41–50 of 260 posts
And Michael Burry has been predicting crashes every few years since the 2008 one. And Bill Ackman predicted 'hell is coming' at the onset of the pandemic and made $2B [0]. And there were US Senators that also did possibly illegal things to pull money out of the market before the public knew about the pandemic. Outside of disclosures filed with the SEC, stock trading is anonymous yet they will have all sorts of headli…
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Is this sarcasm? Few months before green energy turns the ship around? Oil/gas is the backbone of most economy, dare say we will remain dependent.
I think the poster is saying he expects the stock market to fall a few more months before turning around. Not that green energy will complete its transition in a few months. If you think oil/gas will demand the backbone, you ask yourself why none of the oil and gas majors are drastically expanding their production capacity during this time of high prices. Oil and gas, and their investors, are planning for their phase…
Because its a short-lived blip? Didn't we just have record lows less than 2-years ago?
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Presumably dividends would balance it out though.
Dividends would balance out a 65% drop during the same period, how so?
that would actually be great, the volatility and speculation only helps a narrow group of dedicated traders. as long as stock market saves you from inflation, you should be happy with your investment
You do realize that the stock market will not save you from inflation if it remains flat for a decade?
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You do realize that the stock market will not save you from inflation if it remains flat for a decade?
People need to stop trying to find the best portfolio to keep up with inflation. It's futile. Just be happy if your portfolio appreciates 3% in a year, like our forefathers were.
"There’s a high probability in my mind that the market, at best, is going to be kind of flat for 10 years, sort of like this ’66 to ’82 time period" From another article on '66-'82: > The Dow went sideways, but the S&P actually earned a respectable 6.8% return in that time. 6.8% is hardly apocalyptic. The S&P 500 usually averages 10% over long timescales. His former hedge fund also delivered an annual average rate of…
And Michael Burry has been predicting crashes every few years since the 2008 one. And Bill Ackman predicted 'hell is coming' at the onset of the pandemic and made $2B [0]. And there were US Senators that also did possibly illegal things to pull money out of the market before the public knew about the pandemic. Outside of disclosures filed with the SEC, stock trading is anonymous yet they will have all sorts of headli…
Yeah, but someday they'll be right.
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looking at the pullbacks in 2000 and 2008, there is a non-trivial chance that the S&P will bottom sub-1000
yeah who knows, in the long run it will go way up of course, as the USA and other industrial nations will grow and grow..
consider the Nikkei...
no crystal ball
We need to drastically increase pension ages and even abandon retirement as a mainstream concept. Working part-time in 60s and 70s should be commonplace.