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FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

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Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#701
post #644

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you describe how a bank uses money that it has to originate loans? EDIT: note that this paragraph (and the one preceding it) directly contradicts what you are saying: This description of money creation contrasts with the notion that banks can only lend out pre-existing money, outlined in the previous section. Bank deposits are simply a record of how much the bank itself owes its customers. So they are a liability…

> Can you describe how a bank uses money that it has to originate loans? Yes. If I take a loan out of a bank in physical banknotes, then the bank physically loses the amount of banknotes that I physically receive. Physical banknotes are not duplicated. If I take out 100 euros in physical banknotes, then the bank loses the corresponding 100 euros in physical banknotes. The bank does not magically create physical bankn…

> Furthermore, it's not clear to me how you believe that the BoE article contradicts what I'm saying. I'm under the impression that you (along with most other people) are simply misunderstanding what you are reading here.

The contradiction seems fundamental. You're suggesting existing deposits facilitate the creation of loans. The entire BoE article is a repeated attempt at showing how loans create deposits.

> Do you think that a bank which has NO MONEY is able to (in a practical sense) create infinite money out of thin air? Sure it can type "9999999999999 dollars" on a computer, but that wouldn't be "real money" in any practical sense, because you wouldn't be able to exchange it for goods and services.

That's ... exactly how it works. If the bank believes you are good for 9999999999999 dollars over the term of the loan, they put +x in your demand deposit account, and -x in your loan account (and from bank's view those are respectively the bank's own liabilities and assets).

You can then go and send that money (demand deposit) somewhere else to buy a house or whatever (goods and services). Bank A and bank B both have banking licences, which means they mutually trust using each other's customer demand deposit accounts as 'money'.

You mentioned you wouldn't be able to exchange that for goods and services - but that's exactly what happens. You then need to find those dollars and pay back the loan eventually from a job or whatever, or else you go bankrupt.

If you would like to turn that demand deposit into hard cash to keep under the mattress, your commercial bank will send your demand deposit to the commercial bank's account with the central bank, and the central bank will truck over some cash in return.

I know you get this since you write it as IOUs in the article. What I'm trying to get across is that nothing has to precede the creation of the IOU, whereas I think you say an initial deposit of government-issued central bank money (cash) is required.

> Follow-up question: if you genuinely believe this to be possible, then why isn't anybody doing that? Surely there are many people working at banks who would like to collude with their friends and family to create infinite money. If you believe that to be possible, why has it literally never happened?

Try it :) I think odds are you end up in jail.

And if a bank (or crypto exchange!) is in the business of writing crap to counterparties who can't pay them back, the bank probably goes out of business once everyone realizes the bank assets (loans) are garbage.

Trying to get a loan without intention of paying it back is bank fraud. It happens and occasionally for very large sums; https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/papas-mazco...

Further, regulators like to see banks hold capital against their assets to make sure they can fill the gap when some loans inevitably go bad. That capital could be retained earnings, shareholder capital, etc etc. It just doesn't have to come from an initial deposit.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#702
post #701

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Can you describe how a bank uses money that it has to originate loans? Yes. If I take a loan out of a bank in physical banknotes, then the bank physically loses the amount of banknotes that I physically receive. Physical banknotes are not duplicated. If I take out 100 euros in physical banknotes, then the bank loses the corresponding 100 euros in physical banknotes. The bank does not magically create physical bankn…

> Furthermore, it's not clear to me how you believe that the BoE article contradicts what I'm saying. I'm under the impression that you (along with most other people) are simply misunderstanding what you are reading here. The contradiction seems fundamental. You're suggesting existing deposits facilitate the creation of loans. The entire BoE article is a repeated attempt at showing how loans create deposits. > Do you…

> What I'm trying to get across is that nothing has to precede the creation of the IOU, whereas I think you say an initial deposit of government-issued central bank money (known as cash).

I'll start responding to this because I think it's a point where we agree: yes, you can type any number in a computer and call it "money". Yes, I agree nothing has to precede the creation of numbers on a computer. However, in order for those numbers to actually "be money" in a practical sense where someone could exchange them to goods and services, the bank has to actually own some real money. If the bank literally has 0 reserves, then the money that it creates on the computer will not be in practice exchangeable to goods and services.

