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Is it bad that I'm not surprised by this? Or the fact that I'm kind of in the 50% that can see it coming.
Also, to even entertain this idea, where would the battle lines be drawn? Political differences aren't even blue state/red state anymore, let alone North vs. South: it's more like urban vs. a spectrum of less urban.
They're willing things to happen, as Q predications let them down.
Kind of a silly article designed to scare people. Let’s decide our differences over a match of Call of Duty
Civil war, for what? Every time I see this mentioned, I think, "for what?"
The survey was not primarily about this question, but here's how it was worded:
"In the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States."
The allowed responses were: "Do not agree", "Somewhat agree", "Strongly agree", "Very Strongly agree"
47.8% said that they "Do not agree" and a further 36.4% responded "Somewhat agree". A further 2.1% did not respond. So, only 13.7% gave one of the top half of the answers ("Strongly agree" or "Very strongly agree").
This paper was just posted to medrxiv today, but I've seen this list of survey questions elsewhere (perhaps this was posted elsewhere a month or two ago?). It's not a great paper -- many of the survey questions are pretty slanted (though this civil war-related one is not), and they're slanted exactly the way you would expect given the conflicts-of-interest disclosure in the paper that every author on the paper is a member of multiple left-wing anti-gun political organizations.
Still, have a look at the actual survey questions and responses. They're somewhat interesting despite the study's problems: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.15.22277693v...
Civil war, for what? Every time I see this mentioned, I think, "for what?"
Groups are not seeing eye to eye on the fundamental role of government, and lines in the sand are being drawn.
If we do wind up in some sort of civil conflict, I imagine it will look a lot like Ireland from the 60's to the 90's, which was by no means a good time.[0]
Source is apparently a preprint (that is, not peer-reviewed) uploaded here: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.15.22277693v... > Participants: Cross-sectional nationwide survey conducted May 13 to June 2, 2022; participants were adult members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel. 8,620 respondents, but I don't see how they were recruited or how potential bias was accounted for. Given how weird some of the interne…