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FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

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Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#741
post #740

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the statement "banks lend out reserves" is demonstrably wrong. It is indeed wrong, but nobody here has made such a statement. Saying "banks lend out reserves" implies that when a bank issues a loan worth $X, their reserves are immediately reduced by $X. I've been pretty clear in my statements that their reserves are not reduced until the customer withdraws $X to another bank (which does not always happen, and even…

> It is indeed wrong, but nobody here has made such a statement Really? The very first comment I replied to was: "banks at least tell you they are loaning your deposits out" My response: "Side not but that’s not really how banking works. Banks create deposits when they originate loans and separately look for the assets they need in order to satisfy any regulatory requirements and net flows of funds for inter bank set…

> > It is indeed wrong, but nobody here has [claimed that "banks lend out reserves"]

> Really? The very first comment I replied to was: "banks at least tell you they are loaning your deposits out"

Hmmh, you're right, that claim has been made. Also I acknowledge that I have phrased some sentences ambiguously. Specifically this one that you dug up:

> > "No, when you take a loan out of a bank, the bank doesn't "create deposits" that it loans to you. The bank loans you existing deposits"

> Are you saying there's a distinction between "banks loan you existing deposits" and "banks lend out reserves"? They seem to be the same statement to me ...

No, I wasn't trying to make that distinction in this context (in another context we were discussing a hypothetical of a newly-founded bank which might have a lot of reserves even before it has depositors, and in that context that distinction is meaningful).

I was making a distinction between the act of writing numbers on a computer, and the act of taking money out of a bank. Note that my sentence began with these words: "when you take a loan out of a bank". When I say "out", I'm referring to a cash withdrawal or bank transfer to another bank. When you withdraw your loan out of the bank, the bank needs to spend some reserves in order to settle the transfer.

You made a point that sometimes the bank acquires those reserves AFTER it issues the loan, and I take your point. You also made a point that the bank might fraudulently acquire those reserves, I accept that as well. My point wasn't really focused on when the reserves need to be available for the bank, or how the reserves were originated (deposits vs fraud vs selling off assets vs ...). My point was that when you take money out of a bank, the bank can't fake it. It needs to have some stuff that it can't make up out of thin air, and after you take that stuff, the bank no longer has that stuff.

> You could, if you wanted to, have a bank that capitalised entirely with reserves, but it's way more profitable to attract reserves, lend them out to other banks who have attracted less reserves, and buy bonds with said reserves. You can use the loans you made yesterday to another bank as collateral to borrow at the discount window, for example, if you find yourself in your own liquidity crunch.

I take your point that a bank's capital mix can consist of many different kinds of assets and reserves play only a small part. We can continue this by discussing the relationship between the bank's capital and its ability to issue loans, since that is a more accurate way of describing things.

> Right so what you could say is there's definitely a "credit limit" [...] Fed would give you a call and be like "ummmm ... no" [...] But "having reserve deposits" is not a pre-requisite for originating a loan. Banks can (and do!) get away with somewhat subtler forms of control fraud over a period of time that is not really that long (2 - 3 years, say) during which time executives can stash an enormous amount of cash and just leave the mess for the regulators to clean up.

Awesome. It sounds like we agree.

Listen, I've enjoyed this discussion so far, and I learned some things I didn't know beforehand, but it's time to call it a day. If you feel that we still disagree on some substantial points, I'd like to hear you hash it out in the form of "this is my opinion, and here is how that's different from your opinion" (articulate not only your own point of view, but also the opposing point of view, and how it is different from yours). I suspect that we're actually in agreement of all substantial points, while we might somewhat disagree on minor things like definitions for words or how easy it is to swap fake money to yachts.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#742
post #740

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It is indeed wrong, but nobody here has made such a statement Really? The very first comment I replied to was: "banks at least tell you they are loaning your deposits out" My response: "Side not but that’s not really how banking works. Banks create deposits when they originate loans and separately look for the assets they need in order to satisfy any regulatory requirements and net flows of funds for inter bank set…

> > It is indeed wrong, but nobody here has [claimed that "banks lend out reserves"] > Really? The very first comment I replied to was: "banks at least tell you they are loaning your deposits out" Hmmh, you're right, that claim has been made. Also I acknowledge that I have phrased some sentences ambiguously. Specifically this one that you dug up: > > "No, when you take a loan out of a bank, the bank doesn't "create d…

> When I say "out", I'm referring to a cash withdrawal or bank transfer to another bank. When you withdraw your loan out of the bank, the bank needs to spend some reserves in order to settle the transfer.

Agreed.

