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Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

amolas.dev

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Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#21

Post by adtac »

jasonjayr wrote: post #14

(Slightly off topic) -- I can't connect to this site from my mobile data or home connection. FF, Curl + mobile FF claim to not be able to resolve the host The DNS records seem odd: $ dig www.amolas.dev [ ... ] ;; ANSWER SECTION: www.amolas.dev. 66 IN CNAME https://alexmolas.github.io. https://alexmolas.github.io. 66 IN A 185.199.111.153 https://alexmolas.github.io. 66 IN A 185.199.109.153 https://alexmolas.github.io.…

This reminds me of an old article quote from a game developer on Steam bug reports from Linux vs Windows users:

>The report quality [from Linux users] is stellar. I mean we have all seen bug reports like: “it crashes for me after a few hours”. Do you know what a developer can do with such a report? Feel sorry at best. You can’t really fix any bug unless you can replicate it, see it with your own eyes, peek inside and finally see that it’s fixed. And with bug reports from Linux players is just something else. You get all the software/os versions, all the logs, you get core dumps and you get replication steps. Sometimes I got with the player over discord and we quickly iterated a few versions with progressive fixes to isolate the problem. You just don’t get that kind of engagement from anyone else.

Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#22

Post by [deleted] »

gus_massa wrote: post #2

If you have no played it, try this game with some friends. It's surprisingly fun. > To simplify the problem, let’s start with the simple scenario where you are competing against two other persons. > P(wining)~=0.296 Where does the other 11.2% go? Is the probability of a triple tie? Perhaps you can add it to the article.

[deleted]

Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#24

Post by bombcar »

xnorswap wrote: post #5

This is used as a model for "reverse auctions" [1], which also then charges a fee for participation which essentially makes the whole thing a cross between a lottery and a scam. There were loads advertised on TV with misleading claims about people winning ipods for 37p, etc, which while technically might be true for the winner ignores the overall cost. I've not seen many advertised lately so either the practice itsel…

Iirc the FTC sat on them pretty damn hard.

Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#25

Post by jetrink »

tromp wrote: post #10
gus_massa wrote: post #2

If you have no played it, try this game with some friends. It's surprisingly fun. > To simplify the problem, let’s start with the simple scenario where you are competing against two other persons. > P(wining)~=0.296 Where does the other 11.2% go? Is the probability of a triple tie? Perhaps you can add it to the article.

Yes, the only case in which there's no winner is if all 3 pick the same number. Which is why the author skips the case of two players. Because then picking 1 always is a dominating strategy in which neither player wins.

I wonder what would happen to the two player game if the rewards were set up so that win=1, lose=0, tie=-1? It would be interesting to see how the strategy changed as the penalty for tying is increased.

Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#26

Post by planede »

What's super surprising if that I'm "dumb" and I play against two "smart" players then I can't have a bad strategy. Assuming that the "smart" players play the Nash-equilibrium mixed strategy then whatever strategy I execute, I have the same chance of winning.

Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#27

Post by monktastic1 »

gus_massa wrote: post #2

If you have no played it, try this game with some friends. It's surprisingly fun. > To simplify the problem, let’s start with the simple scenario where you are competing against two other persons. > P(wining)~=0.296 Where does the other 11.2% go? Is the probability of a triple tie? Perhaps you can add it to the article.

I mean sure I like a little "choose the smallest number" on the weekends, but I wouldn't say I'm a fiend. Gosh.

Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#28

Post by jetbooster »

wodenokoto wrote: post #20

So 3 players are following a strategy that leads them to wind just under a 3rd of the times on average. If they play thousands of times, what will the distribution of wins be?

The "missing" probability occurs when all 3 players vote for the same number, and thus all three lose.

Re: Choose the smallest number not chosen yet

#30

Post by civilized »

monktastic1 wrote: post #27
gus_massa wrote: post #2

If you have no played it, try this game with some friends. It's surprisingly fun. > To simplify the problem, let’s start with the simple scenario where you are competing against two other persons. > P(wining)~=0.296 Where does the other 11.2% go? Is the probability of a triple tie? Perhaps you can add it to the article.

I mean sure I like a little "choose the smallest number" on the weekends, but I wouldn't say I'm a fiend . Gosh.

You don't have to be one, you just want to play with some. I recommend sacrificing a goat.
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