UK food price inflation hit 16.2% in October – cost of food basics surging

> Very different place in the world and very different internal politics.

it'll be exactly the same an England is essentially the UK (which is the SNP's problem with it)

this is explained in one very simple chart: https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-96b10105bd7d45574f1b5...

Things are going pretty well in other parts of the western world so I dunno if the UK's government should be absolved of their agency so quickly.

From my POV seems like the UK's government is tanking the country by pursuing an idiological agenda that obviously isn't working, and is obviously lowering the standard of living in the country, and yet despite all evidence they continue to double down.

The sad thing we're seeing with Labour is that they're doing the classic thing that happens when parties stay in the wilderness of opposition too long, they start to doubt themselves and instead align with what the government of the day is doing.

Labour under their new leadership is clearly now hoping that if they're timid enough and don't rock the boat at all when the Conservatives inevitably implode they'll be thrust into power because they're sitting there as the next default alternative.

It's sadly terribly uninspiring.

>Single common thread has to be poor governance.

I think a structural issue is aging demographics. Lots of welfare policies were enacted when the ratio of workers to non workers was much higher. For decades now, this ratio has been getting smaller and smaller, hence the constant political dilemma of which benefits to cut and how much and for who.

The UK seems like it will especially struggle with delivering universal healthcare promises, as well as pension benefits. Not only are fault lines along rich and poor, but they will be more and more along old and young.

I initially entered the US on an L1 visa. Somewhere along the way I met my wife and we got married, so my I-485 was a family-based petition. I used the same lawyer (privately) that my company used for the L1 petition to file I-485, I-130, I-765 and I-131 concurrently.

I-765 was approved for me after 32 days, the day after I went to give my biometrics. This was important for me because the new legal team at my company were dropping the ball quite a lot with my L1 extension at the time (it was later approved with 1 day to spare...)

Although I got the I-765 card, the I-131 petition has not even been looked at yet, so although I applied for Advanced Parole, in practice the petition will just be cancelled/voided because the green card will have been issued before the I-131 has a chance to be adjudicated.

This seems to be in line with a recent change in USCIS policy to prefer producing individual I-765 and I-131 cards vs. the previous preference to issue combo cards (which took longer).

The I-485 and I-130 petitions were approved on the same day after 154 days of processing time, and surprisingly my wife and I were not called for an interview.

Hope this helps!

Jeremy Hunt campaigned for Remain and then pushed for a second referendum when his side lost, so it's unclear why you think his anti-Brexit stance is worth remarking on. Are you thinking of someone else, perhaps?

Re: OBR. We're talking about food price inflation. The article you cite in turn cites the OBR, but (a) contrary to what you're suggesting the OBR doesn't have seem to have done any of its own analysis and (b) it only mentions Brexit twice, once about immigration and the other is a single paragraph which isn't about food price inflation. It says:

"Our trade forecast reflects our assumption that Brexit will result in the UK’s trade intensity being 15 per cent lower in the long run than if the UK had remained in the EU"

They don't define what "long run" means and they don't state where this assumption came from. That's the quality of the OBR's in-house analysis: there isn't any. That's not a huge surprise. The civil service has a poor track record of economic forecasting in all respects, but especially on anything to do with Brexit. The government forecast before the vote that voting to leave (not leaving, just voting to leave) would trigger an immediate recession in which between 500,000 and 800,000 jobs would be lost, due to "uncertainty". In fact the economy grew and unemployment fell.

They do then mention the "latest evidence suggests a significant adverse impact on UK trade", and cite two other papers. Both are only about claimed changes in UK/EU trade, not UK trade as a whole. The first ESRI paper relies on such complicated modelling it's not worth spending time on and their abstract asserts a dubious assumption right up front. The LSE paper states:

"Second, the implementation of the TCA triggered a small and only temporary decline in relative UK exports to the EU in 2021. These sharply fell in January, immediately following the introduction of the TCA, but quickly recovered within half a year"

It does say that the UK reduced imports from the EU significantly, but this would be expected given the currency value decline and that the EU external tariffs no longer discourage UK companies from importing from outside of Europe. The UK trade balance hasn't had a sudden improvement so it just means imports are now more balanced w.r.t. ROW.