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UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

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Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#21
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Time is a factor here, too. The longer they wait the harder it’ll be to get it back under control - which may not even be possible at this stage, given that they’ve grossly underestimated the scale of the problem at every step. The thing that really worries me is that most people don’t understand how any of this works and are still worried about fuel costs. They have no idea that a further (minimum) 1.5% hike is immi…

You seem to be talking about inflation rather than interest rates

Both.

Raising the base rate is a tool to reduce inflation. They’re two sides of the same coin.

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#22
post #14

Not exactly on topic, but a good moment to think - are mortgages even fundamentally desirable? The price of a house is always going to be exactly savings + mortgage, if nobody was taking out mortgages the prices would adjust and people would end up in the same house as before. It is interesting to ask if mortgages should be rare. It isn't obvious why everyone needs to pledge years of their life to the wealthy in orde…

For as long as society thinks home ownership is fundamentally desirable so will be mortgages as most people won't be able to afford a place otherwise. Generally speaking life is so fast and unpredictable for people, that home ownership for many is probably individually a lifestyle choice but a fundamental risk.

So I think if you want to question mortgages, it's better to question the entire idea of everybody being forced into home ownership.

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m sorry but I just don’t see how “many will lose their homes”. Mortgage companies are ruthless but not in the business of turfing out families that legitimately cannot afford their repayments. Evicting people is risky long winded and generally speaking their last option. Unless you've got some data to back up what you are saying in which case I’ll shut up. Edit: Lots of replies saying "but they're not charities etc…

> Mortgage companies are ruthless but not in the business of turfing out families that legitimately cannot afford their repayments. German mega-landlord corporation Vonovia announced just a few days ago that they will evict everyone too far behind on payments for heating [1], in order to pacify investors. Never trust rabid capitalism to keep the people in mind. For the beancounters, all that matters is the current st…

> too far behind

That could mean anything.

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#24
post #14

Not exactly on topic, but a good moment to think - are mortgages even fundamentally desirable? The price of a house is always going to be exactly savings + mortgage, if nobody was taking out mortgages the prices would adjust and people would end up in the same house as before. It is interesting to ask if mortgages should be rare. It isn't obvious why everyone needs to pledge years of their life to the wealthy in orde…

> taking out mortgages the prices would adjust and people would end up in the same house as before

You already can end up in the same house as before without mortgage. Just 20 years later (and in a 20 years older house).

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#25
post #14

Not exactly on topic, but a good moment to think - are mortgages even fundamentally desirable? The price of a house is always going to be exactly savings + mortgage, if nobody was taking out mortgages the prices would adjust and people would end up in the same house as before. It is interesting to ask if mortgages should be rare. It isn't obvious why everyone needs to pledge years of their life to the wealthy in orde…

For as long as society thinks home ownership is fundamentally desirable so will be mortgages as most people won't be able to afford a place otherwise. Generally speaking life is so fast and unpredictable for people, that home ownership for many is probably individually a lifestyle choice but a fundamental risk. So I think if you want to question mortgages, it's better to question the entire idea of everybody being fo…

> For as long as society thinks home ownership is fundamentally desirable so will be mortgages as most people won't be able to afford a place otherwise.

Why not? Who do you think would end up owning the houses & how would you expect the market to be structured?

Why, fundamentally, would it look much different from today?

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#26
post #17
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're probably avoiding an immediate kneejerk emergency raise, which would look like they're panicking. If they wait a little bit before they raise, it'll look more calm and considered which should give the market more confidence.

GPB to Dollar seems to have levelled out and started coming back slowly so I guess they might get away with it. As the dollar is also up against Euro and many other currencies, possibly due to it being a default 'safe port' in uncertain times, I guess they're trying to take a measured approach.

It's really difficult to judge the GBP:USD rate, because it started sliding yesterday, and then it looked like there would be a BoE intervention, which caused it to recover. So it's a sort of catch 22, if it gets really bad the BoE might intervene, if the BoE does intervene, it'll rise because of the intervention. So it sort of levels out at "This is the lowest we can get without pricing in the BoE doing an emergency hike". It's very difficult to tell what is driving what.

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#27
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Interest rates have been considerably higher in the past though. What is different now is that people have gotten used to an endless supply of cheap credit and thinking they are well off so long as the monthly payments can be maintained. Also, the social media pressure to have the apperance of a perfect life doesn't help.

I agree with all of this, and I’d argue that it’s even worse as I very much doubt anyone gave good advice to most of those people before they took out those mortgages. I mean, sure, some of us know better - but that’s probably because someone along the way made it clear in very stern terms that you never sign anything you don’t fully understand.

When you take out a mortgate now they do an affordability check which includes checking if you can afford the repayments if interest rates spike up, it's spart of the shpiel they have to go through.

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#28
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You seem to be talking about inflation rather than interest rates

Both. Raising the base rate is a tool to reduce inflation. They’re two sides of the same coin.

They are related although the government does not control interest rates, the BofE does.

To be honest I'm not super worried as I can see the inflationary pressure is mostly coming from the knock on effects of the Ukraine which will undoubtably end at some point. Also we're coming off the back of Brexit and printing a load of money for Covid.

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m sorry but I just don’t see how “many will lose their homes”. Mortgage companies are ruthless but not in the business of turfing out families that legitimately cannot afford their repayments. Evicting people is risky long winded and generally speaking their last option. Unless you've got some data to back up what you are saying in which case I’ll shut up. Edit: Lots of replies saying "but they're not charities etc…

When I lived in the UK my experience was that not only me, but a lot of folks in my age range back then ("young professional") moved all the time. The tenant protections were pretty appalling, particularly if you rented from a private landlord. It does not seem very unlikely that people will lose their homes and have to move.

UK tenant protections are not the greatest, but I wouldn't call them 'appalling'. However, this is talking about people who own their home but have a mortgage.

Re: UK banks and lenders suspend offering new mortgages amid market turmoil

#30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m sorry but I just don’t see how “many will lose their homes”. Mortgage companies are ruthless but not in the business of turfing out families that legitimately cannot afford their repayments. Evicting people is risky long winded and generally speaking their last option. Unless you've got some data to back up what you are saying in which case I’ll shut up. Edit: Lots of replies saying "but they're not charities etc…

> Mortgage companies are ruthless but not in the business of turfing out families that legitimately cannot afford their repayments. German mega-landlord corporation Vonovia announced just a few days ago that they will evict everyone too far behind on payments for heating [1], in order to pacify investors. Never trust rabid capitalism to keep the people in mind. For the beancounters, all that matters is the current st…

Isn't the alternative to say "you can stop paying us because we're not going to evict you no matter what"?
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