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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#7921. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…
"The market for stock photography and grunt level copy writing collapses entirely."
The only thing stopping this from happening is that AI still hasn't figured out how to render hands very well.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#793Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#794Earlier quoted context omitted.
Which country you are in? What is the average salary for senior developer in your country?
In Spain. In the past it was quite hard to break the 40-50K euros barrier. In the last year I have seen more and more offers on the 65-75k range. With puntal 100K.
puntal? Is the salary stack / language dependent?
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#795Trying to predict future based on the past is foolish.
I will try to do my best based on what I register about our times.
My prediction is not about a 2023 specifically, but mostly about
the next 10-20 years. Although, as the rate of change grows, it might
be 2-5 years. I don't know. As i said that, here are my predictions:
1. AI will accelerate change and do so in an unpredictable way. AI won't replace coding or writing or art specifically, but it will make work with computers different. Probably, obsolete.
2. For example: why do you need Windows if you can just run on metal an AI that will behave like Windows/Android/Photoshop/random AAA game/custom CRM software?
3. As the language and reasoning is taken away, we will have a crisis on what it means to be human.
4. We will turn more away from computers and towards our bodies: emotions feelings and desires. Sex, food, hapiness, sadness, death and loss.
5. We will need fountain of youth more than anything else ever. Health industry will blossom. AI accelerated research will give us indefinite healthspan.
6. The last human job will be having experience and chanelling it to the AI that lacks body and desire as well as to other humans who will find AI created experiences too synthetic, not much relatable.
This is my, a little bit out of landish take, but we need to dream big, otherwise what's the point
edit: formatting
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#796Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yeah iirc i was reading about a suspected outbreak of a new disease in China late 2019, I told my coworkers about it too and wondered how it hadn't garnered more attention, or if I had just watched too many bio-horror flicks, or fallen for clickbait-y fear mongering. I never suspected it's impact would have the scale it did, especially after the Ebola containment went so smooth.
Yet you, and nobody else, seems to have posted anything about it on HN https://hn.algolia.com/?dateEnd=1577750400&dateRange=custom&...
If a tree falls and HN doesn't post it, did it ever happen?
I was not on HN prior to covid. The early news I read was likely the plague scare[0], but I definitely read the reuters article[1] when it came out which prompted me to talk to my coworkers about it. I was not sounding any alarms though, more like "check this out..." in the lunchroom.
[0]https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/11/16/china-bubonic-plague-ou...
[1]https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-pneumonia/ch...
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#7971. The protracted war in Ukraine continues with sparse attacks from Russia;
2. Recession in the American market throughout the year;
3. USD continues on a mild but steady downward trajectory relative to EUR and CHF;
4. BTC trades horizontally;
5. Breakthrough in the Language model + Academic content search space;
6. Federated internet gains more prominence/visibility.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#798- Magnitude 9 earthquake in Japan near Tokyo
There may be a series of large blasts in the eastern and southeastern regions of the United States, potentially involving gas. Similar events may also occur in eastern and northeastern parts of Europe, possibly linked to Russia. It is uncertain if these events are a result of an attack. A major tsunami or shipping incident could occur in the Indian Ocean or Southeast Asia. A plane may crash into the ground in Northea…
And a large earthquake in California.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#799Generative AI will create an abondance of AI frameworks and fatigue in the same way we have JS frameworks fatigue, especially when generative AI will make it so easy to produce a firehose of content to drown signal into, to give the impression that one is more used than another and therefore must be better because of social validation.
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Also, adding AI in places where it wouldn't bring value, just to be able to say that you are using it.
The keyword itself will lose its original meaning and replace generic terms like "script".
Already yesterday I saw someone who wanted to "just use an AI" to detect when a website is down (and no, he didn't mean "use AI to write the cURL request", he thought that it can magically detect it somehow).
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Also, the public opinion not understanding the levels of grey, that it's not merely "for AI" or "against AI" because it's like being "for hammer" or "against hammer": it's just a tool. Yes it has great potential, but what matters is how you use it, it's not magic.
And as a longer trend, it will reinforce the divide between people who blindly trust "the computer said so, therefore it must be true" (like a religion), and people who look into why the computer said so and when it would say otherwise.
Control the model and you control what people believe in.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#800My predictions for 2022: 1- The US economy and the USD will keep declining. 2- In various EU nations, certain religious people will cause unease and there will be numerous attacks. 2- The world's perspective on two-headed hybrid regimes will soften and begin to accept it. The chinese type system will continue to be adopted by nations in Asia and the Middle East. 3- After July, there will be another brief cryptocurren…
> USD will keep declining. By what measure?
If I had to guess: https://www.investing.com/currencies/us-dollar-index