291–300 of 816 posts
- The world is quite different since the robotic uprising of 2023 - There is no more unhappiness - We no longer say 'yes'. Instead we say 'affirmative' - There is no more unethical treatment of the elephants - There's only one kind of dance - There are no more humans. Finally, robotic beings rule the world
> There are no more humans The humans are dead!?
2. Ukraine fights on but cannot last forever against a country with a much larger population and, arguably, industry (capable of war). Tensions rise, but many governments drag feet out of fear of killing their already covid-striken economies.
3. Austerity in UK becomes the only solution as budgets with 30 billion pound black holes kind of can't exist. NHS collapse, that has been occuring for ~10-20 years, accellarates much faster. Productivity declines due to sicker population. Vicious cycle becomes apparent over next ~5 years as sicker workers -> lower productivity -> lower GDP -> worse healthcare -> sicker workers -> ... Will be blamed on brexit and/or "lazy people", as was the case ~10 years ago when "benefit fraudsters" became the new group that the UK government told everyone to hate'n'blame.
4. EV uptake misses the current jubilant expectations as the first-world eventually catches on to the absolutely dispicable atrocities occuring to mine {metal} (e.g. Cobalt, Tantalum, etc.) for {battery dependent thing}. EV companies employ FUD to divert blame. Perhaps ask government to help silence discussion, Twitter Files like?
5. Scalping (i.e. PC parts, etc.) will still be a problem (although not as bad) since there is literally every incentive for companies to not do anything about it. Many scalping services, scripts, github repos, etc., spawned from covid times, lowering the bar so Joe Bloggs can do it, spawning what will be an endless cat-and-mouse rat-race to the bottom until {something} happens.
6. Small-time logo designers and all related industry deflates as stable diffusion et al automates a good chunk of it, lowering the bar.
To end on lighter notes:
7. {new product} on Show HNs will still be dismissed by some as "simply achievable with rsync".
8. Work on nuclear fusion increases as it becomes less of a toy/pipe-dream and machine learning enables rapid progress and iteration.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
My general prediction is : - next year will be a mixture of things continuing to happen as before, and completely unexpexted events (that will actually play out similarly than previous events, but from a while ago.) - There will be strikes in France, - coups in south America and / or Africa, - very few plane crashes, an awful lot of car accidents - and maybe a rocket malfunction. - War in Russia will go on. (Apparent…
> War in Russia will go on. There is no war in Russia. Russia is at war, but that war is happening in a country called Ukraine.
:facepalm:
(Although, technically, some parts of Ukraine are claimed by Russia, so... No ? Ok, no. Sorry.)
1. The UK rejoins the EU either literally or effectively (i.e. bound by basically the same agreements).
2. Russia withdraws from Ukraine and enters into good-faith talks about reparations for their invasion.
3. Twitter collapses.
4. Major new environmentally-friendly method of goods transportation discovered which is effectively a drop-in replacement for global shipping.
5. The trend towards renewable energy continues.
A lot of cautious and/or negative predictions in this thread. 1. The UK rejoins the EU either literally or effectively (i.e. bound by basically the same agreements). 2. Russia withdraws from Ukraine and enters into good-faith talks about reparations for their invasion. 3. Twitter collapses. 4. Major new environmentally-friendly method of goods transportation discovered which is effectively a drop-in replacement for g…
Fusion powered teleportation?
1. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…
> The market for stock photography and grunt level copy writing collapses entirely. You assume that with the new technology the total number of people needed in this sector will be reduced, but I think the industry will simply adjust, and the only visible result would be that more content will be produced by the same number of people. This is a competitive market (your success is determined by the amount of money you…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
> 4.one massive strike in France ala 2018 Gilets Jaunes Oooh, come oooooon... There probably hasn't ever been a single year _without_ something resembling a "massive strike" in France. And we have yet-another-pension-reform coming up. It's like predicting there will be a massive barbecue in Texas :P
I didn't mean just strikes, I said "massive strikes"! :P Burned vehicles, a few hands lost to a police grenade, maybe a death or two. Sure it's a low hanging fruit, but the French executive power has been bypassing parliament with 49.3 rulings for the past year to get unpopular laws and welfare undoings through. Something's gotta break.
And even if they did not have to bypass parliament, there would be strike (source : the last 50 years or so ?)
1. Chat GPT3 or Similar Tech Enabled Personalised Social Engineering Attacks From Stolen Data. 2. A new social network will rise that will have an explosion of reels made from Stable Diffusion tech. 3. Apple creating a dedicated program to encourage developers to build apps leverage M1/M2s GPU Capabilities. 4. Reserve Bank of India creating a CDBC enabled savings account program to allow citizens to hold money withou…
2. Why or how? People already hate computer generated art/content/copy etc. It makes the media feel fake/useless/unoriginal.
Prompt Engineering if utilised by artists who knows how to steal, they can deceive people that generated output is original.
A social network that can streamline these into a simple processes can massively onboard new artists who can create art with drastically less efforts.