Live data from Hacker News

A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

science.org

231–240 of 254 posts

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#231

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The world is full of radioactivity, including the banana you eat and the partner you sleep next to. What matters is the amount, is it dangerous?

True, and the amount of radiation left in thr Rocky Flatts area is dangerous, simple fact.

I'm assuming you're assuming the linear no threshold model here otherwise this statement doesn't make sense.

What do you mean by "dangerous"? Because having sex with your wife is dangerous in that it increases the risk of heart attack. Some dangers are negligible increases that are worth the risk. A 0.00001% increased risk of lung cancer is negligible compared to things like air pollution from living in a city.

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I admit it's alluring. It's just a chunk of greyish metal, how dangerous could it be? Radioactivity is already a mysterious and fascinating and alluring phenomenon, and somehow radioactive things not looking particularly dangerous only adds to that effect. There's something strange about ionizing radiation: it's extremely dangerous, yet we have never evolved the ability to detect it and have no intuition for it.

> never evolved the ability to detect it How much of a problem was it before we started mining uranium and putting it into glass? That was only 100-200 years ago, I think?

Hasn't there always been a risk of radon appearing in basements and groundwater?

Regardless, it's clear that radiation was not enough of an evolutionary "problem" for our bodies to evolve to cope with it, beyond whatever we get from the sun. But that's just the thing! We are so used to our bodies mostly doing the right thing in response to various dangers: bitter is poison, cold is frostbite/hypothermia, burning pain is fire/burns, nausea/disgust is disease, thirst is dehydration, etc.

Ionizing radiation is weird because it literally destroys our tissues, but does so indirectly by destroying our DNA (as far as I understand anyway), but we never had any evolutionary reason to be able to "feel" our DNA being destroyed, so we evolved neither the ability to detect it happening nor the ability to see or detect radiation in the environment.

I suspect that many industrial chemicals and poisons in a similar category, e.g. many poisons are either neutral or sweet-smelling/tasting. But radiation is especially weird and scary because it's such an unfamiliar phenomenon to begin with, unlike poison which most humans seems to understand instinctively.

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#233
post #220
post #219

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I do think workers have the right to a safe workplace, or more precisely they have the right to not be coerced into taking risks, but that that right exists inherently; it does not come from laws or what the majority of US society thinks. So those things are irrelevant to determining whether a given workplace is too dangerous or too paranoid. You say, " Employees that had no input into the decision or actions that [l…

I would tend to agree, if those risks are formally communicated and accepted. If they don't accept those risks, the employer is still legally bound to provide a safe working environment. What you see in many of the higher injury-rate industries is that the injuries are often traced back to a lack of diligence in that responsibility. What I've seen in practice is that risks are often downplayed due to cognitive biases…

Probably in this case the line employees are, on the most part, better informed than the management: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33067293

And the fact, at LANL, that the safety team left en masse when the management wouldn't let them implement what they considered to be proper safety measures, suggests that the employees in question were in a good position to not only understand but also reject the risk.

In general, line workers are the ones whose incentives are best aligned with safety, since they're usually the ones who die (or, as you pointed out, suffer serious injuries). Sometimes they make bad decisions (as seems to have happened in this case) and sometimes they lack the information necessary — often, as you point out, because they're being lied to. Sometimes regulation helps improve that situation (it has been very useful in extorting MSDSes from material suppliers, for example) but I think much more often it results in the sort of time-wasting box-checking exercise referenced in the other comment, motivated by management ass-covering, not real safety improvements.

Usually, what improves workplace safety is decentralization of control (devolution of decision-making power down to line workers), freedom of information, high-quality coworkers, and an overall workplace culture that values safety and, as I said at the beginning of the thread, ceaselessly seeks ways to improve it. And if that makes me sound like a "sovereign citizen", so be it — even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

For the record, I've only experienced a significant workplace injury once, and the resulting disability was small enough I don't notice it most days, though the scar is obvious. I got fired for it.

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#234
post #99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe they're all being counterproductively paranoid.

