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Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

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Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Has Sri Lanka’s fish been pillaged The fishermen can no longer afford or acquire fuel for their boats to go out and catch the fish. Due to the non fish related economic disaster outlined in the article.

They need fuel because they need boats that go far. They need to go far because the supply of fish has decreased. Fishing is not a modern activity. Rafts existed long before people rode horses.

And in some very poor locations people do fish by sail and rowing, but even in some of the lowest income countries on earth, using small petrol engines is increasingly common (source: buying local seafood in Sierra Leone some years back).

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They need fuel because they need boats that go far. They need to go far because the supply of fish has decreased. Fishing is not a modern activity. Rafts existed long before people rode horses.

And in some very poor locations people do fish by sail and rowing, but even in some of the lowest income countries on earth, using small petrol engines is increasingly common (source: buying local seafood in Sierra Leone some years back).

> using small petrol engines is increasingly common (source: buying local seafood

Right, because the locals have changed from fishing for themselves to fishing for others. This is market economy dynamics of engaging in activity that produces the most money.

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And in some very poor locations people do fish by sail and rowing, but even in some of the lowest income countries on earth, using small petrol engines is increasingly common (source: buying local seafood in Sierra Leone some years back).

> using small petrol engines is increasingly common (source: buying local seafood Right, because the locals have changed from fishing for themselves to fishing for others. This is market economy dynamics of engaging in activity that produces the most money.

At least where I was buying fish it was all for domestic consumption in the Freetown metro area. Very little or none of it was being caught to be frozen or canned.

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#44

> But the most boneheaded, bizarre mistake that the Sri Lankan government made was a disastrous plan to shift the entire country to organic agriculture. In April of 2021 the government banned the import and use of pesticides and synthetic fertilizers. This devastated Sri Lankan agriculture, since, as it turns out, fertilizer is really really important. Production of tea — Sri Lanka’s main cash crop — fell by 18% in a…

> The US is actually lucky to understand this at the deepest levels of policy and law making, with massive aid packages to prevent total collapse. The current inflation crisis suggests that even the US economy can reach its limit with endless money printing and stimulus. With the cost of borrowing going up, the executive and congress are going to start feeling pressure to cut spending or dramatically raise taxes.

> With the cost of borrowing going up, the executive and congress are going to start feeling pressure to cut spending or dramatically raise taxes.

Hmm, not sure that's the case given recent headlines in Politico.

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#45

Quoted post unavailable.

What is the "take" here? That "global elites" purposefully crashed the economy in Sri Lanka to get people to eat bugs? Or that they are incompetent? Also what does this have to do with what appears to be a climate change denial YouTube channel?

I think if you look at what is happening in the USA today, you will see some parallels. Our president appears to have created a national policy designed to shift us to "green energy" even though we aren't ready. This policy has not been openly declared (unless you count statements made during his campaign), or publicly reviewed for consequences (such as those we are seeing now). Encouraging a "transition" (his word) is fine, but forcing it is causing great damage to western economies.

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#46
post #4

Here's a Sri Lankan giving an in-depth analysis about this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HpZ5oiUGqW4 . I like this guy, think he's got good opinions.

This is very insightful well-balanced commentary, and counterpoint to simpler explanations like Rajapaksa's corruption, China's influence, or organic farming, as the primary cause.

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#48
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You would hope that someone wanting to switch to organic agriculture would encourage it … rather than just flip a switch…

Reminds me of governments who try to switch people to public transport by making driving harder, rather than making public transport better.

In my experience, the number one thing that makes driving harder is other drivers, not the government. Drivers full roads to over-capacity and then I sit in gridlock.

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#49
post #3

Because of Islamophobia people elected known corrupt leaders, who made all the bad decisions possible. The pandemic and Ukraine war unraveled it all.

Lol.. Islamophobia started after bombings. These leaders were there way before. Don't just link all political issues to Islamophobia.

Re: Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes

#50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The US is very lucky as a significant amount of people have been taught that government aid/handouts are wrong, as in generally. I'm even impressed Trump spent a few trillion and still didn't get blasted for it by most people. The only two serious politicians who spoke up about it was Ben Sasse who in a conference call with constituents said "he spends like a drunken sailor" and Ted Cruise who at the end with the las…

What's funny is the deepest red counties in the reddest states are also the largest recipients of US domestic agriculture subsidies and benefit programs. Then you have other things like Walmart and similar McJobs where the government is indirectly subsidizing the companies, by various child food aid, healthcare and benefits to employees because the company doesn't pay enough for its employees to live without aid.

That's why subsidies bad and subsidies good are a false dilemma. "Spending money well" might seem like an obvious solution but it runs up against the problem of corrupt politicians, of which there are many. Hence, we have (worldwide) politicians handing out money to places they are (probably) needed (in your example, the agriculture subsidies) and places they are not (Walmart and similar McJobs), and it's possible that the latter receive more than the former.

It's also possible that it's impossible to get subsidies spent in a way that isn't rife with such corruption. I would say that the only way it may be possible is small government. Not because subsidies are bad, but the only way to watch government closely enough to keep corruption low is to make it small enough to watch in entirety.

Like a computer program, if it has less lines and less features, or less overall complexity, it should be easier to spot bugs and egregious mistakes. That's not the same as not wanting features at all. Or, it can become a political version of Zawinski's law where people want more from government and the resulting size and complexity is such that a group of corrupt developers can spread their corruption across so many branches and parts of the project that no one can watch it all (after all, isn't that how the 3 letter agencies undermine security software?)

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