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Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

asia.nikkei.com

131–140 of 598 posts

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#131
post #16
post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The main criteria for Apple is how poor and abundant population is.

Not only how poor and abundant the population is. 'Money is the first thing. Morals follow on.' (based on B. Brecht) From Wikipedia: Democracy Index 2021: Vietnam 131 / China 148 (Norway 1 - best / Afghanistan 167 worst) Freedom In The World 2021: Vietnam 167 / China 184 (Finland 1 - best / Syria 194 - worst)

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Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#132

I don't really see what the problem is with offshoring. If other people elsewhere want to work for cheaper, then it's fair competition. It's not like protectionism would work long term anyways. And in this particular case, Vietnam is more aligned with the US than China, geopolitically, so this makes a lot of sense.

Problem with offshoring of high tech is that a big chunk of US economy is on the hook to a few authoritarian governments not really aligned with US or the west.

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's fairly clear which policies have contributed to their economic rise.

Shift to markets, stringent capital controls, consolidation of massive state owned enterprises, encouragement of joint ventures between Chinese companies, western companies, and the government, lack of stringent IP laws/rights. Some of the above is “capitalistic” and some of it is not. Commentators have been predicting China would continue to shift towards becoming more capitalist or fail for decades and they’ve been…

Yes, there are lots of reforms that contributed to their rise, but adopting elements of a market economy and engaging in open trade with the rest of the world were key elements. Reforming their centrally planned economy wouldn't have resulted in the same outcome without the those.

But yes, I totally agree that you don't need to be 100% capitalist to benefit from having a market economy. Even the US's economy is ~15% public sector. Usually when multiple ideologies are competing, there's elements of truth all around.

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#134
post #32

A lot of comments here are criticizing Apple for chasing cheap labor. Ignoring for a second the fact that this has a lot more to do with geopolitics and hedging geopolitical risk, I think it's important to think more carefully about the impact of companies investing in developing economies. By and large, the factory work done by people in developing economies is dramatically better in terms of quality of life and saf…

If anything, the decline in needing cheap labor is going to be a problem for large countries like China. China needed those cheap labor factories to be the engine to help lift people out of rural poverty. Unfortunately that engine will now falter and many will be left behind. For an eye opening survey here, I highly recommend the book Invisible China.

They are well on their way of climbing onto the next rung of the manufacturing ladder and manufacturing more complex items with higher margins that can absorb higher wages

…and transitioning more to a service economy

…no?

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

it was secret for years until The Information reported it. https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2021/12/report-apple-ceo-tim...

Most businesses deals are secret by default. All my contracts have confidentiality clauses. The only reason to make a deal non-secret is PR.

>Most businesses deals are secret by default. All my contracts have confidentiality clauses.

Not true for investments in the hundreds of billions.

>The only reason to make a deal non-secret is PR.

This deal was kept secret for PR reasons.

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#136
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

International trade dependency is one of the biggest deterrents to war and often helps countries become allies.

Ukraine’s #1 trading partner was Russia, and Russia’s #3 trading partner was Ukraine. I remember reading the same argument in the 90s, and it seemed to have a lot of merit. But, experience shows us that it’s not correct.

Russia (Putin) sees Ukraine as basically a subordinate state; likewise with Georgia and Belarus. That would make this action a civil war, which is basically how it's been treated by the international community.

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#137
post #84

A lot of comments here are criticizing Apple for chasing cheap labor. Ignoring for a second the fact that this has a lot more to do with geopolitics and hedging geopolitical risk, I think it's important to think more carefully about the impact of companies investing in developing economies. By and large, the factory work done by people in developing economies is dramatically better in terms of quality of life and saf…

China was literally able to lift hundreds of millions of people out of poverty with all the manufacturing that was moved there. I think most people don't understand anything about economics. Vietnam absolutely wants and will benefit from an increasingly industrialized economy. edit: I'm seeing a number of comments pointing out how these are companies owned by Koreans. Which maybe isn't optimal, but the potential for…

How long before Vietnam pulls a move from China's playbook where they start to manufacture things based on the plans foreign companies brought them and sell the product under Vietnamese company brands?

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#138
post #27

How is no one mentioning that China is threatening Taiwan. If the US ends up in a war with China, suddenly most Apple products would have serious operations problems if not being shut off completely. Cheap labor isn't a bad reason, but this is also a hedge against the heating politics between the West and both Russia and China.

Also based on recent analysis many countries e.g. China, South Korea have increased exports to Russia including dual use technologies which are prohibited under recent sanctions. This combined with upcoming war games involving China and Russia shows clearly where their allegiances lie. So the risk of China being economically punished is not insignificant and Apple is very likely to be caught in the cross-fire if it d…

I would be interested in that analysis, as I've read the exact opposite. China will be the sole supplier of many goods for Russians as they have nowhere else to go, but simultaneously China is careful not to overstep bounds as it does not want to upset the US, a trade partner about 10 times more important than Russia. It also stopped/delayed many promised infra investments in Russia.

As for allegiances, China has none. Not with anybody. China has no moralistic or principal allies. It simply does what is best for China, and happily plays all sides all at once.

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#139
post #75

At some point we should outsource our armies and perhaps even governments. If a real war starts we can use the services industry, unless we outsource that too. We’ll send the lawyers and software engineers in, and power our cardboard tanks with wood and steam. I was hoping the pandemic and the war in europe would teach us that electronics, particularly high end, should be relocated to allied countries at the very lea…

International trade dependency is one of the biggest deterrents to war and often helps countries become allies.

Commonly held incorrect belief. Educate yourself: https://knowledge.uchicago.edu/record/2005?ln=en

Re: Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

2 words: national security. as the world's police and adult, we have to be self sufficient in food, tech, defense, resources, etc

And good luck with that with China holding so much of our debt. Military leaders in the US for decades has been warning politicians that our debt is one of our biggest threats.

Do you mind sharing an example of military leaders in the US warning about our foreign debt being one of our biggest threats?
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