Live data from Hacker News

Nuclear energy is clean

collectifission.nl

701–709 of 709 posts

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#701

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is more interesting to me is asking the question based on first principles. If you consider the global electricity and energy demand and wanted to meet it, what you produce the least amount of green house gases, use the least amount of land, require the least amount of mining. If you actually do that nuclear wins easily witch suggest there is some other process at work that makes sure this is not translated into…

Why would you want to use the least amount of land, or do the least amount of mining?

Are you serious?

There is this thing called nature, and not building building on it or in a very dirty way dig gigantic holes into it is preferable.

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#702

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would you want to use the least amount of land, or do the least amount of mining?

Are you serious? There is this thing called nature, and not building building on it or in a very dirty way dig gigantic holes into it is preferable.

I was asking why land and mining are so all-important that minimizing either (or both, is that even possible simultaneously) is the relevant objective function here.

Land use is a cost. Mining is a cost. We minimize overall cost, not one specific thing that has a cost.

I will add that society is clearly happy with using land for that very low payoff activity we call "farming". The $/acre from PV is much higher than that from farming, you know.

I don't get the impression you've thought very clearly about all this.

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#703

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The LTO is the estimated lifespan of the plant. The LTOs provided in that chart are well below the real lifespan of these plants. The capital cost of building the plants is also provided in the chart. That means this accounts for "the cost of power from new construction nuclear" you refer to.

LTO is referring to refurbishment efforts to extend the lifespan of an existing plant. Look at the first line in that chart. It's for 20 years of operation of a 1000 MW reactor. The capital cost is listed as $5.93/MWh. If that reactor is operating at 90% capacity factor for 20 years, the total capital cost comes in at less than $1B. That cannot possibly be the cost of building a new nuclear plant. Instead, it's the c…

Yes, you're correct. Your interpretation is the only one where the numbers make sense.

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#704
post #687

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I recommend you look at the estimates on how much storage and/or transmission lines are needed to go full renewable.

People will "estimate" all kinds of things according to their favored assumptions. Most are worth the paper they are printed on.

So if we can't trust statistics provided, how are we supposed to collectively discuss and reason about the options to determine the most economical one?

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#705
post #499

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you add in "rebuild all the transmission lines" to the cost then that would be good. Comparing some costs of renewables to total cost of nuclear is a fun pastime, but doesn't help the debate.

Nukes also involve big transmission line projects, so it is a wash,.

This seems to misunderstand the context. Previous poster was saying that with enough renewables hundreds or thousands of miles apart, there will always be enough power generation capacity.

The response was around how the newest transmission technology isn't so lossy. But that would mean we'd have to replace all transmission lines.

This doesn't apply to nuclear because it doesn't rely on generation potentially coming from 500 miles away to make it work.

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#706

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Nuclear is not cheap. It’s getting cheaper. The primary reason it’s not cheap currently is every reactor built is site specific. This will soon change with smaller reactors being built in factories then installed. > Something you can't say about nuclear. A technology from the past. This seems like an attack again on nuclear. Stars use nuclear reactions for energy, you’re alive because of a nuclear reaction. Why are…

> It’s getting cheaper. I'm looking forward to those sources on that bold claim. > This will soon change ...and I hope that claim was not based upon that wishful thinking but on actual facts which are valid today. > Stars use nuclear reactions for energy, you’re alive because of a nuclear reaction. Why are you so quick to throw it out? Nobody wants to turn off stars. This is a unnecessary derailment. And we're quick…

> I'm looking forward to those sources on that bold claim.

https://www.ien.com/operations/news/21107432/nextgen-factory...

> Nobody wants to turn off stars. This is a unnecessary derailment.

I don’t see it that way, what I see is someone ignoring science because they’re scared.

> What do these people do if they want to eat a hamburger? Do they all have a cow in their basement? I mean seriously...what is this?

