There are two interesting things I want to watch from this. The first is I'm interested to see what kind of bull run ETH goes on. The merge has been incredibly long coming, it has huge risks and I think that puts downward pressure on price, you really don't want to be doing stuff in ETH at the moment because there's a fairly good chance something goes wrong, someone stealds $XBn and runs off and the Ethereum guys go…
The idea that because it's risky right now and that a decrease in risk will provide higher returns isn't necessarily sound. For example, playing a financial equivalent to Russian roulette won't give you higher returns. You can look at the countries titled with the euphemistic "developing markets" which have historically had extremely high risks AND a much lower return than in lower risk countries. The risk-return tra…
Hmm? Not sure what you mean. High-risk countries' bonds pay higher interest than low-risk countries' bonds. E.g. Ukraine was paying 10% interest in USD when US was paying 1%. Of course, expected value might be lower if you average over all such countries, but we are talking about a "happy case" here where a bad event did not happen.
> how can you price the risk of anything in the Blockchain space, like say Ethereum getting completely wiped out by a hack, etc?
Well, you can't calculate the risk but you can get 1000000% return (the actual return over 7 years for ETH presale). Or you can calculate the risk and get 5% return. It's your choice.