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Nordstream: An Accident?

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Re: Nordstream: An Accident?

#3

Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon%27s_razor

Yes, but with competing theories or explanations, the simpler one, for example a model with fewer parameters, is to be preferred [1].

It's a razor fight then!

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor

Re: Nordstream: An Accident?

#4

Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon%27s_razor

I think, when war is raging and thousands are dying gruesome deaths, it's reasonable to consider malice.

Re: Nordstream: An Accident?

#7
To be honest, people dont seem to care too much who did it. It was russia: what are they gonna do, sanction them? It was the US: what are russians gonna do, go to war with the west?

Whoever did this, they solved a Godrian knot. Imagine going into winter with one pipeline being the lifeline of europe.

[My conspiracy theory: this was a arranged via secret negotiations between US and Russia. They want an end to the war with russia cut off from the western system and europe out of the picture. Putin gets pyrrhic "victory" and a golden bridge with the new republics, and Ukraine joins NATO, with nukes pointed at russia]

Re: Nordstream: An Accident?

#8
Unqualified opinions are cheap. This random internet guy thinks sabotage is unlikely on the Nord Stream incident based on what is published on news websites? This has a weight of exactly zero.

Re: Nordstream: An Accident?

#9

Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon%27s_razor

Don't cut yourself on Hanlon's razor. Its frequent success comes from an excess of stupidity in the world, not from a shortage of malice. Kids learn how to "play dumb" before they can even string complete sentences together and they only get better. Hanlon's razor is often correct, but always exploitable.
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