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Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

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11–20 of 225 posts

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#11
Add these technologies to your toolbox.

It is not easy to do "prompt engineering". Keep in mind that most generated material looks awful -- there is a huge selection bias going on.

The outputted stuff needs to made production ready also, distribution, etc.

If anything, the emergence of these technologies should greatly expand. You will have a new customer base that was not available before, and you will be able to deliver new products.

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#12
Perhaps in the short term you do nothing. It will be many years before this moves from “toy” to “tool”. The industry is made up of humans and humans adapt at human speed. You don’t have to outrun the AI bears, you just have to outrun your colleagues.

Perhaps this will just make your job easier and not impact your ability to make money. Maybe you will make even more money.

And if at some point the industry dries up completely, you will move on and do the best you can. We all will.

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#15

Some excerpts from your website in the future: "We use AI to optimise our early-stage iterations" "AI is great for generating initial concepts. Here are some of ourfavourites, and some that didn't turn out so well!" "Did you know AI can reduce our turnaround for clients by up to 50%?" In other words: it'll help. It won't replace you.

...which, by the way, is how most automation turns out. I've worked in semiconductor manufacturing and software, and in both cases the automation that was at one point predicted to eliminate jobs, just made the people more productive, which made them more valuable, and instead of fewer jobs there were more, because more could be done by each person (so the range of applications that were economical to do was increased). So "it'll help, it won't replace you" is not pie-in-the-sky thinking, it's the most likely result, because it's what normally happens when automation improves.

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#16
Create an agency of one (yourself) and use the AI tools. Profit from the margins between the cost of the AI (likely near zero as time goes on) and what you charge customers.

This is not without precedent. DesignJoy is run by a single designer who makes over $1.5 million a year by himself, doing contracts for 20+ clients at a time [0].

[0] https://www.indiehackers.com/post/broke-the-1-5m-arr-mark-as...

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#17
I'm not so sure it will be that easy to exactly control the output of the AI algos. This is not that important when doing art for art's sake but, for commercial purposes, if you can't make that can of coke slightly bigger or more redder, or have the teenage in the picture hold it slighlty differently (all as per client's feedback), the tool might be a failure.

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#18
post #9

People like you will do 10x the amount of work in the future. So we don't need about 90% of you. For this I think you should try to be one of the 10% that's left. You're on HN and you're really early in this AI image generation game.

I wonder about that. Sometimes when technology makes people 10x more productive society responds by increasing the demand for what they can do by a factor of ten. One example: I'm running an early-stage startup. If an explainer video for my product will cost me $20,000 I'm probably not going to commission one. If it costs $2,000 then maybe I will.

This is a huge part of it, and if you can ride that wave, you can be the person charging $10k for what everyone else is scrambling around trying to charge $2k.

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#19

I would say add these AI tools to your toolbox and use them to get things done quicker.

Right—the ones who survive in the industry will be the ones who use these tools to increase their output 5x or more (while someone who's only good at the prompt-crafting part and isn't an expert at image manipulation might only hit 1x-2x the pro's prior output)

Re: Ask HN: What am I supposed to do after I’m “disrupted”? Work in video and CG

#20

Some excerpts from your website in the future: "We use AI to optimise our early-stage iterations" "AI is great for generating initial concepts. Here are some of ourfavourites, and some that didn't turn out so well!" "Did you know AI can reduce our turnaround for clients by up to 50%?" In other words: it'll help. It won't replace you.

It will help content producers avoid hiring to achieve good results.

I’m using AI to aid development of a game engine with a baked in model to replicate and help the user evolve the game world style, and rules, to their curiosity and tastes. Games will be even easier since familiar experiences are heavily constrained through painstaking play test. Game world generation parameters are finite. Even the art work we appreciate most is often constrained to a handful of style patterns; consider how flat web design was suddenly everywhere with only colors differing. Whole lot of the same goes into game asset production.

Gabe Newell called content creating AI an extinction level event for multimedia business. Of course politics as usual will be leveraged to create private monopoly of such technology unless open sourced.

Our best bet is such software is open source and thus aristocrats cannot lock it up behind artificial scarcity and copyright maximalism.

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