So he's skeptical of the singularity but he thinks we'll be able to live forever in a lifetime or so. Weird.
They're two very different ideas, even if they're often shared by the same people. The singularity is all about AI surpassing human intelligence. On this front, I can tell you after having studied a lot of AI for the past three years, we are not close. We're a lot further than many people think, but still not quite that far. As for extending lifespans, this is something we've been doing from the dawn of medicine. We'…
This is a common misunderstanding. According to Kurzweil's timeline, AI surpassing human intelligence is only a stepping stone to the singularity, the former happening around 2029, the latter around 2045.
Rather, the singularity refers to the point at which the exponential slope representing technological progress begins to approach infinity. What this mathematical model means for reality is anybody's guess, and the majority of the predictions that have been made are pure conjecture.