And yes, very enjoyable discussion. Peace out!

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#743

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It must be a meme, especially since a quick search reveals that joe_the_user wrote it correctly 1 year ago!

My gawd, I'm moderately dyslexic and I need to check my spelling on everything unusual. I generally succeed but this time I didn't. It's truly bizarre that you think there's anything weird here. Overall, I'd suspect people not immersed in the crypto world would easily fall into a spelling that "sounds" like they remember it - spelling phonetically is a lousy way to spell but some percentage of the world does it.

Oh, nevermind then.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#744

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Money must be backed by something. Bitcoin is backed by nothing. This makes it a ponzi, not money. It's very simple. It can be used as a means of exchange, but due to being unbacked isn't and can't ever become a store of value, which in turns means it's completely useless as a unit of account due to eternal volatility. The only way to get real wealth in exchange for bitcoin is to hope someone later decides to buy it.…

> Money must be backed by something. Bitcoin is backed by nothing. Yes, it is: 1. Incorruptible supply enforced via a halving algorithm that can't be messed with without creating a hard fork or receiving universal consensus on the network. 2. Proof of work. In order for the Bitcoin network to function (meaning, for new Bitcoin to be minted up to the cap and for transactions to be validated/added to the blockchain), e…

>1. Incorruptible supply

Not inherent value.

>energy must be expanded. There's no way to fake it.

That's a negative, not a positive. It means bitcoin actively destroy wealth while giving nothing in return.

>3. Self-custody that's difficult (near impossible if done properly) to confiscate by force. If you control your keys, you control your money.

It's not money, so properly described: a ponzi scheme that's harder to shutdown than more traditional attempts.

>Neither of those are impervious to failure

How fragile or not the backing mechanism is a completely separate issue.

>This is why, ironically, fiat is the ponzi scheme

It isn't. Investors (???) into us dollars don't cash out on future investors that were mostly lied to about what the dollar is. It's a tax token and people are forced to buy it.

>It requires everyone involved to believe the lie

No, it doesn't. It requires the ability to physically enforce the law. Whether people like the dollar or not, is, in itself, of zero consequence as long as the enforcement mechanism works.

>If they can't pay the military

Yes, an incompetent government can kill the economy to the point that no amount of force will work, whether due to violent opposition or lack of any remaining wealth. What actually happens is that people switch to using other stuff for transactions. It can be fiat money that's enforced by another country, or something of inherent value, like coffee beans (happened in Venezuela), salt.

>When in reality, it's just one giant cult

It's not a cult, money is always and everywhere a tax extraction technology. It's going to exist in some form as long as it's possible to tax people under a credible threat of violence. One day in history some human ancestor figured out that collecting rare thing (like seashells) and then forcing people to buy them (with actual wealth) is a good way of living and that's how it goes.

>It will inevitably blow up and when it does

...it won't be replaced by bitcoin, but by some other form of fiat money. Below all the false marketing lies a simple truth: buying bitcoin is a one sided wealth transfer, giving away real wealth in exchange for a printed from thin air token. Some people will as long as they think they will be able to sell to a greater fool in the future.

The problem is that eventually the scheme gets old and it's becoming hard to see where they could come from. People that like ponzi schemes realize that it's better to start new ones and be early. Which is exactly what happened. Btc's returns in the last cycle were pitiful. Now it's bear market and it's extremely weak - both absolutely and relatively. It's an old 13 year old thing that failed in all its stated goals. On top of that it's getting hammered by massive inflation.

Next bull cycle it's going to under-perform even worse and that will be the last time general public will think about it.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#745
post #429
post #420

For those wondering why people would store coins on centralised exchanges, the answer is simply because you are heavily incentivised to do so. When Ethereum was congested and simple transfers were costing upwards of $200 - FTX offered a number of free ERC20 withdrawals if you staked a certain amount of FTT. in addition to that - the more FTT you staked the more preferential treatment you got in access to IDO's and re…

It feels like every time there's a crypto exchange exit-scam/fail/crash/run/fraud, someone says "but this one felt safe/different/better than the others". I (genuinely) wonder how many more times that will happen?

Name one other one? There hasnt been one, there have been custodial lending platforms that have had all the credentials - this isn't the same.

Imagine the second largest bank in your country just up and dissolving with everyones money - that is exactly how this feels to those of us who have been in this space a while.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#746

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Something like this[0] ? [0] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que...

Not sure what point you're trying to make. I'm pro-crypto, anti-SBF and what he did here.

Ah you were just looking for a tool that searches HN's comments from a specific user containing a keyword, so I linked the tool along with an example query.
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