Earlier quoted context omitted.
> $200B and a decade. Also do you think Taiwan is just going to let go of their biggest bargaining chip for a measly $200B? Not necessarily a decade. Intel is promising ~4 years for their fabs, and hoping to be online by 2025-ish if I recall correctly. Fab production is also, it seems, going quicker than expected. > When exactly are you talking about? In 2018, Apple's cash pile hit $285 Billion. I was underestimating…
> In 2018, Apple's cash pile hit $285 Billion. I was underestimating it. Much has changed since 2018. Apple cash on hand for the quarter ending June 30, 2022 was $48.231B, a 21.82% decline year-over-year. Apple cash on hand for 2021 was $62.639B, a 31.12% decline from 2020. Apple cash on hand for 2020 was $90.943B, a 9.56% decline from 2019 Apple cash on hand for 2019 was $100.557B, a 51.67% increase from 2018. [1] […
The end of Apple’s affair with China
151–160 of 167 posts
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#152Earlier quoted context omitted.
> In 2018, Apple's cash pile hit $285 Billion. I was underestimating it. Much has changed since 2018. Apple cash on hand for the quarter ending June 30, 2022 was $48.231B, a 21.82% decline year-over-year. Apple cash on hand for 2021 was $62.639B, a 31.12% decline from 2020. Apple cash on hand for 2020 was $90.943B, a 9.56% decline from 2019 Apple cash on hand for 2019 was $100.557B, a 51.67% increase from 2018. [1] […
Yeah but they probably spent the money on stock buybacks.
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#153I have been repeating this for years [1] [2] but every time gets downvoted into oblivion on HN. Not only that, there are no signs of Apple turning ship either. Those that were forced out by Geopolitics doesn't count.
But yes, doing assembly in India gets their PR win.
At least, judging from the 141 comments so far. There are a few people finally getting it.
Edit: And my quick glance of Economists data suggest they simply classify company by their HQ location. But not by their ownership and shareholding structure. Not that it makes substantial differences, just the numbers are higher than what is shown.
[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29489132
[2] Wrote about YMTC on SemiWiki in 2018. And their relationship with Apple.
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#154Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#155The thing with outsourcing is, the vendor will themselves set up shop wherever the customer wants. In this case all the chinese companies are simply setting up plants in India and Vietnam, so they end up not losing any business in the short term. Same thing happens with software. All of the India consulting firms set up shop all over the world, for example Mexico to provide similar time zones to their US customers ye…
It makes a difference though. The Indian factories hire all Indian staff and this makes it resilient to any trade war issues that may arise between China and the U.S.
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#156>Chinese companies’ share of iPhone electronics production will rise from 7% this year to 24% by 2025, I have been repeating this for years [1] [2] but every time gets downvoted into oblivion on HN. Not only that, there are no signs of Apple turning ship either. Those that were forced out by Geopolitics doesn't count. But yes, doing assembly in India gets their PR win. At least, judging from the 141 comments so far.…
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#157Earlier quoted context omitted.
Additionally Ukraine is the breadbasket of the world, people thought Russia wouldn’t do this because of how it would mess up the food supply chain… the exact same argument being made for why China can’t invade Taiwan, too many companies rely on it.
The Russian armed forces has had a lot of actual battlefield experience invading Georgia in the ‘00s, bombing Syria in the ‘10s, not to mention its internal bloody counterinsurgency occupation in Chechnya in the ‘90s. The Chinese military hasn’t fought a real war since against Vietnam in 1979, and its navy has had no experience at all since- Korea? The end of the civil war? War is entirely more uncertain for China, a…
It is in Taiwan's interest to be at least as tough a nut as Ukraine is, and I think they are trying.
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#158Earlier quoted context omitted.
You're talking about turning a ship 10000x the size of the Titanic. A company like Apple with a CEO that built his career on logistics and production? You can be sure there's a plan. You just aren't allowed to see it.
> A company like Apple with a CEO that built his career on logistics and production? You can be sure there's a plan. You just aren't allowed to see it. This, this and THIS ! Do not underestimate Apple when it comes to supply chain management, they are the kings. Don't believe me ? Look at the COVID-induced semi-conductor shortage. Every other manufacturer out there that relies on a very strict definition of Just-In-T…
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#159Earlier quoted context omitted.
> A company like Apple with a CEO that built his career on logistics and production? You can be sure there's a plan. You just aren't allowed to see it. This, this and THIS ! Do not underestimate Apple when it comes to supply chain management, they are the kings. Don't believe me ? Look at the COVID-induced semi-conductor shortage. Every other manufacturer out there that relies on a very strict definition of Just-In-T…
Is there any data for this? TBH, It doesn't pass the smell-test for me. Apple has a tiny product range, meanwhile companies like Samsung sell everything from chips, screens, and other components, to phones, laptops, tvs, etc, etc. Or even Dell, which has a massive product range; Our company purchased a ton of hardware from them during covid with no lead time issues - at-least on the things we wanted.
They did re-engineer some products to deal with chip shortages e.g. the D6000 docking stations were replaced with D6000S models that had no 3.5mm headphone jack (presmuably due to a scarcity of DAC chips).
Network switch hardware still has some brutal delays at the moment, have been advised of 250+ day lead times for switches (across different models and manufacturers).
Re: The end of Apple’s affair with China
#160Earlier quoted context omitted.
Is there any data for this? TBH, It doesn't pass the smell-test for me. Apple has a tiny product range, meanwhile companies like Samsung sell everything from chips, screens, and other components, to phones, laptops, tvs, etc, etc. Or even Dell, which has a massive product range; Our company purchased a ton of hardware from them during covid with no lead time issues - at-least on the things we wanted.
FWIW we had some pretty weird lead times with Dell during the worst of COVID. They did re-engineer some products to deal with chip shortages e.g. the D6000 docking stations were replaced with D6000S models that had no 3.5mm headphone jack (presmuably due to a scarcity of DAC chips). Network switch hardware still has some brutal delays at the moment, have been advised of 250+ day lead times for switches (across differ…