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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#551

Post by bilater »

abetusk wrote: post #542

Here's one that I think might actually have a chance of happening: - Stable diffusion but for music. That is, give a text prompt and get a 2-5 minute song out. So people can say things like "give me a song in the style of Siouxsie and the Banshee's first album, lamenting lost love" and get something reasonable back. It would also be nice to do a retrospective of what actually was predicted correctly from past predict…

Already happening with Harmonai and riffusion. I think this year it may hit an inflection point with quality though. :)

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#552

Post by HDThoreaun »

mrazomor wrote: post #416
HDThoreaun wrote: post #394

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Year of the Linux again huh. Windows isn’t popular because it’s good, it’s popular because everyone knows it and Microsoft has good enough relations with every large organization in the world. MacOS is too expensive to seriously replace windows. Smart assistants will take off as chatGPT becomes commoditized, but it will look very different since you’ll have to pay for it.

MS has a limited amount of credit. It will expire eventually. If MS makes a bad move, it might kick off an avalanche. People leaving FAANG etc., might kick start new companies that help improving support, breaking the old relations, and building new ones. And ChatGPT won't take off, IMO. It's a nice piece of tech, but lacks what's needed for productionisation. I didn't even include it in 2023 prediction, as 2023 won'…

ChatGPT is immeasurably better than google assistant. Tons of people use that already, there’s no way they don’t upgrade it. Sure it won’t be the same, but it’ll follow the same idea of a massive transformer trained on the entire internet.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#553

Post by hollowturtle »

anaxag0ras wrote: post #490
mdhb wrote: post #129

1. Twitter gets resold for a fraction of the original price tag It seems clear at this point that without any kind of viable plan to get advertisers, employees, regulators and key content creators back on side the current trajectory will continue towards failure at a rapid pace which which is going to force them to sell. The original price was already wildly above market rate and the brand has been damaged so much by…

> 2. Canvas based web frameworks become viable as an alternative to the DOM. I would further add that a lot of companies will jump on this bandwagon until they realize they actually need SEO and accessibility and then move back to something similar to SSR.

Do you really need SEO for a login restricted web app? Will it be possible to have a framework/library that fallsback to DOM rendering when accessibility features are used? I think it’s actually feasible

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#554

Post by reacharavindh »

A major approachable breakthrough in energy storage - solid state battery(expensive but safer & more energy dense) or grid scale battery (Compressed Air, Zinc Bromide flow batteries, etc)

Vaccine for something very useful - Malaria/specific cancers etc based on improvements to mRNA techniques.

Larger and larger wafers(Like Cerebras) targeted at HPC problems.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#555

Post by abetusk »

proaralyst wrote: post #545
abetusk wrote: post #542

Here's one that I think might actually have a chance of happening: - Stable diffusion but for music. That is, give a text prompt and get a 2-5 minute song out. So people can say things like "give me a song in the style of Siouxsie and the Banshee's first album, lamenting lost love" and get something reasonable back. It would also be nice to do a retrospective of what actually was predicted correctly from past predict…

This exists, and uses stable diffusion: https://www.riffusion.com/ It was on HN a couple of weeks ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33999162

To me, this is not quite there. Stable diffusion produces, in some cases, really high quality output. The Riffusion is cool but still sounds a bit muddled.

Put it this way, if Riffusion came out in 2023, I would only give myself partial credit.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#558

Post by mensetmanusman »

electrondood wrote: post #470
testplzignore wrote: post #280

Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…

> Toyota buys the remnants of Tesla. I think you have this backwards :-)

Especially if the ceo of Toyota keeps praising ICE vehicles just before they are about to be banned…

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#560

Post by mensetmanusman »

bsuvc wrote: post #335

1. We will learn that one or more traditional banks have taken on cryptocurrency exposure and will need to be bailed out to prevent another financial crisis. 2. Politicians will introduce legislation to regulate AI, with the initial focus on copyright protection, but it will be defeated. Court cases are brought against companies for training ML using copyrighted data, setting up an eventual supreme court battle in co…

5. Ain’t happening, too many people died or retired and the worker shortage won’t be fixed for decades due to a population collapse that is starting.
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