121–130 of 816 posts
- Russian-Ukraine war loses its momentum on the eastern front, hot war continues. - Azerbaijan is launching full-scale invasion to Nagorno-Karabakh, taking it over in a Blitzkrieg with the support of Turkey. - Russia is forcing Armenia to join Russian Union State, massive protests in Yerevan. - Pro-Russian government is replacing Belorus president who is forced to resign, massibe protests in Minsk. - China is prepari…
2023 will be an average year. It will not be as good as 2022 but will be better than 2024.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
…exactly what they said? They were saying they are not going to invade as late as February 20, 2022. Then they said their objectives are total conquest on February 24, 2022 in a public TV address. They threatened nukes (everyone from Putin himself to TV pundits) for months until Xi publicly chided him. But I am impressed how one can take perhaps the most morally unambiguous conflict in the century so far and still ma…
Was there something ambiguous about destroying the most prosperous African nation?
If so, you mean that Gadaffi was a saint or something?
- Russian-Ukraine war loses its momentum on the eastern front, hot war continues. - Azerbaijan is launching full-scale invasion to Nagorno-Karabakh, taking it over in a Blitzkrieg with the support of Turkey. - Russia is forcing Armenia to join Russian Union State, massive protests in Yerevan. - Pro-Russian government is replacing Belorus president who is forced to resign, massibe protests in Minsk. - China is prepari…
AI-generated Instagram celebrities are a thing since at least 2018
- We'll see a new social network born. My guess is that it will try to carve out a segment from Twitter and Tiktok due to the recent changes from Musk and U.S. government concerns, respectively. - People will start realizing Vue is just AngularJS all over again and will further converge towards React. There is already many signs of this in Vue3. - Cryptocurrency regulation will be an ongoing discussion, and nothing w…
But where do influencers get their money? Endorsements aka advertisements and straight from subscribers. We may already be seeing a contraction of the advertisers from online streaming so this probably has shorter legs than required to impact the 9-5 hegemony.
Otherwise people who left the labor market probably have their finances tied to the stock market and interest rates - whether they realize it or not. The Fed has stated they will raise rates until the labor market moves back towards employers. (They are not a populist group, btw.) They absolutely think raising rates will push people out of retirement regardless of age.
Personally, I think it’s far past time for the labor market to correct towards the supply side than the demand side. Ie workers and worker needs/wants. This did happen after the 1918 Pandemic. But of course that era didn’t have quite the high powered technocratic class pushing things toward the corporates away from market equilibrium. (Economic theory does generally warn against artificial conditions thwarting equilibrium of supply/demand. The hell of rent caps in NYC is an example.)
In short, make jobs more desirable for people to work or see an inefficient outcome until the market does. Let the market do its thing at least, or (better) reinforce workers rights-as the market has already pushed the equilibrium too far towards labor demand and away from supply.
I think this looks like creative solutions around hours/scheduling, workplace conditions, and moving away from toxic environments like hire to fire, “quiet promotions”, or under scheduling people to avoid paying benefits.
- Full Self Driving will be "1-2 years away", much as it has been for the last 7 years - Nuclear fusion "is only 2 decades away", just as it has been the last 40-60 years. - same for other "right around the corner" predictions - the world will change; most of that change is incremental; any real radical shifts will only be apparent with hindsight. - the superrich are going to get loads more superrich; the environment…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I highly doubt WASM will gain much ground. It may for games, but I am willing to take a bet that there are more web apps out there than games.
I think the eventual common use for WASM will eventually be DRM and related types of page code "security" and obfuscation. Basically a way for companies to "protect" their tech/IP from easy duplication while not having to carry the expensive burden of the cost of back-end processing in the cloud.
- Russian-Ukraine war loses its momentum on the eastern front, hot war continues. - Azerbaijan is launching full-scale invasion to Nagorno-Karabakh, taking it over in a Blitzkrieg with the support of Turkey. - Russia is forcing Armenia to join Russian Union State, massive protests in Yerevan. - Pro-Russian government is replacing Belorus president who is forced to resign, massibe protests in Minsk. - China is prepari…
AI-generated Instagram celebrities are a thing since at least 2018
It seems clear at this point that without any kind of viable plan to get advertisers, employees, regulators and key content creators back on side the current trajectory will continue towards failure at a rapid pace which which is going to force them to sell.
The original price was already wildly above market rate and the brand has been damaged so much by this point that there is zero chance anyone will buy it now for a similar number.
2. Canvas based web frameworks become viable as an alternative to the DOM.
With the upcoming introduction of WebGPU and WasmGC into browsers next year it is going to start clearing many of the main technical roadblocks that have thus far prevented canvas based frameworks from succeeding.
The best positioned one that comes to mind currently is Flutter which has already developed a pretty successful approach on mobile and desktop and brings a very enthusiastic user base with it.
We are already seeing other platforms like Google Docs for example also moving towards a canvas based rendering system and I expect that trend to continue as the technology improves.
I think the use case will strictly be apps and not pages thankfully but we will start to see a clearer separation between “the web” and “apps that happen to run on the web”.
3. Apple will start to experience problems.
They are currently facing some pretty serious challenges at the legislative level across many of their key markets (EU, UK, AU and US) that is likely going to hit them in a couple of key areas (App store walled gardens, iOS browser competition etc).
At the same time the web platform is starting to really close the gap with mobile for a lot of new use cases that will cause companies to rethink their approach rather than continue to support 2-3 independent platforms with little to no code sharing. This is where you are starting to see Google’s bets on Project Fugu and Apple’s strategy of underinvesting in the web for years start to clash a lot more.
Lastly on the hardware side of the house I expect Apple’s decision to tie their supply chain to tightly to China start to clash a lot more with the general geopolitical environment around them and their sudden rush to try and address that is going to be very painful.
It’s a lot of new problems they haven’t had to face previously and it’s not actually clear that they are in a great position to deal with them.
- More gentleman layoffs at Google - At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Shedding at least 10-12% of white collar work force to signal to the market they’re trying to prop the stock - The economic hard landing - Disney stock will fare much better under Iger - Additional rate hikes from the Fed, at least 100bps but maybe 150 - Twitter…
"but increasing probability Russia uses a tactical nuke in Ukraine." Not likely. They would have nothing to gain from it. In their narrative, they are protecting the ukrainians ( which are actually russians, whether they want or not) from the fascist ukrainians. Nuking russian soil does not go together with this and Putin struggles already to not loose his base. And any military advantage this would gain, would be of…
Russia annexed only parts of Ukraine so far. I can see them spinning a nuke over Kiev as defense of annexed territories.
It would also fit their narrative of "only using nukes in defense" as they would claim Russian territory is being attacked.