> > Do you think that a bank which has NO MONEY is able to (in a practical sense) create infinite money out of thin air?

> That's ... exactly how it works. [...] You can then go and send that money (demand deposit) somewhere else to buy a house or whatever (goods and services). Bank A and bank B both have banking licences, which means they mutually trust using each other's customer demand deposit accounts as 'money'.

If bank A tries to send 9999999999999 dollars to bank B, bank B doesn't simply trust that bank A is good for it. The transfer would not actually go through in the real world. Please produce a single example where this has happened: a single example where a bank had 0 reserves, created >9999999999999 USD out of thin air, and then somebody exchanged that money to goods and services. A single example is enough to prove me wrong. What you're claiming to be possible has never actually happened.

> If you would like to turn that demand deposit into hard cash to keep under the mattress, your commercial bank will send your demand deposit to the commercial bank's account with the central bank, and the central bank will truck over some cash in return.

So in this scenario we have a bank that has 0 reserves in the central bank, and the bank then goes to the central bank and says "I would like to withdraw 9999999999999 dollars in cash, please". This scenario is comparable to you opening up a checking account at a (regular) bank with 0 dollars in it and then walking into the bank saying "I would like to withdraw 9999999999999 dollars in cash, please". The bank would tell you "sorry, your account has 0 dollars, which is less than the 9999999999999 you are trying to withdraw, so we can't make the withdrawal". This is exactly what the central bank would respond to a bank that is holding 0 dollars in reserves at the central bank while trying to withdraw an amount greater than 0 dollars. Even if the bank was asking the central bank to produce $5, the central bank would say no, $5 > $0, you can't withdraw money you don't have.

Edit: to add clarity, I'm saying that this specific part of your claims is wrong: "your commercial bank will send your demand deposit to the commercial bank's account with the central bank". To the extent that the commercial bank is able to "create money out of thin air", it isn't the type of money that the central bank would accept as a deposit. You can fact check this.

> Trying to get a loan without intention of paying it back is bank fraud. It happens and occasionally for very large sums [...]

That's completely unrelated to this discussion. Yes, a bank can loan out money (money that it has) to a fraudster who has no intention of paying back the loan. The question we have here is, can a bank that has 0 money, can it magically create 9999999999999 dollars out of thin air and loan it out. That's unrelated to whether the loanee will eventually pay it back or not.

> The contradiction seems fundamental. You're suggesting existing deposits facilitate the creation of loans. The entire BoE article is a repeated attempt at showing how loans create deposits.

You present these things as mutually exclusive - they're not. Existing deposits facilitate the creation of loans, and the creation of loans expands the amount of existing deposits. Both of these things can be true at the same time, and they are true at the same time.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#703

Earlier quoted context omitted.

From Gulliver's Travels by Jonathan Swift, the lands of Lilliput and Gargantua. In one, every resident is tiny, Lilliputian, and in the other: huge, ...Gargantuan Notably, the book reads in a very modern way, it's a bit shocking to know it was written in the 1700s when stylistically, and according to its vocabulary, it feels so very modern.

Hate to be pedantic, but as a Frenchman I can't help but point out it's actually from Rabelais: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gargantua_and_Pantagruel

Haha indeed, I forgot this existed! What a long and winding trail our languages are!

Thanks, your pedantry is greatly appreciated, it makes HN fun and educational

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#704
post #565

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Apple

Well now, sounds like you’ve just given centralized control to a third party. Guess your keys aren’t your keys after all.

Keys are still safe in your phone. It’s an encrypted backup. Random Apple employees can’t get to the private key.

I’m not interested in goalkeeping both sides of the convenience-security spectrum. Bury your keys in a tin can if you want, or custody at an insured exchange if that’s your preference. I think installing say Rainbow Wallet is a fine choice.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#705
post #644

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you describe how a bank uses money that it has to originate loans? EDIT: note that this paragraph (and the one preceding it) directly contradicts what you are saying: This description of money creation contrasts with the notion that banks can only lend out pre-existing money, outlined in the previous section. Bank deposits are simply a record of how much the bank itself owes its customers. So they are a liability…

> Can you describe how a bank uses money that it has to originate loans? Yes. If I take a loan out of a bank in physical banknotes, then the bank physically loses the amount of banknotes that I physically receive. Physical banknotes are not duplicated. If I take out 100 euros in physical banknotes, then the bank loses the corresponding 100 euros in physical banknotes. The bank does not magically create physical bankn…

> If I take a loan out of a bank in physical banknotes, then the bank physically loses the amount of banknotes that I physically receive. Physical banknotes are not duplicated

The withdrawl of money from a bank as notes/coins is a different operation than the origination of a loan. When banks originate a loan, the first thing that happens is that you see the balance appear in your account. You can then choose to withdraw that in cash.

