-10 years ahead on everything: Minimalistic interiors, modern infotainment, mobile app performance, and of course they lead the way in making electric cars viable by showing that they can both look good and blast off in record time. But you're right that other automakers see Tesla as a threat and are catching up; for example, the range and charging curve improvements on mode…

Most car buyers don't actually want minimalistic interiors.

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#59
post #49

So does this mean investors can't create new catergories and must think in absolute terms and existing boxes? How would could we, humans who know boxed thinking leads to fallacies and know the world is made of continuums in many (infinte?) dimension, use that to beat the market...?

There’s a saying in trading “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”

Re: Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm

#60
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did they really pivot or is this just Elon Musk's usual smokes and mirrors bullshit to distract people from other issues?

I mean the idea that Elon Musk could extend Tesla into a robot company is laughable — and as laughable all the other things Elon Musk has actually accomplished.

Is that more or less laughable than all the things that he promised but didn't accomplish?
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