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Is this the end of crypto?

economist.com

401–410 of 448 posts

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#401
post #382

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was obviously an unsubstantive comment, unduly personal, and basically a variation on "did you even read the article" which the site guidelines ask people not to post. That makes it flamebait, regardless of your intention when you posted it. I don't think it was a borderline call, nor is it hard to understand. Ironically, the sort of legalistic pleading you're resorting to is a sign of a lack of the good faith you…

One wonders if calling someone a troll could be considered flamebait.

Perhaps it could, and I was careful not to do that.

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#402
post #399
post #241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Turning mining back on is entirely changing the parent's statement. "Well yea you could do that change to tank the value, but imagine if you just undid it huh???" The point was without mining entirely, there is no value

I guess it's a different scenario but if all the existing miners were turned off today, there is nothing to stop me running the open source bitcoin software on a spare computer myself the day after. I guess if you ban that for all time and all places bitcoin would be over.

My impression of the intent of the statement was "disable mining altogether" not "turn off the existing physical mining rigs until someone turns one back on"

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#403

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Outside of cash there needs to be a viable method to do anonymous transactions- be it illegal or not. I don’t think crypto is going away for this reason alone.

Cash is backed by the military force and economic heft of the country issuing it. For an alternative to exist, it must first and foremost be able to hold its value reliably and that is precisely the niche filled by gold. Crypto will never fill that void.

> hold its value reliably

It can and that's what it exactly does by keeping its value outside the reach of external influences such as military forces and economic decisions by a handful of people but only governed by its own mathematical law.

It's just that people don't understand the nature of crypto but only see it as a new risk asset class which is disappointing after its 13 years of existence and it's the only reason it's going up and down massively by people not having the fundamental belief of what it's actually about.

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#405

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Self-custody means users withdrawing their coins from exchanges or other custodial services. >"Well, of course your accounts got hacked, because you didn't create a separate 27-character totally random password for every single account you need, like I do, and never store those passwords anywhere except your head!" The keys can be recorded as a seed phrase. Typically this is a sequence of dictionary words. Look into…

I wasn't aware that something had to be "my business" before I was allowed to discuss it on HN. And "dedicated hardware wallet devices" are exactly the kind of thing that I'm talking about here. There is no way those are going to be appealing to mainstream users; thus, if cryptocurrency were ever to genuinely enter the mainstream, the vast, vast majority of users would be keeping their crypto on exchanges. Y'know, ex…

That's fine if you want to champion the cause of the normie. Just don't do it in a paternalistic way. If people were satisfied with the high transaction costs and regulatory overhead of traditional finance, they wouldn't be in crypto.

There are a few more reasonable options here.

1) Create or advocate for a cryptocurrency with reversible transactions and all of the regulatory features you desire. Let the market decide how large that niche is.

2) Loosen or advocate for loosening the existing regulations on traditional financial products so that they are competitive with some of the features of cryptocurrency. See also, Zelle. Another product HN seemed to hate.

Yesterday someone was arguing that Peter Thiel is a super villain. Another full page of comments was decrying one of PayPal's policies necessitated by regulations. People are generally unhappy with PayPal's fee structure, but they continue to use it. The fees and draconian policies are largely required to comply with regulations. Want more personable human support? That also costs money.

The argument for regulating cryptocurrency is basically an argument for creating a captured and gatekept ecosystem. Of course, I get it. "Think of the children", "Think of the helpless normies", same story. What we will get instead will be more PayPals.

As for scams and outright Ponizis, it is worth noting that those go on under the watchful eye of the regulatory state you love so well. Bernie Madoff was similarly connected and even served on regulatory boards. SBF, the disgraced FTX head had direct connections to the SEC and chairman Gary Gensler. SBF even testified, asking for more regulation.

I'm doubtful, but still hopeful for the possibility of a good faith discussion. Regulation is not a pancea against fraud. Instead it creates an atmosphere were connected insiders can create greater frauds. The FTX debacle is illustrative of this. Yet here we are hearing the same appeals for more regulation from would be saviors of normies. Posters who themselves do not use cryptocurrency and insist that it has no legitimate use.

