581–590 of 816 posts
More awareness of the rise of Africa as it becomes the most populous region with lots of natural resources and fastest economic development.
Africa? 20 years.
China legalizes CRISPR babies and they become popular. Japan drastically increases immigration to counter population decline. Covid kills millions of people worldwide again. Apple manages to create something cool with it's AR tech. Sites like reddit/4chan/hn become less popular due to generative AI spam.
1. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…
'''3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins again a large number of the new hires are either remote or are in other geographical areas where labour costs are lower.''' That is something that I believe it is already happening. I have the feeling that Senior Developers wages are going up in my country no matter what happens on Twitter or Facebook.
- Crypto POW will be banned in US, but not across the globe introducing new hot underground market - RTO will be ultimately successful due to confluence of FED overshooting with rates and big employers colluding behind closed doors - WFH will become a carrot for more 'vocal'/useful employees - Giant consolidation across industries ( including Big Tech ) will continue unabated and any slaps ( MS + Activision will serve only as an olive branch for the hardcore 'break the tech' crowd' ) - Musk may end up being removed as CEO of Tesla and/or Twitter ( not because of popular demand, but because of shareholders ); SpaceX will likely still keep him - SBF ( Bankman ) will not go to jail, but will get a sweetheart deal for a publicly unknown reason despite public uproar - Copilot and similar technologies will be adopted by giant vendors pricing out coders from Singapore, India, Ukraine ( and other former soviet republics ). Amusingly, resulting code and output will be contractually guaranteed to be reviewed by internal customer team increasing workload beyond and further increasing a number of competent programmers - After Disney discovers the risks of AI generated art based on its IP, it will be severely handicapped for general population ( think, DVD optical drive where you can only change a region once ) - Disney's streaming service will become dominating streaming platform - Netflix will be bought by Microsoft in 2023 and will perish in 2025 ( if history is any indicator ) - Israel will attack Iran before redline of enriched uranium is crossed with a quiet permission from WH - Trump show ( including Biden's laptop arc, Jan 6th arc, and 24 run will continue to be broadcasted on dying medium that is cable ) - Free speech freedoms will be further eroded under an attempt to rewrite Section 230 ( unsurprisingly, carve outs will be made for current existing players ) - Splintering of the net will continue in an unexpected direction: 1) standard based 2) community gate-keeper based AND, naturally, along currently redeveloping geopolitical lines of influence - Ukraine war will escalate further to include NATO member either by provocation, an actual accident or choice of one of the powers - OFAC list will expand twofold as a result of the above
1. We will learn that one or more traditional banks have taken on cryptocurrency exposure and will need to be bailed out to prevent another financial crisis. 2. Politicians will introduce legislation to regulate AI, with the initial focus on copyright protection, but it will be defeated. Court cases are brought against companies for training ML using copyrighted data, setting up an eventual supreme court battle in co…
> Year of Linux desktop! There is always a joker :D
Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…
It is funny. It is timely. It works on several layers.
Bold and seemingly contradictory predictions by me: -The rapid advances in AI slow down. Dalle and GPTchat will be an exception not a rule in the long run. The fraction of hard AI problems that can be solved with raw force of more parameters and training isn't that large. -Paradoxically, AI will change everything. The advances that are already here haven't caught on yet. Legal documents in particular occupy this swee…
100% lawyers have noticed. For example: they've been trying to automate discovery for a while now. I'm sure the new LLMs are making waves in those circles. But also: lawyering is good money, and they're adept at navigating the law. So breaking into that space with some sort of "tech disruption" has a high chance of getting you (metaphorically) dismembered.