More nuclear nuclear accidents is exactly what we need to convince the public to use nuclear energy production…

I want to give people the information they need to construct the knowledge to make good choices, and the freedom to put those choices into practice. Convincing people to do things is very rarely useful in this context.

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#235

My favorite nuclear disaster! Criticality events. I lived in Los Alamos for a while. I looked into renting a studio space. I became curious about the property across the street from my prospective rental which was surrounded by a chain link fence with green canvas. I researched and learned it was the site of an original Manhattan site waste dump which had, a few years prior, been enclosed with a negative pressure ten…

This is a crazy read, thanks for sharing! Weren’t you scared or radiation exposure living so close to the dump site??

Ever use a Geiger counter to see how safe it is around your living space?

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#236
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fun fact, if you ever want to locate sketchy sites, the keyword is "Wildlife Management Area". Odds are pretty good it's going to be some former superfund, government, chemical, or industrial cleanup site. They do their best to clean up what they can and then declare it a nature preserve. E.g. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quehanna_Wild_Area

It's nuts that this is a legal practice. It's intentionally deceptive to the general public and also removes peoples right to avoid exposure to bad stuff in bad places. There should be some kind of law passed that at least forces these places to be labeled what they really are. This quote about the former Rocky Flats that has become a nature preserve sums it up: "The area is an industrial nuclear waste site, not a na…

Is it done so people will/can not settle there legally? Thers a large waste dump near me and its actually closed and defined as nature reserve and thus people are prohibited to live there.

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#237
post #233
post #220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would tend to agree, if those risks are formally communicated and accepted. If they don't accept those risks, the employer is still legally bound to provide a safe working environment. What you see in many of the higher injury-rate industries is that the injuries are often traced back to a lack of diligence in that responsibility. What I've seen in practice is that risks are often downplayed due to cognitive biases…

Probably in this case the line employees are, on the most part, better informed than the management: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33067293 And the fact, at LANL, that the safety team left en masse when the management wouldn't let them implement what they considered to be proper safety measures, suggests that the employees in question were in a good position to not only understand but also reject the risk. In…

It's interesting how wildly differently we can interpret the same information.

>"Probably in this case the line employees are, on the most part, better informed than the management: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33067293"

For instance, I would not consider 2 days of training "highly trained". I believe it's true that the LANL area has one of the highest concentrations of PhDs, but I don't necessarily think that translates to being informed about all the risks. A PhD often means a lot of knowledge, but in a very narrow field. Sometimes, that level of education can be a detriment if it fosters a false sense of general ability. I've had many experiences of Masters and PhD chemists and engineers who felt, "Hey, I'm smart. I've written some cool VBA macros. I'm sure I can program this thing. It's just software." Smash-cut to hazardous releases that cause people to have to shelter in place or firefighters being called. They were subject matter experts in one area, but not smart enough to recognize their own ignorance outside their specialty. It didn't matter that they were experts in their field or front-line workers. I also think it's wild to me that your takeaway from the article is that blatantly disregarding best practices is acceptable. It's a bit of a jump to look at the evidence in the article and assume it must be okay, 'cause, you know, they're first line employees so they must know what they're doing so best practices need not apply. As someone who used to work in safety-critical software, it scares me when I read about this same cavalier SV attitude pervading into safety-critical design like autonomous vehicles.[1] Which relates to,

>"In general, line workers are the ones whose incentives are best aligned with safety"

I think we agree that their incentives are aligned. I think where we disagree is that people on the front lines aren't always acting as rational agents. I don't think they are because of a host of competing incentives and cognitive biases. Major catastrophes bear this out. Good examples are the Challenger or Columbia disasters at NASA. To your point, there was disagreement between management and front-line employees regarding the risk. Both groups were wrong because of these biases. We just aren't wired to estimate low probability events well, especially when there are less abstract competing risks like budget and schedule. That's why NASA created a separate safety arm that was distinct from the production workers. They felt it was necessary to get an objective assessment. Note this lack of impartial judgement is also a finding in [1].

