Live data from Hacker News

The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

newyorker.com

121–130 of 227 posts

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

CPI has been engineered to meet targets for a long time. Several major flaws with CPI: Hedonic adjustments are more or less at the mercy of the bureaucrats. For example, new vehicles did not go up in hedonic-adjusted price from 1997 to 2020 according to the BLS [0]. The justification is that new cars have bluetooth and other features that counter-act the price change. An automatic Toyota Corolla was $12373 brand new…

I agree in general about the hedonic adjustments and their potential for manipulation or miscalculation. But automobiles are probably the worst example! Toyota didn't even roll out passenger side airbags until 1998. Only the driver had them prior to this. The new Corolla has 8 airbags. Today we have better fuel efficiency, collision protection, driver assistance, remote start... Even the seats are more comfortable. N…

If anything, shirts should get negative hedonic adjustments as the quality of the fabrics and craftmanship decrease. But I’m guessing negative hedonic adjustments isn’t a thing.

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know that my total grocery bill (not just lettuce) has more than doubled in the past few years. Gas too. "The purchasing power of the US Dollar has decreased 47%" sounds about right.

A company selling a product I frequently buy went out of business, the purchasing power of the USD has decreased by 100%.

[deleted]

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#123
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"My point isn't that inflation doesn't exist." My wife tells me different, so I'm going with her real world experience in the matter.

If you or your wife look at the past and current price of lettuce in the local store and then use that to make the conclusion that the purchasing power of the US Dollar has decreased 47%, then I don't know what to tell you. Your cost of living may have increased, but I do not understand how you can conclude an increase in inflation from living your daily life.

You can always calculate your personal rate of inflation

https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/Prices/Consumer-Pr...

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know that my total grocery bill (not just lettuce) has more than doubled in the past few years. Gas too. "The purchasing power of the US Dollar has decreased 47%" sounds about right.

A company selling a product I frequently buy went out of business, the purchasing power of the USD has decreased by 100%.

In terms of that product, it has.

And if that product was as essential to life for as many people as food and gas are, that might be important.

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#125
In 2021 this IKEA gateleg table [0] cost $199 [1].

In early 2022 it was $229 according to my records, but never in stock at any IKEAs near me. Presumably because of all the crazy supply chain/lumber problems, the IKEA shelves were largely empty.

By the time it managed to get back in stock, the price was $259 [2].

Today it's $279 [0], a 40% increase over its 2021 price. I don't even know how low it was before 2020/pre-pandemic, as far back as archive.org goes it's $199.

[0] https://www.ikea.com/us/en/p/norden-gateleg-table-birch-9042...

[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20210227021124/https://www.ikea....

[2] https://web.archive.org/web/20220422144639/https://www.ikea....

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, but someone loses, and in this case the loser is the local restaurant that doesn't appear to have much pricing power.

Just means the restaurant wasn't very good to begin with. Chipotle, McD's, etc. have all raised prices nationally, and they operate in what has to be the most price sensitive market possible. I know the good restaurants in my area have doubled prices and people keep coming because they're the best. Rising prices differentiate the good businesses from the bad.

> Just means the restaurant wasn't very good to begin with.

Or that the local market won't support higher prices. Some communities just don't have the disposable income to spare.

And even McDonalds is closing stores:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/256040/mcdonalds-restaur...

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The term "Inflation" is used in two forms interchangeably by most people, and this leads to miscommunication. Inflation is used for: (a) price inflation: increasing prices for individual goods. (b) monetary inflation: an increase in the amount of money used. Both types of inflation means you get less goods for the same amount of (in this instance) Dollars. Monetary inflation (b) is mostly created by central banks and…

Inflation is when the ratio of / grows. This can happen by the numerator growing (your (a)) or the denominator shrinking (your (b)).

Hate to be pedantic, but goods and services.

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It seems that this person is saying we could lose BBQ in all 254 counties in Texas? That's unmitigated hyperbole and balderdash. I interpreted this to mean that BBQ is available in all of the counties in TX, and that may no longer be true in the future, since some rural counties may lose their last BBQ joint.

I would like to know which they are. I just don't see that as a thing that can happen. If you think a Texas county may lose their BBQ producing capacity, please let me know as this would be most newsworthy and also deserving of every Texans' help.

That's a quote from Emily Williams Knight, the president of the Texas Restaurant Association, previously published in the Wall Street Journal:

https://www.wsj.com/story/dreams-of-inexpensive-texas-barbec...

Of course, authority doesn't necessarily make something true, but it deserves a better counterargument than: "I just don't see that as a thing that can happen."

It is certainly hard to imagine losing something so central to a culture, but the financial plight of small town America is quite dire. Sometimes people have to give up things they love when they just can't afford them anymore.

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree in general about the hedonic adjustments and their potential for manipulation or miscalculation. But automobiles are probably the worst example! Toyota didn't even roll out passenger side airbags until 1998. Only the driver had them prior to this. The new Corolla has 8 airbags. Today we have better fuel efficiency, collision protection, driver assistance, remote start... Even the seats are more comfortable. N…

But it's irrelevant when that's the cheapest new vehicle, most working Americans need a car, and despite better fuel efficiency, it isn't really that much cheaper to own a car. Hedonic adjustments make sense in theory, but in practice it's a loophole to make inflation whatever the government wants it to be. In the case of vehicles, they clearly went overboard. The counterargument to hedonic adjustments is that almost…

> But it's irrelevant when that's the cheapest new vehicle, most working Americans need a car, and despite better fuel efficiency, it isn't really that much cheaper to own a car. Hedonic adjustments make sense in theory, bpractice it's a loophole to make inflation whatever the government wants it to be.

The average new car in the US lasts like 2x longer than it did in 1998. Shouldn’t that factor in?

Re: The true costs of inflation in small-town Texas

#130

For context, I live in San Saba and Lampasas, TX. San Saba is located two hours northwest of Austin where the population density is three people per square mile. While there is truth to the story about inflation hitting rural, poorer areas the hardest, this gentleman's quotes are a but of a stretch. > Brisket went from one sixty-nine a pound to seven Brisket has not been $1.69 for years, unless this gentleman has som…

> It seems that this person is saying we could lose BBQ in all 254 counties in Texas? That's unmitigated hyperbole and balderdash. I interpreted this to mean that BBQ is available in all of the counties in TX, and that may no longer be true in the future, since some rural counties may lose their last BBQ joint.

Additional context: there are many big, nearly-empty counties in West Texas that, frankly, should be completely empty, and I say that as someone whose maternal grandparents were born and grew up in Swisher County (Tulia and Happy), and whose dad now lives in Kent County - where a grand jury summons meant the prospect of 160 mile daily round trips because the county seat is on the north side of the county but he lives in the southwest corner, and the Panhandle's one lake of note being in the way means he has to drive a long ways around it. Kent County has about 1000 residents, and there are several other sub-1000 resident counties.

This also leads to fun effects like laws that each county can only have one ballot drop-off spot: sensible for those counties with fewer residents than many of the University of Texas dorms; a ridiculous nightmare for Dallas, Travis and Harris Counties (but that was kind of the point).

Post reply on HN