Hiring has slowed to a crawl, and the hardest hit appear to be junior/low level devs not going into the startup space. I'm seeing a lot of hiring for senior positions. I'm getting more, not fewer emails for interviews as a CTO. Meanwhile, it seems like unless a new grad is headed to a FAANG they are not finding jobs the way they were a year ago. This is how things started in 2007, anecdotally. The ladder got pulled u…
HN Who is hiring job posts over time
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Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#12Also for anyone looking to draw conclusions here, remember that the HN crowd including the hiring thread is a very small slice of the tech industry generally, and for most people you only need to find one job for your job search to be over.
This is interesting as it relates to price rather than ability to find a job. Things would have to change dramatically to reach a point where someone won't pay you minimum wage to do tech work, but as difficulty in fulfilling positions declines the need to pay extraordinary and increasing salaries will decline in kind. This does give a good idea about what's ahead for compensation adjustments. The double digit percentage pay bumps people were taking advantage of over the last couple of years is no doubt over (for now).
Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#13Hiring has slowed to a crawl, and the hardest hit appear to be junior/low level devs not going into the startup space. I'm seeing a lot of hiring for senior positions. I'm getting more, not fewer emails for interviews as a CTO. Meanwhile, it seems like unless a new grad is headed to a FAANG they are not finding jobs the way they were a year ago. This is how things started in 2007, anecdotally. The ladder got pulled u…
Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#14It seems 2020-2022 was boom for tech industry. Now the rate is going backing to pre-2020 which shows it was already in decline! That is quite surprising.
Yea, 2018-2020 sees a downward trend in hiring, while the S&P500 was still growing steadily. Thing is though, HN Hiring posts seem very FAANG and (even more) startup-biased? The S&P500 is more than that.
It seems to be almost 100% small and medium tech startups.
Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#15Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yea, 2018-2020 sees a downward trend in hiring, while the S&P500 was still growing steadily. Thing is though, HN Hiring posts seem very FAANG and (even more) startup-biased? The S&P500 is more than that.
I would say that FAANG is not part of HN Who is hiring at all. It seems to be almost 100% small and medium tech startups.
Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#16Hiring has slowed to a crawl, and the hardest hit appear to be junior/low level devs not going into the startup space. I'm seeing a lot of hiring for senior positions. I'm getting more, not fewer emails for interviews as a CTO. Meanwhile, it seems like unless a new grad is headed to a FAANG they are not finding jobs the way they were a year ago. This is how things started in 2007, anecdotally. The ladder got pulled u…
Yes. It really sucks for new graduates and entry-level because all of a sudden you are competing with people with years of experience for the same salary and position.
Also importantly, the consequences of graduating into a recession can be quite lasting. Based on research going into the last recession ('08), it takes up to 10 for the effects to disappear[1]. And if your base case is the last couple of years in software - well it seems likely that was a huge bubble that won't be replicated any time soon.
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[1] https://www.nber.org/digest/nov06/career-effects-graduating-...
Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#17The []() syntax doesn't work on posts. Clickable google sheets link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18kLWHkrEedpl1eXzAht_...
Interesting that the url within the parentheses isn't recognized. EDIT - actually, none of the urls are recognized as links.
Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#18The []() syntax doesn't work on posts. Clickable google sheets link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18kLWHkrEedpl1eXzAht_...
Re: HN Who is hiring job posts over time
#19Also for anyone looking to draw conclusions here, remember that the HN crowd including the hiring thread is a very small slice of the tech industry generally, and for most people you only need to find one job for your job search to be over.
> for most people you only need to find one job for your job search to be over. This is interesting as it relates to price rather than ability to find a job. Things would have to change dramatically to reach a point where someone won't pay you minimum wage to do tech work, but as difficulty in fulfilling positions declines the need to pay extraordinary and increasing salaries will decline in kind. This does give a go…
So I think a lower volume in the hiring thread has a stronger impact on people who are struggling, since they necessarily need to apply to a high number of places, compared to the impact on people who are going to get multiple competitive offers regardless.