Earlier quoted context omitted.
Inflation hurts labor, not the wealthy. Bill Gates doesn't care if his groceries are 10% more expensive. Inflation is outpacing wage increases so effective wages are actually lower in terms of buying power. Housing is getting more expensive at a faster rate than wages are increasing. If you are pro-labor you want the fed to aggressively raise rates because that makes life harder for business.
> If you are pro-labor you want the fed to aggressively raise rates because that makes life harder for business. the fed presents its goals as balancing low unemployment against low inflation. any projections for unemployment have it increasing as the fed tightens. i haven’t seen anyone say who these newly unemployed are, nor where they end up. but if the tradeoff were “low unemployment, but those at the bottom of th…
Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
171–180 of 329 posts
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#172I'm skeptical that interest rate hikes will curb inflation. I'm even skeptical that a recession will curb inflation. We have significant shortages of so many products and services that people rely on and the only way I see the situation improving is if supplies increase, maybe dramatically. It's too difficult to curb demand for things like food and housing if the population is growing. Those are things we just need t…
> It's too difficult to curb demand for things like food and housing if the population is growing. It's also difficult (impossible) to curb demand for housing if housing is far and away the best investment you can possibly make, both in the short, medium, and long-term. Unfortunately, so many people in the west have their net worth tied up in their homes that policies directly targeting property values is political s…
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#173Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm a huge fan of so-called "price gouging". Without the ability to increase prices the shelves would be bare. This is what happens in all countries with price controls. You say price gouging, I say protecting society from itself.
There isn’t a shortage of many items that have had large price increases like oreos. There is no shortage on a lot of items but the companies see opportunity to raise prices at will in the current climate simply because they can
The wheat, the trucks, the oil and the labour that make every Oreo have increased in price. (We have amply-documented wheat, energy and logistics shortages worldwide.)
Also, nobody needs Oreos. The concept of “price gouging” is economically illiterate, but the nonsensicality squares when applied to literal candy.
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#174Did S&P 500 jump on the news?
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#175Now if we can only get states (like California) to stop giving out stimulus payments (they literally calling it inflation stimulus; learn economics 101) and drop student debt forgiveness nonsense. The fed is trying to curb inflation, while politicians are trying to get re-elected at any cost, fighting the fed.
> Now if we can only get states (like California) to stop giving out stimulus payments (they literally calling it inflation stimulus; I agree with you on this. They're ostensibly to help people afford to buy more gasoline. We should let the high gas prices change behavior instead. > drop student debt forgiveness nonsense. Not sure I agree with you on this. While I don't think it would be a great idea to forgive all s…
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#176I'm skeptical that interest rate hikes will curb inflation. I'm even skeptical that a recession will curb inflation. We have significant shortages of so many products and services that people rely on and the only way I see the situation improving is if supplies increase, maybe dramatically. It's too difficult to curb demand for things like food and housing if the population is growing. Those are things we just need t…
> It's too difficult to curb demand for things like food and housing if the population is growing. It's also difficult (impossible) to curb demand for housing if housing is far and away the best investment you can possibly make, both in the short, medium, and long-term. Unfortunately, so many people in the west have their net worth tied up in their homes that policies directly targeting property values is political s…
With the population numbers in decline in the west (especially Europe), will there be enough demand in the medium and long-term for housing?
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#177I'm skeptical that interest rate hikes will curb inflation. I'm even skeptical that a recession will curb inflation. We have significant shortages of so many products and services that people rely on and the only way I see the situation improving is if supplies increase, maybe dramatically. It's too difficult to curb demand for things like food and housing if the population is growing. Those are things we just need t…
I've seen some people speculating that you could see a very complex mix of inflation and deflation, where things that everybody needs to buy would inflate (food, energy), and the optional things that people can cut out of their budget (expensive cars, boats, proportional to the ability of people to do without, do less, or defer purchases) could see heavy deflation. This wouldn't be good for the economy at all, of cou…
https://news.yahoo.com/news/blogs/lookout/fed-official-heckl...
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#178We had much higher inflation in 80's, sometimes in double digits, and salaries outpaced inflation.
By contrast in 2010s inflation was nearly zero and oay has declined. There is no rule in economics that says inflation should be at near-zero like it was for the past couple decades.
Additionally, you would think that the ti.e period when we had near 0% inflation would be the time to invest in long-lofe assets like solar panels and wind turbines, that take lond time to pay back. But we didn't really take advantage.
Now we can see all stocks are down as speculating with borrowed money becomes more expensive. Meanwhile those of us without access to leverage can't afford to buy assets - it is entirely possible that inflation will benefit the common man.
https://www.tuc.org.uk/news/pay-rises-have-got-weaker-every-...
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#179Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It's too difficult to curb demand for things like food and housing if the population is growing. It's also difficult (impossible) to curb demand for housing if housing is far and away the best investment you can possibly make, both in the short, medium, and long-term. Unfortunately, so many people in the west have their net worth tied up in their homes that policies directly targeting property values is political s…
The sad thing is that individual landlords are among the most responsive to tenant needs, while corporate landlords often are sons of Hell who should be Thanos-snapped out of existence.
This is extremely dependent on a lot of factors. When you are an upper-middle class tech worker renting a luxury condo, your landlord will absolutely be responsive and helpful. I've been in those condos and they're great.
But I wasn't always able to afford to live in nice condos. When I lived in a cheap ground-floor unit and my bathroom started spewing feces out of the toilet and bathtub because the building's main sewer line was clogged due to the individual landlord fucking up a DIY fix, my individual landlord decided to ignore my calls because I was being annoying, and then I had to fight them through my local tenancy dispute board to reclaim the money I spent on hiring a plumber over a holiday weekend.
So yeah... it depends.
Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points
#180Earlier quoted context omitted.
No. Easiest by far is to relax immigration restrictions.
> No. Easiest by far is to relax immigration restrictions. Easiest way to make citizens of a country vote for anti-immigration parties is to significantly increase immigration.