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Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

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431–440 of 1001 posts

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#431
post #182

A plausible theory for why Russia has done this could be to avoid fines. It is likely that Russia has agreements with steep penalties for if they voluntarily don't provide gas like they agreed too (like what they are doing with Nord Stream 1). Blowing large holes in the pipelines could allow Russia to claim that they cannot provide gas because the pipelines are broken, effectively avoiding the fines.

How would fines work? Russia has already had its assets seized.

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#432

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Russians blew up their own brand-new pipeline, which they spend billions creating (jointly with the Germans) and is one of the few major "hopes" to salvage that relationship, especially as winter dawns. That's frankly absurd. Russia almost certainly sabotaged a LNG terminal in Texas a few months ago (industrial cyberattack). This act was almost certainly done by Washington or their proxies. It drives the wedge fu…

I don't understand why people here seem to think Russia is acting rationally. The fact they continue the invasion when losing is clearly irrational. They threaten mass nuclear bombardment of Europe nearly daily. I don't see any long term rationality in Putin's government in the slightest. There will be no salvaging the relationship between Germany and Russia for a long time unless Putin gets replaced, even during win…

Dictatorships, especially ones run by a single guy, are known to act irrationally and make fatal miscalculations. The list is endless.

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#433
post #115

If I were a betting man, I'd put my money on Poland. The Polish prime minister immediately called "sabotage" and fingered Russia, while everyone else is still saying "it could be sabotage but we need to investigate first". Russia wants the taps capable of being turned ON at their discretion, not permanently broken. This hurts their bargaining position in a big way because they've just lost their biggest source of lev…

> Russia wants the taps ON, not off. Russia unilaterally turned the taps OFF repeatedly in the last months to keep Germany from meaningfully supporting Ukraine.

Not sure that is correct, the companies contractually responsible for the nordstream 1 turbine maintenance/repair were European and Canadian, that were refusing to repair them because of the sanctions on Russia

https://www.reuters.com/article/ukraine-crisis-nordstream-si...

https://financialpost.com/commodities/energy/oil-gas/germany...

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ukrainian-group-sue-...

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#435
post #113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So that doesn't look like an accident. I have difficulty imagining accidental ignition in an underwater gas pipeline. Where would the oxygen come from? Plus it's more than one explosion on the same day - can't be a coincidence. The next question is, who did it? It doesn't seem like something in Russia's interest, they've been wanting to get that pipeline approved and operational. They invested huge sums of money to b…

> The next question is, who did it? The Russians. > It doesn't seem like something in Russia's interest, they've been wanting to get that pipeline approved and operational. Once their invasion faltered, and with the recent escalation, they had no hope of that happening. The current Russian regime will never be able to repair relations with the west to the extent that will allow the Nordstream pipelines to resume oper…

Pretty sure European clients are paying for Russian gas regardless of whether it is delivered or not

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#436
post #123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because it cuts a huge temptation for Germans to find some compromise with Russia and allows them to sell LNG for huge profits?

Do you realise the risks US would be taking? Like the end of NATO? I don't want to say US isn't making stupid things, but this would be a whole new level of stupid...

1. I'm not saying the US did it. 2. I just want to remind you, that you're talking about a country literally renaming their national dish to "freedom fries" over France not wanting to join in a war, started under provably false pretenses.

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#437

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Russians blew up their own brand-new pipeline, which they spend billions creating (jointly with the Germans) and is one of the few major "hopes" to salvage that relationship, especially as winter dawns. That's frankly absurd. Russia almost certainly sabotaged a LNG terminal in Texas a few months ago (industrial cyberattack). This act was almost certainly done by Washington or their proxies. It drives the wedge fu…

> The Russians blew up their own brand-new pipeline, which they spend billions creating (jointly with the Germans) and is one of the few major "hopes" to salvage that relationship, especially as winter dawns. There is no "salvaging the relationship" for the current regime. No gas will flow in these pipelines while Putin is in power, and the EU has already prepared alternatives: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles…

The hope in Moscow is that the people of Germany, etc will rise up and democratically remove the Washington proxies (Grünen) from their governments. Then the relationship may be renewed.

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#438

Somewhat related; recently, unidentified drones have been observed at several oil installations in the North Sea, including Johan Sverdrup and Gullfaks C. https://www-nrk-no.translate.goog/rogaland/uidentifiserte-dr...

And yesterday, the Norwegian government sent a warning to oil rig operators regarding these drone observations.

https://www-ptil-no.translate.goog/tilsyn/viktige-meldinger/...

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#439
post #213

Earlier quoted context omitted.

None of these make much sense. It's pretty idle to speculate, and the list is most likely incomplete and inaccurate. It only feeds the trolls. Then again, this whole thread is full of fingerpointing without evidence. If HN can't contain itself, what won't the twitter and facebook, and –may God forget– Truth Social do?

In this tweet from the US State Department's twitter account on 2022-01-22 (a month before the most recent invasion), a US official says: "... I want to be clear with you today. If Russia invades Ukraine, one way or another, NordStream 2 will not move forward." It's not evidence, but contextually incriminating nonetheless. https://twitter.com/statedept/status/1486818088016355336

Yes, and, in fact, Nord Stream 2 did not move forward.

The German government simply didn't grant approval to begin operation.

No underwater bombings necessary.

Re: Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea

#440

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Quoted post unavailable.

Oh please!! ... The US invests trillions in reducing global warming yet you think they'd leak thousands of tons of methane in the air just like that??? .......

Iz just bizniz :-) OTOH there are the Apocalypsewowians praying: Komm Oh Herr! Errlösäh unntz von dem Böhsähn! The sooner, the better.
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