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What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like?

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Re: What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like?

#3
> There is a LOT of money still sitting on the sidelines waiting to be deployed. And it WILL be deployed, that’s what investors do.

Reminds me of the saying: "Venture Capital starts with too many good ideas chasing too little money, and ends with too much money chasing too few good ideas."

Re: What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like?

#6
The chart of how much money is still left waiting to be invested in crazy. Looks roughly that 2021 and 2022 have as much money waiting to be invested as 2012 did total. Each year has added that much.

So valuations need to come down dramatically is the argument, but the amount of capital trying to get spent is going up astronomically. How does that mismatch resolve in an actual marketplace? Do we assume there are suddenly 4x as many good investments to make from 10 years?

Re: What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like?

#8
post #5

You have hedge funds like Tiger Global who are now leading/investing in early stage rounds. Anyone with capital can now play “VC”.

I like that better than anyone who can take endless free money loans with little concern because of zero or negative interest rates can play “VC”.

I can easily name a dozen companies and technologies that massively changed the world from 2000-2010 (not saying for better, but undeniable), what have we really developed that didn’t exist in 2010-2020 in this era of Free Money and “Unlimited Potential”?

Hypothetical question.

From my view, I’ve seen VCs come in and use capitol to build up people with good intentions or ideas, and immediately get them absorbed into the giants who are also throwing away endless free money even if their business model is awful.

I’m not looking forward to hyper inflation. But I am looking forward to a slower tech market that actually has to provide something useful in order to stand out.

Re: What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like?

#9
post #3

> There is a LOT of money still sitting on the sidelines waiting to be deployed. And it WILL be deployed, that’s what investors do. Reminds me of the saying: "Venture Capital starts with too many good ideas chasing too little money, and ends with too much money chasing too few good ideas."

Broad markets will crash and LPs will ask for capital back. The overhang will drop without requiring investment.
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