> If I take a loan out of a bank in the form of electronic transfer to another bank, then usually one of 2 things happen:

Again, the origination of the loan and the transfer of settlement funds to another bank are separate operations. You cannot take out a loan in the form of electronic transfer to another bank.

> 1. The receiving bank requires ... they didn't magically gain "free money" by providing a loan to their customer.

Agreed, so what you've described so far is that banks need reserve balances sufficient to cover interbank settlements and cash withdrawls, and banks do not receive money by originating loans.

What they do when they originate loans is provide an asset to the customer (a demand deposit balance) in exchange for a liability of the customer (the loan agreement).

> I believe this is referring to the creation of the accounting entry

All "money" is simply an accounting entry.

> It's true in the most pedantic sense, which is incredibly misleading and unhelpful.

It's true in every sense, and is very helpful if you want to understand how banking and money work.

> Yes, when you type a number into a computer, you can type any number. If I were to open a business where I operate like a bank, taking deposits from people and loaning money to people

You haven't described the mechanism by which a bank can use deposits it has taken from customers to originate loans to other customers.

> and I were to keep a ledger of how much money each person has at their "accounts" with me, I could type any number I want in that ledger. Let's say I type in "9999999999999 dollars". Sure, why not. If your argument is that one can type in any number they want on a computer, then that's true, but it's not a useful argument to make.

Yes it is, because it's an accurate description of how banks originate loans.

> Do you think that a bank which has NO MONEY is able to (in a practical sense) create infinite money out of thin air? Sure it can type "9999999999999 dollars" on a computer, but that wouldn't be "real money" in any practical sense, because you wouldn't be able to exchange it for goods and services.

Deposits created by a bank are good for all transactions within that bank. If all people were customers of the same bank (some sort of "central bank" if you will) and all currency were digital, then the bank could indeed create infinity dollars without liquidity risk, because all transactions would occur within their own accounting system with no external settlements.

> Follow-up question: if you genuinely believe this to be possible, then why isn't anybody doing that? Surely there are many people working at banks who would like to collude with their friends and family to create infinite money. If you believe that to be possible, why has it literally never happened?

The reason it has never happened in precisely the way you outline above is quite simply regulation. But also, it does happen, fraud in loan origination isn't that rare. Here's a recent example of a banker originating $16m in loans to Paul Manafort in exchange for a shot at working with Trump:

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/23/banker-indicted-for-loaning-...

But let's imagine that a bank did attempt to operate without any settlement balances. What would that look like?

It would originate loans by adding $9,999,999,999 to someone's account, and since they're not the only bank, the person has the choice to spend that money wherever they please and some of that money will end up being withdrawn as notes/coins or transferred to another bank.

The originator of the loan would then have to borrow settlement balances sufficient to cover withdrawals in notes/coins and cover interbank settlements. As a result it would be paying interest, which puts up its costs. Now let's imagine all banks did that, starting from $0 on day one.

What happens? The central bank, which is the lender of last resort, lends money to all those banks and they have to pay interest on it, but in lending the money, the central bank has created reserve balances. Now, the bank that is most successful at attracting people to create accounts receives more reserve balances than the others, which they can use to pay back the central bank, thus reducing their costs. If they continue being more successful, they will eventually not only have paid back the central bank, but will have excess reserves which they can use to satisfy future interbank settlements and cash withdrawls and they may even have so much in reserve that they can compete with the central bank to lend those reserves to other banks (at an interest rate just below what the central bank charges -- ringing any bells?) which makes them EVEN MORE money.

So the reason banks like to attract deposits is that it makes them more profitable.

Of course, there are also regulations and capital requirements that are imposed on banks, and the government also creates net financial assets in the banking sector by issuing bonds on the primary market (which is a vestigial way of overt money creation kept in place because it is convenient for a bunch of rich people to get richer, but that's another story).