I don't disagree that there's a lot of unhelpful safety theater. But there's also an awful lot of push back against safety that's borne out of a combination of ignorance and arrogance.

[1] https://spectrum.ieee.org/ntsb-investigation-into-deadly-ube...

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#238

My favorite nuclear disaster! Criticality events. I lived in Los Alamos for a while. I looked into renting a studio space. I became curious about the property across the street from my prospective rental which was surrounded by a chain link fence with green canvas. I researched and learned it was the site of an original Manhattan site waste dump which had, a few years prior, been enclosed with a negative pressure ten…

> Everyone I met in Los Alamos had zero concerns about pollution having an impact on them. I mean, are they wrong? By all conventional metrics, Los Alamos County is one of the healthiest counties in the country. Obviously there are major confounders, but if it doesn’t readily show in the data maybe zero concern is the right level.

I found it somewhat reassuring, as these were people trained in nuclear science, invested in the area and raising families there. However, they're not ecologists or doctors, and are basically the successors of the people who randomly dumped a bunch of nuclear waste all over. I'm sure if you asked in the 50s they would have told you oh yeah, it's fine, it's under 30 feet of dirt.

I asked one nuclear chemist what he thought about the new housing developments at TA-21 (or whatever it is), the site of the milling facility. He said "Sure, I'd live there. Well, I'd take my geiger counter".

Los Alamos is higher elevation than surrounding areas, on top of sandy soil that drains to the Rio Grande. I'd be more concerned about the health impacts on the people in the watershed. Los Alamos County has one of the highest per capita incomes and education levels in the country (I believe it has the highest percentage of PhDs), and pretty much everyone there works for the Labs, either as scientists or support staff. I'd me more concerned about the health impact on neighboring communities such as San Ildefonso Pueblo, which is quite the opposite - one of the lowest income and education levels in the country. Santa Fe is also a short distance down the river. The reservations there have indeed raised concerns about the impact of pollution on them, such as the aforementioned battle over chromium contamination.

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#239
post #235

My favorite nuclear disaster! Criticality events. I lived in Los Alamos for a while. I looked into renting a studio space. I became curious about the property across the street from my prospective rental which was surrounded by a chain link fence with green canvas. I researched and learned it was the site of an original Manhattan site waste dump which had, a few years prior, been enclosed with a negative pressure ten…

This is a crazy read, thanks for sharing! Weren’t you scared or radiation exposure living so close to the dump site?? Ever use a Geiger counter to see how safe it is around your living space?

I feel like they pretty much have it under control at this point, though there is always the danger of an accident. If I had ot go live there again I would probably not live 3/4 of a mile from their 63 acre toxic waste dump. The more I read about the history and current status, the more concerning it was. While I lived there incidents occurred like accidental release of radioactive gases and organic compounds.

Another fun thing, the open hiking area by my house had a sign warning that one might encounter one of dozens of types of undetonated ordinance from the 50s and 60s when they used it as a test bombing range.

There were many very healthy looking elderly people walking around the neighborhood each day, so it can't be that deadly. I actually became very ill while living there (I developed adult onset type 1 diabetes), but I don't believe it had anything to do with the area.

Re: A near-disaster at a nuclear weapons lab takes toll on America’s arsenal (2017)

#240

My favorite nuclear disaster! Criticality events. I lived in Los Alamos for a while. I looked into renting a studio space. I became curious about the property across the street from my prospective rental which was surrounded by a chain link fence with green canvas. I researched and learned it was the site of an original Manhattan site waste dump which had, a few years prior, been enclosed with a negative pressure ten…

This sounds like the same story as Rocky Flats west of Denver. Same thing, after "Cleanup" it's a (still radioactive) nature preserve and housing development now.

It's similar. There are many sites around the country that contributed to nuclear weapons development back then and have been left with pollution problems. Hanford, for instance, up the river from Portland, is a fair bit of a disaster.
Post reply on HN