Actually if you go back in history, yes before food storage and transport was a thing people did have to have a cow in their basement, or close by. I can go lay eyes on the reactors close to me, and other coal fired plants. Where will we put the massive panels and wind turbines? You’re still avoiding the question.

> I don't even...

So ignore the housing crisis? Again only think one step ahead? Do you think our population numbers are decreasing? How much land are the land factories putting out these days? Think ahead, taking large swaths of land is going to come back to bite us.

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#707
post #512

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Solar leaks heavy metals into top soil. Most of solar is not recycled properly. Nobody seems to worry about that at all. If a solar facility gets carpet bombed during a war, you think it's more likely it will all just get somewhat cleaned up, and lots of it will be left in-situ and plowed over, or someone will actually remove every little dust particle? I think the lazy way out is what is most likely.

There is no heavy metal in solar to leak. If you have to make shit up to support your argument, why even bother?

what? Lead and cadmium ARE heavy metals. You didn't know?

https://scdhec.gov/sites/default/files/Library/OR-1695.pdf

"Solar panel waste can include heavy metals such as silver, lead, arsenic and cadmium that – at certain levels – may be classified as hazardous waste"

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#708

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You did get the news that it's just another year where France needs to turn off their nuclear fleet because their rivers get too hot? Yeah, in retrospect we should have put more plants around our coastlines. > The topic "nuclear and global warming" is a straw man. It makes no sense at all. Okay let's start over. We need to somehow reduce our emissions down to near zero. No oil, no gas, no coal. That leaves renewabl…

> That leaves wind, solar, and nuclear. With current tech, nuclear is the thing that takes the least concrete, the least real estate… and with the exception of regular maintenance and hot rivers delivers its full power at will. But takes the most time, cost hilarious amounts of money, creates waste for generations and is just another finite resource energy generation technology from the past. This is not what we need…

I believe you’re a little confused.

> But [nuclear] takes the most time, cost hilarious amounts of money

Depending exactly what you mean, this is either very true, or dead wrong. It is true that a single nuke plant costs gigantic amounts of time, money, and resources. But it also deliver significant power, typically 1GW (sometimes a bit less, generally more). Windmills are vastly cheaper, but typical ratings are around 1MW, and that’s a maximum, not an average, and if you need to control energy output you’ll need a buffer (batteries, flywheels, dams…).

To replace a single nuke plant, you’ll probably need something like 2000 windmills, and energy storage to match. Or less if you’re okay with temporary power shortages (a harsh but valid political choice).

Now which is cheaper? One nuke plant? Or 1-2K windmills? All those windmills will need a lot of concrete, for which we’re destroying quite a few beaches (desert sand does not work unfortunately). You’ll also need quite a bit more rare earth materials to get that thousand dynamos to work. And eventually you’ll need to transport all that in a world without oil (one reason renewable energy is cheap is because transport is still cheap, thanks to oil).

> We need technology which is cheap, deployable before it is too late to reduce our emissions and accessible for every country on this planet.

Agreed.

> if you really care about the environment and are not merely one of those people who blindly recite Michael Shellenbergers

Here’s my main source: https://jancovici.com/

One thing to note: the guy doesn’t even pretend nuclear power will replace what we have now. He’s just saying that no matter what we do, our energy consumption will inexorably go down, and that will start soon, if it hasn’t already. Since energy is a physical measure of how much we can transform our world, that means we’ll be able to transform it less and less, a.k.a. the economy will shrink, a.k.a. big ass long term recession. And that’s before we make it even worse in the name of staving off global warming.

His thesis is that nuclear power will not be enough to stop the fall. But it might significantly soften it, and we can only hope that it will be enough.

Re: Nuclear energy is clean

#709

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're not trying to model a hypothetical technology. They're using hypothetical technological estimates as the input for their model of how much carbon would be emitted.

Of course they're trying to model a hypothetical technology, "affordable nuclear". Large cost reductions are handwaved on the basis of "less regulation" and "experience curves". Never mind there's little or no basis for believing in any of that.

No basis other than clear observation of reality, you mean?
Post reply on HN