But fundamentally, we could have a banking system that operates exactly as I described where ALL money creation occurred only through the origination of private credit and subsequent lending of reserve balances by the central bank. It would be a horrible economy with massive inequality and instability, but you could do it, if you so desired. The reason we regulate it is to remove some of that instability (removing the inequality, we're still working on!)

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#706

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No blockchain can ever guarantee there's any visibility or accountability Visibility or accountability of what? Many blockchains are public. I find you not only misinformed but possibly intentionally trying to mislead people. "The amount of energy necessary to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it." - Paul Kedrosky

> Visibility or accountability of what? Many blockchains are public. I don't know how you ask these questions if you read the parent's post. Clearly, the parent lays out situations where going off/on blockchain dilutes visibility. The cross-collateralization of FTX assets wasn't on blockchain.

I read the parent's post.

"No blockchain can ever guarantee there's any visibility or accountability."

Ever? Any? Clearly this sentence is false. It takes only one counterexample to prove it.

Here's the counterexample. If someday all the world's money are on a single blockchain and there are no banks, the blockchain guarantees visibility and possibly accountability.

Do you see the meaning of ever now?

Please don't be gratuitously negative. It's to your benefit to be precise. You sell yourself short when you cut off possibilities.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#707

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No blockchain can ever guarantee there's any visibility or accountability Visibility or accountability of what? Many blockchains are public. I find you not only misinformed but possibly intentionally trying to mislead people. "The amount of energy necessary to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it." - Paul Kedrosky

> I find you not only misinformed but possibly intentionally trying to mislead people. This. Brand new account spreading blatant lies.

11 months old isn't brand new.

The way I find the OP isn't a blatant lie. It's the truth: how I find the OP.

Now I'm wondering about you.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#708

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If a bank's assets ever drop below its liabilities, it is immediately liquidated, the shareholders lose everything, and insurance steps in to fix any gaps. That's how it's supposed to work. We've all found out in 2008 that's no longer the case. The FDIC took over and sold or liquidated a few hundred small banks and a handful of medium sized banks. The big ones were considered to be too big to fail and were bailed o…

So bail-outs weren't grants, they were loans, and the loans have been repaid netting a massive windfall to the government over over $100B with many more billions to come, a ton of jobs were saved and it's hard to argue that they were at all a bad thing. [1] This is coming from someone who at the time thought the bailouts were a bad idea. [1] https://projects.propublica.org/bailout/

You're describing just a small fraction of the unprecedented Citi bailout. They decided that Citi must not be allowed to fail.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/06/books/review/james-freema...

This was a massive intervention in saving a failed bank.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#709

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Quoted post unavailable.

>Is someone paying you to say this? Did you lose a bunch of money? No and no. Avoid asking these questions please, they're fallacious and kind of rude. I just see fraud and I call it out. I'm sick of seeing these crypto-Enrons keep happening. I hope the SEC finally cracks down and anyone still involved in crypto after any more of these tumbles goes straight to prison. The entire thing is a ponzi scheme and a fraud an…

You wrote too many false sentences. Here's one: "the technology is useless beyond any kind of recovery."

The technology works. People use crypto for payments.

> Now the only real way to force all these people to use a single blockchain and make them follow normal accounting procedures would be to pass a law making them do it.

I wouldn't be surprised if someone put you up to coming here and writing all this, so you can go back and claim something like "I ran this by lots of smart people and they agree the only way is to pass a law", and then use this to back some legislation.

Re: FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall

#710
post #696
post #646

Earlier quoted context omitted.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33482032 > it's most likely that users flagged your post I think when users flag a post they should only be given that privilege if their account is under their real name and if it shows who flagged a post. I rarely flag a post but when I do I would always be willing to do so publicly and state why. Otherwise downvotes/lack of upvotes should be the only acceptable means of flaggin…

That post was indeed flagged by users, not mods. The rule that we moderate less when YC or a YC startup is part of a story ( https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu... ) is about mods, not users. Users are free to flag things that they think don't belong on HN. I understand if you have a disagreement with how flags work on HN—you're not alone in that. But it is a separate issue from the point rai…

Can I suggest having [users flagged] and [mod flagged]? right now i just assume mod flags.
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