I've seen some comments saying that this is all delayed fallout from the Luna/Terra collapse last spring, it's just that FTX had the means (its own token that it could pump and move around its own entities) to paper over the hole in its balance sheet until now. Can anyone more familiar with the situation elaborate? How much further will the contagion spread?
https://mobile.twitter.com/LucasNuzzi/status/159012259020682...
In summary:
1. Alameda essentially needed a bailout in the spring.
2. Alameda, though, also had a large chunk of FTT coming due in the fall that was basically part of the vesting schedule of the original FTT ICO.
3. So, FTX lent Alameda customer funds in the spring.
4. In the fall, when the vested FTT paid out to Alameda, they immediately paid it back to FTX.
5. The thing that looks highly suspicious and fraudulent is that SBF tweeted out that the big FTT move that day was just normal "rotation".
Also, particularly interesting to me, the FTX-US president, Brett Harrison, resigned the day before that transaction at the end of September. He also just liked an interview on LinkedIn where Brian Armstrong (Coinbase CEO) was being interviewed, saying "not all crypto companies are like FTX, where it appears they fraudulently misappropriated customer funds".
The above is speculation, but it's based on on-chain data.