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Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

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Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#71
The key point here is that TikTok is now beating all the US social networks.

This may be the beginning of the end for what Silicon Valley calls "tech", but is just ads with social content. Peak Facebook was in Q2 2021.[1] Instagram is losing to TikTok.

(If you think the "metaverse" is going to be important in the social space, check out what's happening in China in that area. While the US has been distracted by the NFT clown car and Facebook's rather pathetic efforts, companies in China are actually building it.)

[1] https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2022/02/peak-facebook.html

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#72

Theory on facebook failure/Google failure to innovate: They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. Keith Rabois (top VC), mentioned that FB has always prioritized optimization over…

Product people are not subjected to this crap while interviewing.

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#73
post #53

Theory on facebook failure/Google failure to innovate: They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. Keith Rabois (top VC), mentioned that FB has always prioritized optimization over…

You really think Google have a failure to innovate? Obviously search was their first, core innovation, but over the years they’ve delivered so many other successful products (many acquired, true, but even those they’ve evolved really well). Off the top of my head: - Maps - AdWords - Gmail - YouTube - Analytics - Translate - Calendar - Sheets - Docs - Drive - Meet - Slides - Drawings - Forms - Trends - Alerts I’m sure…

Aren’t all of those products over a decade old by now?

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#74

Theory on facebook failure/Google failure to innovate: They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. Keith Rabois (top VC), mentioned that FB has always prioritized optimization over…

I said a similar thing yesterday:

> Current valley hiring practices filter out the mischiefs needed to take things from sustaining to innovative. It's why tech is coasting and deteriorating.

> Passionate weirdos like JWZ, Stallman, TBL, Carmack, Cutler, Torvalds, Woz, Pike, Wall, Jobs and Bellard are required

Originally posted over here: (https://twitter.com/emoRobot/status/1552076562027098112)

And 15 hours ago, a similar sentiment here (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32246777 )

> I blame modern tech hiring processes that filter out people who aren't conforming enthusiastic obedient cheerleaders.

> You get a sustain and self-extinguish product instead of one that can respond to what the necessity of the times demand

> You must have passionate grumps otherwise you're just shaking pom-poms as you run over a cliff.

It's probably coincidental but thanks anyway

---

This is also related to a new axiom I've developed, first stated in a similar discussion on instagram here (https://old.reddit.com/r/Instagram/comments/w8hy0e/instagram...)

> "The quality of a commercial software product is inversely proportional to the difficulty of the problem it solves, how long it's been around for and how successful it's been"

Essentially as a solution reaches stability and success, there's margins of profit that keep a staff of engineers and managers employed to work on the system. As a result they mutate the system - drifting it away from being a good solution to real problems to an unfocused solution to theoretical problems. It's a core organizational feature how we don't treat software as infrastructure where putting something in maintenance mode is the majority of the lifecycle of a successful product (for instance, whatever building you're in right now).

So as the generations of engineers cycle in and out you get this discordance between the two: earnest new people getting paid very well to change a product that usually has no pressing need for change. They do it anyway and thus successful simple commercial software products decline in relevance and quality over time as an inadvertent result of mismanaged good intentions. Furthermore when a change is warranted, nobody in this model has the agency, authority, political capital, or willpower to do the proper reframing (think Apple Newton -> iPod -> iPhone) without excessive compromises.

The solution? Go to part 1 above.

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#75
post #53

Theory on facebook failure/Google failure to innovate: They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. Keith Rabois (top VC), mentioned that FB has always prioritized optimization over…

You really think Google have a failure to innovate? Obviously search was their first, core innovation, but over the years they’ve delivered so many other successful products (many acquired, true, but even those they’ve evolved really well). Off the top of my head: - Maps - AdWords - Gmail - YouTube - Analytics - Translate - Calendar - Sheets - Docs - Drive - Meet - Slides - Drawings - Forms - Trends - Alerts I’m sure…

How old is the youngest of those? Any major new product younger than 10 years? - Sure they do incremental work an all of those, but where is the new?

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#76
post #53

Theory on facebook failure/Google failure to innovate: They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. Keith Rabois (top VC), mentioned that FB has always prioritized optimization over…

You really think Google have a failure to innovate? Obviously search was their first, core innovation, but over the years they’ve delivered so many other successful products (many acquired, true, but even those they’ve evolved really well). Off the top of my head: - Maps - AdWords - Gmail - YouTube - Analytics - Translate - Calendar - Sheets - Docs - Drive - Meet - Slides - Drawings - Forms - Trends - Alerts I’m sure…

I think he's talking about today, not 10+ years ago.

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#77

It's interesting that they don't care, it's a Marie Antoinette-esque attitude to their lifeblood, and ultimately what will end their dominance. The truth is they converted a free service into a pay service (the gas-lights creators and businesses into paying for visibility). The visibility, even when paid for is not very fruitful for many as well... If you run a small business like a restaurant in the US, but get 40,0…

I can't see IRC coming back as there's just slightly too much friction for the common person to get up and running. I could see websites coming back (I mean like the way people used to actually browse websites instead of social media). The problem with websites at the moment is discoverability. Google's SEO is a major roadblock to this at the moment. A way around it might be a "web of discoverability", with meaningfu…

Yeah, chat and email basically prove that the vast majority of the public don’t actually want to run and maintain a server themselves, which basically leaves

* carriers (universally disliked by the population, tolerated at best, and pretty scummy trying to trap you into their own networks or bloatware if they can get away with it)

* apps that monetize using ads

* apps that monetize with payment

* an OS-level standard (iMessage is very successful, the Android chatting less so, and nonexistent on desktop OSes)

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#78
post #53

Theory on facebook failure/Google failure to innovate: They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. Keith Rabois (top VC), mentioned that FB has always prioritized optimization over…

You really think Google have a failure to innovate? Obviously search was their first, core innovation, but over the years they’ve delivered so many other successful products (many acquired, true, but even those they’ve evolved really well). Off the top of my head: - Maps - AdWords - Gmail - YouTube - Analytics - Translate - Calendar - Sheets - Docs - Drive - Meet - Slides - Drawings - Forms - Trends - Alerts I’m sure…

Youtube was purchased, so that one isn't anything innovated in house.

Re: Instagram is shifting to videos – users aren't happy

#79
post #34

Theory on facebook failure/Google failure to innovate: They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. Keith Rabois (top VC), mentioned that FB has always prioritized optimization over…

> They have the highest leetcode standards out of FAANG. As does Snap. They hire people that basically memorized computer science algorithms. And so their employees are bookish, not innovative people. Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon do not have the same issues with creating new products. I don't think this is necessarily true because the people designing products are not the same people creating/implementing them. Even…

>there's some code out there that is a work of art and can inspire awe in everyone.

and the people who wrote it didn't spend thousands of hours memorizing the same stupid leetcode exercises to pass lame interviews for 6 figures job, they worked on real projects

tell me the fast inverse square root from Carmack would have been praised in an interview...

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