1) RIM will be bought.
2) Google will fold ChromeOS and roll up everything into variations of Android.
Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
11–20 of 29 posts
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#12The world won't end on Dec. 21, 2012.
Only the beginning of the end of Closed Institutions.
For the last 5000 years the closed institution has ruled humanity. 12.12.12 that will change. And a new collaborative framework will marginalize the 1% and their money.
It all started with the the closed family of the strongest tribal leader... future generations became chiefs by enslaving and killing rivals. Fearful of others killing them they sought mystics to aid them and in turn these anointed them into Kings with divine right of rule; and the "closed" religion casts were born. And these leaders become great and powerful tyrants. Innovation brought about a new class "the merchants" and these eventually usurped the tyrants in great rebellions Magna Carta and the French Revolution and over time more innovation made these expand into global territories and giving them eventually more power and control than the leaders. Such power in fact they decided and controlled all matters -- spinning everything out of control: Climate, Fishery's, Forests, etc... Until that day that the bearer of the gift arrived and that gift was the Open !ncubator Framework (O!F) makes a good story :) http://mtrout.com
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#13- The year of the startup.
- Massive government policy changes.
- Revolution in conscious dream and mind (self) control.
- Apple TV sucks.
- Facebook gets lucky.
And of course...
- My startup is the most viral web app of the year!
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#1410x-100x growth in enrollment into online classes from top universities (like Stanford classes)
Non-TED lecture to get 5M views on Youtube
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#151) RIM will be bought. 2) Google will fold ChromeOS and roll up everything into variations of Android.
On the other side of the trade ... some RIM related commentary on seeking alpha by one of the people I pay attention to, Rocco Pendola: "don't expect anybody, particularly Amazon, to buy RIM anytime soon.".
http://seekingalpha.com/article/315331-amazon-making-blackbe...
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#16The year of the linux desktop
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#17iPhone 5 I guess. New MacBooks.
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#18Android will gain more market and still struggles to make more money than iOS.
I'll start my startup and still continue reading HN :D
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#19http://predictionbook.com/ is handy for keeping track of predictions, and getting feedback about your overconfidence/underconfidence. (It generates a graph of your your confidence vs. accuracy - '90% sure' should happen 90% of the time.) Outside of specialist sites, you generally see no confidence values attached to predictions, and vagueness that makes judging them difficult or impossible. Of possible interest: http…
Don't forget InTrade.
Re: Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?
#20Facebook continues work on their own fork of Android towards releasing a phone and Facebook mobile app platform. Perhaps an IPO to coincide with it.