Earlier quoted context omitted.
China has their infamous five year plans and for 2025 they have a goal of suppying 70% of their own semiconductor demand. So it is pretty much given that we will see high-end Chinese CPUs by then.
Good luck with that if you cannot get the latest chipmaking machines from ASML. There is basically no competitor to ASML for latest gen chipmaking machines. https://www.reuters.com/technology/asml-still-has-no-licence...
On the Chinese side there is nothing short of a Manhattan project going on to create a semi-conductor industry that is outside US sanction power.
It will be absolutely fascinating to see the result of it.