Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's akin to nuclear weapons. If you do not develop them, then you'd be subject to the will of the ones that develops them first. So invariably you have to invest in AGI lest, an unsavory group develops it first.
Kind of, but the key difference between AGI and nuclear weapons is that we can control our nuclear weapons. The current state of AI safety is nowhere near the point where controlling an AGI is possible. More disturbingly, to me it seems likely that it will be easier to create an AGI than to discover how to control it safely.
John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
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Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#512Earlier quoted context omitted.
OTOH if you & your foes develop them both, then there is a probability asymptotically approaching 1 that the weapons will be used over the next X years. Perhaps the only winning move is indeed not to play?
problem is you don't know if they aren't playing - so you must still work on it.
Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#513I'm slightly scared that they'll succeed. But not in the usual "robots will kill us" way. What I am afraid of is that they succeed, but it turns out similar to VR: as an inconsequential gimmick. That they use their AGIs to serve more customized ads to people, and that's where it ends.
Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#514Earlier quoted context omitted.
if Carmack's in I'm in. Has he ever been drastically wrong?
The jury is still out on VR and Meta but it hardly seems promising.
Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#515It will decide our fate in a microsecond: extermination.
I agree with this. Optimists might think that the AGI won't be connected to any network, so it can't interact with the physical world. I doubt that. People will be stupid enough to have weapons controlled by that AGI (because arms race!) and then it's over. No sufficiently advanced AGI will think that humans are worth keeping around.
Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#516Earlier quoted context omitted.
The meme that AGI, if we ever have it, will somehow endanger humanity is just stupid to me. For one, the previous US president is the perfect illustration that intelligence is neither sufficient nor necessary for gaining power in this world. And we do in fact live in a world where the upper echelons of power mostly interact in the decidedly analog spaces of leadership summits, high-end restaurants, golf courses and c…
It sounds like you haven’t really thought through AI safety in any real detail at all. Airgapping and the necessity of human input are absolutely not ways to prevent an AGI gaining access to a system. A true, superintelligent AGI could easily extort (or persuade) those humans. If you think concerns over AGI are “stupid”, you haven’t thought about it enough. It’s a massive display of ignorance. The Computerphile AI sa…
Like, what stops it from changing its motive to something else? And why would it be any more likely to change its motive to be something detrimental to us?
Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#517Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why? Because he also wrote some game engines?
Because he's an extremely analytical person and is extremely data driven. He isn't trying to sell some Ted talk
Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#518I think its a silly idea that consciousness can be produced by computation.
Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#519Re: John Carmack's new AGI company, Keen Technologies, has raised a $20M round
#520Artificial general intelligence (AGI) — in other words, systems that could successfully perform any intellectual task that a human can. Not in my lifetime, not in this millennium. Possibly in the year 2,300. Weird way to blow $20 million.
It’s not blowing 20 million if it results in meaningful progress in this area. We have something like 2700 billionaires on this planet. This isn’t even a drop in the bucket for someone like that interested in furthering this research. AGI could quite literally shift any job to automation. This is human-experience changing stuff.