Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

yougov.co.uk

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

11–20 of 30 posts

Re: One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

#11

Post by uniqueuid »

usedtoprog wrote: post #5

yougov also repeatedly reports that x% of the UK population want COVID-19 restrictions to continue indefinitely, along with the closure of nightclubs. You'll forgive me if I don't treat yougov as the main source of UK sentiment

It's a sample of N~1700, so +/- 2% for a 95% confidence interval. The responses are weighted so self-selection along socio-demographic variables is mostly accounted for.

Sure, almost all off-the-shelf polling is rather bad these days, but they did their job as well as you can reasonably expect.

Re: One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

#12

Post by ceejayoz »

golergka wrote: post #6

Which means that 80% support this decision 6 years later.

That's misleading.

51.89% voted for Brexit. That leaves 41.51% now.

48.11% voted against Brexit. If that hasn't changed, the British public no longer support the policy.

Re: One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

#13

Post by usedtoprog »

usedtoprog wrote: post #5

yougov also repeatedly reports that x% of the UK population want COVID-19 restrictions to continue indefinitely, along with the closure of nightclubs. You'll forgive me if I don't treat yougov as the main source of UK sentiment

No post body was provided.

Re: One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

#15

Post by wongarsu »

golergka wrote: post #6

Which means that 80% support this decision 6 years later.

Actually only about 70% of leave voters, with the other 11% undecided.

I think the interesting data point is that 19% of leave voters would vote differently in hindsight, but only 5% of remain voters would. That's a 4x difference. But you're also right that most people did not change their opinion.

Re: One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

#16

Post by ianai »

uniqueuid wrote: post #11
usedtoprog wrote: post #5

yougov also repeatedly reports that x% of the UK population want COVID-19 restrictions to continue indefinitely, along with the closure of nightclubs. You'll forgive me if I don't treat yougov as the main source of UK sentiment

It's a sample of N~1700, so +/- 2% for a 95% confidence interval. The responses are weighted so self-selection along socio-demographic variables is mostly accounted for. Sure, almost all off-the-shelf polling is rather bad these days, but they did their job as well as you can reasonably expect.

Polling has un-earned respect lately in the US. Is there any reason to suspect opinion polls are more reliable in the UK? Afaik people are just as shifted away from landlines there.

Re: One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

#17

Post by ranting-moth »

543ge4q3 wrote: post #2

If you added the word "Only" to the title, it would completely change the subtext.

Isn't that a well known fact that you can generally change the meaning and/or subtext of everything by adding or subtracting a word?

Re: One in five who voted for Brexit now think it was the wrong decision

#18

Post by jleyank »

NDizzle wrote: post #10
junot wrote: post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Agreed. Is this figure supposed to be high? Seems like there's a good chance that 1 in 5 Biden voters now think it was the wrong decision and 1 in 5 Trump thought similarly after his years in office.

Way more than 1 in 5 Biden voters, given the last two years...

Guess they decided they look better in brown.
Post reply on HN