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Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

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21–30 of 221 posts

Re: Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

#21
Some negative things we're experiencing have silver linings

- less reliance on gasoline / fossil fuels for energy

- waking up from wishful thinking about China / Russia

- we invented brand new medical tech to handle Covid, which maybe could open all kinds of fronts in fighting other diseases

Re: Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

#22
I think the pessimism we are seeing now is the natural hangover from the period of optimism we saw in the post-war era. A lot of stuff just came together, and for almost a hundred years we've seen each generation get wealthier, have more stuff and more advanced technology than ever before. Pretty easy to grow up thinking that trend will keep on going forever. Nasty hangover when that turns out to be wrong. Periods of prolonged prosperity like that aren't unique in history, but have all ended. I don't really see any reason to think this time would be different.

Re: Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

#23
Tomorrow will be worse than today, but the next year will be better. Whether you're pessimistic or optimistic depends on your planning horizon. We're entering a societal winter - this means arrival of selfish people of high ability, they will bring darkness, using all the precious tech toys we've built - but when the winter ends, there will be another spring (in the early 60s, I think).

Re: Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

#24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So your answer to “what makes you optimistic about the future?” is the apocalypse? Reminds me of pets by porno for pyros

It's just an apocalypse -- or probably many small ones -- for one species. The other millions go on to some degree, I hope! I don't think humans deserve some special place in evolution that make us more important than all the other life and life-like beings out there. But yeah, I don't think there's any saving our species anymore, I just hope enough of us perish soon so other beings can have a shot. Maybe we can go t…

> I don't think humans deserve some special place in evolution that make us more important than all the other life and life-like beings out there

> Tell me what a man finds sexually attractive and I will tell you his entire philosophy on life

Re: Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

#28
Cheap green energy.

We've just had a stark lesson on how important the price of energy is to our economy. In the future, the opposite is going to happen. The price of solar power has been dropping about 80% per decade for the last 50 years or so, and it looks like that is going to continue for the rest of this decade at least. It hasn't had a significant impact yet because solar has been more expensive than alternatives, but we've reached the crossing point, and solar power is now cheaper.

Energy is a major direct and indirect input into the price of pretty much everything.

Some people are going to figure out some good ways of turning cheap intermittent power into dollars, and those people are going to make a ton of money, dragging the rest of the economy with it.

(Unless of course that mechanism is completely useless, like crypto).

Re: Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

#29
post #7

> Given all the above, what makes you optimistic about the future? Why do you believe that the world of tomorrow will be better than the world of today? What do you look forward to in the world of the future? Many species, and viruses too, have population-level boom-bust cycles. Maybe humans will self-destruct enough to wipe out a fair number of us and our impacts will dwindle for a few millennia. It'd be cool if oth…

More likely, one subset of humans (e.g. the ones who use birth control) will be replaced by another subset (e.g. the ones who don't use birth control, perhaps for religious reasons). Since evolution favors those who don't use birth control for obvious reasons.

Re: Ask HN: What makes you optimistic about the future?

#30

- We have the accumulated knowledge of the entire human history at our fingertips and can avoid a large chunk (not all, obviously) of the pitfalls that befell our ancestors. maladies that basic sanitation eradicates, old deadly diseases like leprosy, polio, being eaten by lions, mass starvation ... those are things that are not a Thing in developed countries, and a lot more developing countries than before. The amoun…

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