Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

I agree with this.

Full out invasion by Russia to Ukraine.

- More gentleman layoffs at Google

- At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Shedding at least 10-12% of white collar work force to signal to the market they’re trying to prop the stock

- The economic hard landing

- Disney stock will fare much better under Iger

- Additional rate hikes from the Fed, at least 100bps but maybe 150

- Twitter won’t have the demise the media has been predicting. Musk probably continues making changes and shortly doing about face turn on them.

- Russia continues getting backed into a corner with Ukraine faring better and better thanks to US and Western support. Don’t know if it will happen but increasing probability Russia uses a tactical nuke in Ukraine. Doubt it comes down to WW3, we’ll try to immediately broker a peace deal, rather than getting ourselves (US) in a thermonuclear endgame with Russians

- Streaming recession with new shows put on hold

- More advances in AI like openai. Within big tech companies? Not so much.

- Big tech culture shift, cleaning house and going back to roots or at least trying to find that soul. Focus on bottom line metrics. Oat milk lattes, no so much.

- Pendulum will swing to server side rendering, most likely using live view style of techniques, ironically even in JS land

- AI will be critized more, but once developer jobs are threatened, only then concrete talks about doing something about will happen, none else will be cared enough to bother

- bigger zeitgeist shift from react to alternative SPA tools - it will enter the "enterprise" status, and will be relevant only due to things like MUI and ant design, and because "everyone else" is doing it, and devs being too afraid to suggest something else to their managers

- We'll see a new social network born. My guess is that it will try to carve out a segment from Twitter and Tiktok due to the recent changes from Musk and U.S. government concerns, respectively.

- People will start realizing Vue is just AngularJS all over again and will further converge towards React. There is already many signs of this in Vue3.

- Cryptocurrency regulation will be an ongoing discussion, and nothing will happen until SBF is in jail.

- Influencers who pumped and dumped crypto will be an ongoing target from the SEC. The recently Coffeezilla series on Logan Paul will likely be made an example of.

- We'll see more layoffs

- We will see more millennials quit the 9-5 to pursue some kind of passion. My guess is most will try to be an influencer.

- We'll start seeing more pirating again as people are being laid off and also due to the increase of streaming competitors.

- Meta will likely continue to lose money and their AR strategy will be disrupted by Apple.