Preparedness Paradox
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Preparedness Paradox
1–10 of 130 posts
Re: Preparedness Paradox
#2Incoherent.
How can there be a levee paradox.
You can see the water it holds back.
More people build because there are less floods.
No idea what they are talking about with Fukushima
The Millennial Bug is a good prospect. But that's a debate in itself.
Re: Preparedness Paradox
#3“Y2K was a hoax”, is an example of this bias.
Re: Preparedness Paradox
#4A problem is the media hyping things too much. If not for media hype, maybe this paradox would not be such a problem or prevalent. People's expectations are in part formed formed by the media.
Re: Preparedness Paradox
#5You can't A/B test a lot of things without a time machine so you need to be good at assessing risks and tradeoffs.
Re: Preparedness Paradox
#6“Y2K was a hoax”, is an example of this bias.
Then why South Korea and Italy didn't suffer Y2K problems. And invested little to nothing in Y2K remediation.
Re: Preparedness Paradox
#7Re: Preparedness Paradox
#8Not doubting this, but it seems to cut both ways. I can just as easily justify an overreaction by claiming to have averted some worse outcome. It seems to be a general problem of counterfactuals.
Re: Preparedness Paradox
#9A problem is the media hyping things too much. If not for media hype, maybe this paradox would not be such a problem or prevalent. People's expectations are in part formed formed by the media.
No doubt this existed before the media. Think of when you were a kid, and your parents were always making you pick up your things, saying people would trip on them. But you knew how dumb they were, because nobody ever actually tripped on your things...what you didn't realize is that was largely because your parents made you pick them up.