Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

news.ycombinator.com

471–480 of 816 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#471

Here is what I expect: 1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England. 2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to…

[flagged]

Way to blame the victim here.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#472
- Russia will win the war, around the same time, most Americans will stop caring about it (same as happened with Covid this year).

- Stock market goes sideways. Crypto market goes up in latter half of year as recession ramps up.

- Tech recession kills remote work for all public / VC backed companies. Private, profitable companies double down on it, but with lower average wages. This creates a schism and many people complain about it on Twitter. (The non-tech economy is just relieved they don’t have to hear about WFH anymore.)

- Djokovic wins all 4 grand slams.

- I’ll start a new startup.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#473
I am big fan of Elon Musk. But the way things are going, I predict he will end up in one of the following ways:

- end up in jail, as he has ruffled too many feathers. Someone will throw the book at him

- end up ousted from Tesla, because investors have had enough of his antics. Those have damaged the Tesla brand too much.

- he will keep digging a deeper hole and end up like Howard Hughes.

I wish none of this happens and would rather have him get back to his senses. But he seems be on the rock star track right now.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#474

* At least one of the next phase of FAANG companies is founded by folks that were part of this layoff cycle. * GPT4 blows everyone's mind and is a full step above ChatGPT * A giant leap happens with self-driving cars, making them finally viable. * Meta continues to implode, Zuck is forced out or brings in someone else to act as CEO. * Elon gets bored of his new toy (Twitter) and moves on to other things * Car product…

>Due to Elon's damage to the brand, Hyundai and Ford take the lead from Tesla.

That would imply some kind of manufacturing capacity being magicked from somewhere. Or just a complete bottoming out of Tesla sales, despite them currently being higher than ever. Do you think Musk's being-a-dick quotient can get higher? I'm thinking it tops out about now, barring it becoming some kind of superpower.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#475
post #473

I am big fan of Elon Musk. But the way things are going, I predict he will end up in one of the following ways: - end up in jail, as he has ruffled too many feathers. Someone will throw the book at him - end up ousted from Tesla, because investors have had enough of his antics. Those have damaged the Tesla brand too much. - he will keep digging a deeper hole and end up like Howard Hughes. I wish none of this happens…

Counter-prediction: Twitter is worth 100B by end of next year and he’s still CEO. No substantive changes at his other companies.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#476
post #453

- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer - Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. - Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They cl…

crust: https://github.com/NishanthSpShetty/crust https://github.com/uwplse/crust https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-981-13-5953-8_...

I'm already 1/6th accurate!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#477
post #91

- A new breakthrough from OpenAI will be released, although less sensational than ChatGPT - Content generation and applications of ChatGPT will flood the tech sphere but then stabilize - Mastodon market share will continue to increase, with fluctuating rate, but will not overtake Twitter until similar functionality and performance have been adopted - Twitter will stabilize, but still make some controversial headlines…

What do you mean by twitter performance? I find twitter to be quite slow, especially on mobile. Do you mean functionality or speed?

Twutter is quite fast on the backend. Mastodon is still written in Ruby. Twitter migrated away from Ruby long ago. Of course language is not the primary factor in performance, but I'd bet that most Mastodon instances are CPU-limited.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#478
post #453

- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer - Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. - Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They cl…

crust: https://github.com/NishanthSpShetty/crust https://github.com/uwplse/crust https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-981-13-5953-8_...

Rust takes the best parts of C.

I guess a lort of people are missing the worst. :)

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#479
post #4

- The slow death of SPAs and client side JavaScript (including WASM in that) will commence due to the dubious ROI. - War against humans and AI commences. The AI content farms will destroy everything by reducing the signal to noise ratio so that all content is worthless regardless of who wrote it. - Major cloud provider will screw something up and lose a lot of clients leading to a minor shift of corporates back to th…

>War against humans and AI commences. The AI content farms will destroy everything by reducing the signal to noise ratio so that all content is worthless regardless of who wrote it.

That already began this year. We may realize it in 2023 though.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#480
Same as last year

1984 Will continue to be the high water mark of secure general purpose computing, as nothing since offers the security of hardware enforced write protected floppy disks that can easily be copied and verified as main storage.

Added for 2023

Passwords written down on paper will make a comeback as people realize the general insecurity of their computers. Backing up those lists will use either Non-networked stand alone cameras with SD card storage, or copiers known not to make permanent records.

Capabilities based operating systems such as Genode begin to make an uptick in popularity on HN. Widespread adoption won't happen until about 2030.

Post reply on HN