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U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

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Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#101

It's a relief to see actual price drops in fuel and transport services hit before the end of the Summer travel season. Barring additional oil disruption, we can hope to see other prices (e.g. food) correct -- or at least stop growing so fast -- at a lag.

Fuel cost is down in part due to releasing oil from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The release will stop in October.

https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-issues-fifth-emergency-n...

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#102

Good news I guess. But my electricity price literally doubled. My house insurance is up 30%. My gas bill is up by a lot. Have you seen the price of oreos? The $5 box at Taco Bell is my splurge and I'm trying to cut back on everything I can.

My gas(for heating, not petrol) has literally just gone up 600%. You look at these numbers posted in the media and you think "what are they on about? What 8.5%?".

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#103
post #56
post #8

Energy prices down 4.6% Gasoline prices down 7.7% Food prices up 1.1% Shelter prices up 0.5% So the minor overall reduction was by far gasoline.

Which makes sense because all other things in the CPI use oil to make and distribute goods. I've stopped paying attention to inflation numbers because they are all lies. The current CPI basket is complete nonsense. The numbers are built in such a way to always have low inflation unless oil prices go way up. Before this recent spike, inflation was "at historic lows and near zero". Really? Things aren't any more expens…

2% inflation a year over 17 years (2019-2002) is about a 40% overall increase in prices. Having lived through decades where inflation was 5% or 10%, it has indeed been very low for the past couple decades.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Quoted post unavailable.

My previous plan was 8c per kWh, it's now 16c per kWh. I live in Texas where you shop for rates. Before you're quick to crap on comments give a little benefit of the doubt.

No post body was provided.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#105
post #86

Good news I guess. But my electricity price literally doubled. My house insurance is up 30%. My gas bill is up by a lot. Have you seen the price of oreos? The $5 box at Taco Bell is my splurge and I'm trying to cut back on everything I can.

> My house insurance is up 30% Everything seems to be going up, but interesting that you brought home insurance up? Any particular reason why you mention it? I guess if house prices and building material and labor costs are increasing, it makes sense that insurance would too. (Although I'm sure if everything dropped, insurance would remain the same)

Because it stings. 2019 I paid $1400 for insurance for my home, this past June I paid $2200. Same home, no massive improvements, just pay more.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#106

So the year over year CPI increase each month this year (starting from January) was 7.5%, 7.9%, 8.5%, 8.3%, 8.6%, 9.1%, 8.5%. So this value has been jumping around a bit as it has been going up. This drop is being taken as good news -- but I worry whether this is really a meaningful drop or whether we are just over interpreting what could be a fundamentally noisy metric?

Only time will tell, but it is "good news" in the context of wanting to reduce inflation.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#107

Good. Now we can look forward to interest rate cuts to deal with the recession...

Stagflation was last handled in the late 70s. The solution is to keep jacking rates up. We need mortgages at least 10 percent ;-) I'm assuming your comment was sarcastic. The expansion of the last 40 years has followed rather continual rate cuts which can't go past zero. We need to reset to higher rates and convince each administration not to cut rates to stimulate the economy but instead fix some things and stop ins…

Hard to say we're seeing stagflation with current job numbers. It might happen, especially with the Fed being willing to increase rates, but it's not evident that's where we're at right now.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Quoted post unavailable.

My natural gas bill used to be $16 before I used a single ccf, now it's over $20. This winter I'm going to keep the heat at 60. 1500 square foot house. My winter heating bill maxed out at like 60, I'm looking at double that this winter.

Do you not have base charges? I'm paying ~$50 a month even if I use no gas.

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#109

Good news I guess. But my electricity price literally doubled. My house insurance is up 30%. My gas bill is up by a lot. Have you seen the price of oreos? The $5 box at Taco Bell is my splurge and I'm trying to cut back on everything I can.

My gas(for heating, not petrol) has literally just gone up 600%. You look at these numbers posted in the media and you think "what are they on about? What 8.5%?".

Must be Europe, right?

Re: U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%

#110

So the year over year CPI increase each month this year (starting from January) was 7.5%, 7.9%, 8.5%, 8.3%, 8.6%, 9.1%, 8.5%. So this value has been jumping around a bit as it has been going up. This drop is being taken as good news -- but I worry whether this is really a meaningful drop or whether we are just over interpreting what could be a fundamentally noisy metric?

Could also be demand destruction starting to slow the increases in prices.
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