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Earth had its 6th-hottest July and year to date on record

noaa.gov

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Re: Earth had its 6th-hottest July and year to date on record

#4
A little surprised to see these posts still crop up when to me it seems like these records aren't news anymore, but rather the expectation. I saw someone on here point out that instead of repeatedly saying "this is the hottest X on record" we should start saying "this is expected to be the coolest X for the next 100 years".

Re: Earth had its 6th-hottest July and year to date on record

#5
>July marked the 46th-consecutive July and the 451st-consecutive month with temperatures above the 20th-century average.

This is the better fact.

>This made it the sixth-hottest July in the 143-year global climate record.

This provides good context. (Followup question: Given some random distribution, how often should you experience a "6th hottest month" with records starting a particular year?)

>The five warmest Julys on record have all occurred since 2016.

Not exactly sure based on the wording here, but I think an entirely true headline with the opposite impression would be "Earth had it's coolest July since 2016"

Re: Earth had its 6th-hottest July and year to date on record

#6

>July marked the 46th-consecutive July and the 451st-consecutive month with temperatures above the 20th-century average. This is the better fact. >This made it the sixth-hottest July in the 143-year global climate record. This provides good context. (Followup question: Given some random distribution, how often should you experience a "6th hottest month" with records starting a particular year?) >The five warmest July…

Thank you for breaking this down. Headline is clearly biased.

Re: Earth had its 6th-hottest July and year to date on record

#7
post #6

>July marked the 46th-consecutive July and the 451st-consecutive month with temperatures above the 20th-century average. This is the better fact. >This made it the sixth-hottest July in the 143-year global climate record. This provides good context. (Followup question: Given some random distribution, how often should you experience a "6th hottest month" with records starting a particular year?) >The five warmest July…

Thank you for breaking this down. Headline is clearly biased.

In what direction?

Re: Earth had its 6th-hottest July and year to date on record

#10

>July marked the 46th-consecutive July and the 451st-consecutive month with temperatures above the 20th-century average. This is the better fact. >This made it the sixth-hottest July in the 143-year global climate record. This provides good context. (Followup question: Given some random distribution, how often should you experience a "6th hottest month" with records starting a particular year?) >The five warmest July…

Isn't there something weird about comparing a point to an average that includes itself? There have not been 46 Julys in the 21st century so the average 20th century temperatures are including some of those consecutive months of highs.
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