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I’m Going Long Right Now

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Re: I’m Going Long Right Now

#4
His advice that the average person should not speculate in equities is sound, but he kind of ignores the fact that if you're 100% CDs you're a currency speculator. You're betting on the dollar and the US banking system. There is no true safe haven.

The more history I experience the more sense Harry Browne's old "Permanent Portfolio" makes. He said (if I recall correctly): A third equity indexes, a third bonds (weighted sovereign), a third gold, and make sure a third of the whole mix is not only internationally diversified but actually outside the control of your government. Rebalance once a year.

Re: I’m Going Long Right Now

#5
This seems much less organized than a typical Cuban post.

Most disappointingly, he didn't give any supporting thoughts on his most interesting opinion:

"All that said. The stock market can humble me or anyone in a nano second. It could go a lot lower. I DO NOT SEE IT GOING DRAMATICALLY HIGHER. NO CHANCE IT GETS BACK TO 11k anytime soon."

Re: I’m Going Long Right Now

#6

His advice that the average person should not speculate in equities is sound, but he kind of ignores the fact that if you're 100% CDs you're a currency speculator. You're betting on the dollar and the US banking system. There is no true safe haven. The more history I experience the more sense Harry Browne's old "Permanent Portfolio" makes. He said (if I recall correctly): A third equity indexes, a third bonds (weight…

How about substitution of real estate for gold? Real estate might not be en vogue right now - but at least you can grow food on a farm.

Re: I’m Going Long Right Now

#7
post #6

His advice that the average person should not speculate in equities is sound, but he kind of ignores the fact that if you're 100% CDs you're a currency speculator. You're betting on the dollar and the US banking system. There is no true safe haven. The more history I experience the more sense Harry Browne's old "Permanent Portfolio" makes. He said (if I recall correctly): A third equity indexes, a third bonds (weight…

How about substitution of real estate for gold? Real estate might not be en vogue right now - but at least you can grow food on a farm.

Owning real estate is more like taking on a part time job than a passive investment.

Re: I’m Going Long Right Now

#8

His advice that the average person should not speculate in equities is sound, but he kind of ignores the fact that if you're 100% CDs you're a currency speculator. You're betting on the dollar and the US banking system. There is no true safe haven. The more history I experience the more sense Harry Browne's old "Permanent Portfolio" makes. He said (if I recall correctly): A third equity indexes, a third bonds (weight…

Not only that, but if you only invest in CDs, your real rate of return (interest - inflation) isn't going to be impressive and may actually be negative since the government tends to soft peddle the actual inflation numbers.

Re: I’m Going Long Right Now

#9
Why ? Because there are some good companies, in good businesses where I think the dividend is safe, and 6pct , plust hopefully future dividend increases is a good thing.

I hope he wasn't that drunk when he put his money down.

Re: I’m Going Long Right Now

#10
He recommends CDs but I've always wondered about bonds. Here are the questions I have:

Are there reasonably safe bonds that pay say 6-9%?

What's the probability of a grade B bond defaulting in a given year?

Where does one buy bonds, just through an Etrade account? What do you do if you don't get paid the interest?

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