Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

Here is what I expect:

1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England.

2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to arm wrestle concessions out of the USA and EU by Russia)

3, Musk will break up twitter and spin off the valuable parts (my least likely prediction, he won't do away with the sunk cost fallacy).

4, one massive strike in France ala 2018 Gilets Jaunes

5, Exchange of fire between Iran and the KSA over some tankers

6, the USA suffers a right wing terrorist attack against a gay pride event in June with 30+ deaths

We just might learn there’s life elsewhere in the solar system thanks to Rocket Labs probe of Venus. Possibly a few other sources for this too.

JWST studies will begin pouring out results as the first one year lockup periods expire. There absolutely will be shocking results. (This being a prediction thread after all.)

Covid may finally recede into less and less of a concern. But only after China reaches a maximal level of infection and recovery. I read a figure somewhere they may have already had north of 250 million cases.

Personally, I’m hoping the world steps back from the brink of war. Maybe the violence and failure of Russian atrocities will inoculate the world from a larger war. Or something way worse is yet to come.

Really hoping at lease one solid state battery begins mass production. (I want an Ioniq 6.)

Edit: the larger dawning of the analysis from a recent Fed report by the market.: https://www.federalreserve.gov//econres/notes/feds-notes/the...

- The war in Ukraine will still be ongoing throughout the year. Western tiredness of the war will start to have an effect and in order to avoid Trump getting his second presidency, Biden will start seeking for a diplomatic solution. At the same time there will be more instability within Russia, like scattered armed rebellions.

- Several whistleblowers, like Eric Davis, will come forward with information about UAP secret programs. However, thanks to plausible deniability, the UAP issue will remain far from being disclosed.

- The economy will appear to be doing better until a major crash in the second half of the year. This will get the indexes below pre-covid levels by quite a substantial amount. Crypto will be decimated again while PM-s thrive.

I tried searching, but what is a gentleman layoff?

> There absolutely will be shocking results.

What scale of shocking are you predicting? Signs of extra terrestrial spaceship trails across the sky, or estimates of dark matter quantity adjusted by 1%?