For myself I just wanted to run a few online games with payouts for players in cryptocurrency. Now players also want NFT character saves. I've never used a centralized exchange. I don't make big money in this niche. I do have fun. The community is happy. Nobody is crying about valuations. Actual users of cryptocurrency aren't saying, "There outta be a law!". None of my users are claiming, "If only there were a statist savior protecting us from this video game!" or, "This game would be so much better with barriers to entry for developers"

From that perspective, yes I do feel comfortable asking you and the rest of HN's passionate cryptocurrency haters to butt out. You could also go out and build a better alternative in the marketplace of ideas.

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#406
post #98

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I do hope it dies out, it should have been heavily regulated from the get go. On the other hand, if it had been heavily regulated from the get-go, there would be tremendous pressure to bail it out now, so maybe it's for the best that it wasn't regulated by the government. It would have been nice if there was a countervailing force to the billionaire-savior cults promoting it, but unfortunately our media environment…

> On the other hand, if it had been heavily regulated from the get-go, there would be tremendous pressure to bail it out now, so maybe it's for the best that it wasn't regulated by the government. This isn’t true at all. The FTX collapse is more akin to something like Madoff’s Ponzi scheme, which was significantly larger and did not get a bailout. The financial bailouts you’re comparing this to were mostly loans that…

> The idea behind the regulation would be to prevent these situations from becoming so large in the first place.

I agree that's the idea, but how do you identify a ponzi scheme via regulation before it is revealed as a ponzi scheme?

> Finally, regulation doesn’t cause bailouts. There’s no rule that says regulated industries get bailouts while unregulated industries don’t.

I didn't say cause. I said pressure. Yes, the auto industry received a big bailout in 2008 and the cruise industry during the pandemic. There were other pressures that made those happen, right or wrong.

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#407

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And by definition, a Ponzi must continue to expand, and expand quickly. Regulators are literally waiting until cyrpto completely runs out of possible new customers to intervene. The government is maximizing the damage that crypto does. Thank god we haven't gotten to crypto for kids yet, but crypto bonuses on credit cards is getting very close.

The government moves very slowly and basically waits until the problem is over before regulating it.

That's a very good thing.

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#408

When Crypto was young it was this cool new technology that mostly interesting because of the underlying tech. But even back then it was mostly valuable for buying drugs online and other illegal stuff. Now it's that and a way to scam people of their life savings. I do hope it dies out, it should have been heavily regulated from the get go. Way too many people saw these high production commercials with their favorite c…

When bitcoin first came onto the scene I personally knew a guy who was running a website to act as an exchange. It was small because bitcoin itself at that time was very small. Then bitcoin had its very first dip and it became unprofitable to mine bitcoins. When that happened he shuttered the website and kept everyone's bitcoins. I knew of bitcoin early on due to this guy, but even then I had no interest and consider…

> People try to compare it to things like gold for protecting your money from inflation, but that's completely nonsensical.

It's just like gold. You give me your gold and I'll take it all right now, saving you from losing it incrementally or at a later date. Not your vault, not your bars. Theft-as-a-Service. /s

Gold has a special status because of how long we've mythologized it, but generally you'd be encouraged to invest/buy futures in things that impact your life and income directly. Your inputs and outputs.

If you produce food from fertilizer and power then those are your three important commodities. Gold isn't a great fit because you can't eat it, fertilize with it, or run a tractor on it. You have to do a gold-to-dollars transaction first which can waste a fair bit of the value.

If you forward packets and consume electricity to do so then holding gold also isn't economically relevant, but by trading proofs of work which were generated by burning electricity you track the value of your commodities and do so natively.

If we used HashCash (or similar) to solve the initial-contact problem then we'd be creating a secondary market in the proofs and they could be used as currency by a related ecosystem like hosting providers with little friction or risk.

Tulips didn't cause the problem, speculators (and scammers) did.

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#409
As long as there are people claiming blockchain has some value the next crypto scam is just around the corner. All Crypto is a scam and blockchain has no real application that couldn't be solved much easily by some other means.

Re: Is this the end of crypto?

#410
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Seriously. This has been asked and called time and time again, but has been proven wrong each time

Ah yes, the logistic fallacy. There are always new people to rope in, the world's population is not finite.

I'm pretty sure crypto didn't reach all of Earth's 8 billions people yet.
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