Totally anecdotal but just a month ago I opened a box from my last moving (ended 4 years ago...) and I found a CD-RW labeled "Backup 2001", which survived 5-6 relocations, even an international one. Well, I put it into an USB DVD player I have aaaand, it starts spinning and spinning and spinning, and nothing shows up in Nautilus. Looking at dmesg I see a few I/O errors on the device. Then, I try ddrescue [1], start e…
The earliest CDs I had were from 1994 or so, though most were from early 2000s. They were mostly cheapest CD-Rs you could buy back then, so I was expecting most of them be completely unusable.
But most of them still read perfectly. I had maybe half a dozen (out of hundreds) that were completely unreadable, mostly due to peeling, about a dozen that were functionally unreadable, because there were so many unreadable files I couldn't save anything complete out of them, and maybe 10% that had less than 10 unreadable files on them.
I was surprised. I was really expecting almost all the early ones to be dead.