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More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

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51–60 of 686 posts

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#51
post #23

To those interested in discussion outside of HN, there is a discord community [0] with professional, academic, and hobby fusion afficionados. [0] https://discord.gg/Rcum9zkBtg

Discord is a black hole in the internet. People have discussions you can't search for and isn't indexed on Google etc.

It's convenient but it's worse than a forum for creating knowledge people can search through later. It's a shame it's used for such interesting discussion.

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#52
post #41

> There was also a breakthrough in late 2021, when researchers at the Joint European Torus (JET) facility in Oxford managed to release a record-breaking 59 megajoules of fusion 59 megajoules in useful units is 16kWh, less than 2 days use of my house. That's the biggest fusion reaction ever.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tsar_Bomba ... was slightly larger than that.

Anyway, 59MJ isn't terrible if you can run it at 60Hz. Of course, I agree that the reality is a bit far away.

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#53

This is great news. That said, what the literal fuck -- we've previously been investing 1/850,000th of global GDP in one of 4-5 truly promising energy technologies while the world burns before our eyes?

Fusion isn't a silver bullet even if it works. If it costs more than solar+battery then it's worthless.

Totally disagree. Solar + battery will never match the energy density of fusion.

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#54
post #41

> There was also a breakthrough in late 2021, when researchers at the Joint European Torus (JET) facility in Oxford managed to release a record-breaking 59 megajoules of fusion 59 megajoules in useful units is 16kWh, less than 2 days use of my house. That's the biggest fusion reaction ever.

59 megajoules of sustained energy ^over the course of a few seconds^.

Ideally this energy output would be sustained for days within ITER.

JET is not designed to do this, as it has a copper magnet system, which means if you try to sustain such a plasma (confined with around 5 T magnet and around 2 MA plasma current) for longer than a few seconds, you would melt the magnet.

Edit: ITER would operate at 5-10 T, and around 15-20 MA plasma current.

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#55
post #23

To those interested in discussion outside of HN, there is a discord community [0] with professional, academic, and hobby fusion afficionados. [0] https://discord.gg/Rcum9zkBtg

Discord is a black hole in the internet. People have discussions you can't search for and isn't indexed on Google etc. It's convenient but it's worse than a forum for creating knowledge people can search through later. It's a shame it's used for such interesting discussion.

Thanks for pointing that out. What would be your suggestion/alternatives?

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#56
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fusion isn't a silver bullet even if it works. If it costs more than solar+battery then it's worthless.

Not at all. There will always be places where solar+battery isn't viable. Northern Canada and Alaska come to mind.

Also we are talking about totally different load over time characteristics. And we don't want time plus weather to dictate our industrial and shipping power needs.

Solar is great but not simply alone. (Latitude is less of an issue as (proper) power systems are interconnected markets that sell/buy excess load.)

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#57

This is great news. That said, what the literal fuck -- we've previously been investing 1/850,000th of global GDP in one of 4-5 truly promising energy technologies while the world burns before our eyes?

I'd love to see viable nuclear fusion power, but the lack of more investment at the moment doesn't really seem unreasonable. As you said, there are a number of other green alternatives, including traditional nuclear fission power, that have proven they can be real alternatives to fossil fuels and that would benefit from continued investment.

Unless I've missed something, nuclear fusion meanwhile has yet to demonstrate realistic commercial power generation, even as a proof of concept or a complete path to get to that point. In other words, more research is definitely worthwhile, but it also seems possible it will be a dead end at least in the near term. It's hard to argue prioritizing that over other things that have been generating real commercial power for decades. I'm all in favor of an all-of-the-above approach, but prioritization almost always has to be the reality.

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#58
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fusion isn't a silver bullet even if it works. If it costs more than solar+battery then it's worthless.

Totally disagree. Solar + battery will never match the energy density of fusion.

Solar is basically indirect fusion.

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#59

This is great news. That said, what the literal fuck -- we've previously been investing 1/850,000th of global GDP in one of 4-5 truly promising energy technologies while the world burns before our eyes?

Compare that to what we have invested in crypto globally and weep.

Re: More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade

#60

This is great news. That said, what the literal fuck -- we've previously been investing 1/850,000th of global GDP in one of 4-5 truly promising energy technologies while the world burns before our eyes?

It's only top 5 most promising if you're heavily weighting based on theoretical upside. We should always be taking moonshots but for climate change and global warming we need to be taking active steps yesterday, and for that fusion shouldn't even be on the list. Fission + some renewables is all we need anyway for almost everything, and carbon capture/removal can take care of stuff that will likely need to rely on fossil fuels moving forward, like aircraft. It's not a matter of way, just will.
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