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Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

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Re: Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

#51
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Crypto has tried to solve this by strict liquidation rules that tend to make things worse by turning firms into forced sellers This is literally how traditional finance works as well. If you have a leveraged position at a futures or options exchange, you absolutely will be liquidated as soon as your position gets close to being in the red. I 100% guarantee you that the CME or Goldman will not let you "ride things o…

Individual investors tend to get liquidated, but for hedge funds larger investors the story is more complex. See https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-07-29/archeg... >: > In the traditional financial system, very few things work like this. One thing that mostly does is a margin account at a retail stock brokerage: If your stock declines, you will get a margin call, and if you don’t post margin within a def…

Credit Suisse may thought it was rude, may have been thinking about maintaining the relationship long term or may have suspected liquidating the assets would net it less than what was owed with no recourse for the other part.

Re: Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

#52

The crypto community continues to speed run the history of traditional finance. This weeks lesson is that in an up market its leverage that makes you money and in a down market its the unwinding of leverage that kills you. They are also learning that interconnectedness will hurt more in a downturn. You can be perfectly delta hedged( don't care which way the market moves) and its the counter party risk that will sink…

> Tehter has lent money to almost all these firms

Do you have a source for this?

Re: Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This ! The "idea" of Defi was that w wouldn't need "regulations and rules" since we could 'just' look at the actual deployed code(eth contract for example) to see if you going to get screwed. Of course few ppl actually look at the code, or sometimes the code is just bad and you get bad actors willing to exploit this. That being said: In practice and real life there are a bunch of dodgy companies and badly written eth…

I suspect most experienced software engineers would find that all rather obvious. Bugs are a fact of life. Even formal verification can't save you from this. Good software is built to be resilient to our own bugs, because they are simply inevitable. It's not about good or bad programming, every one has the ability to make a simple mistake resulting in huge consequences. It's basically a rite of passage to have crashe…

I was more pointing to the fact/class of bugs we don't even know are bugs yet, like "re-entrant" bugs for eth.(logic bugs ?) The cost of having a bug in an eth contract is many many times higher than say a wordpress site getting hacked ! Or having a bug in your online-design tool.

I've seen many a times, "business ppl" just go with lowest cost when wanting some software done. Try going for the "lowest cost bidder" when getting a web3 contract coded !

You right, bugs do and always will exists and we are all but human, but some bugs have a much higher cost than other - even if they are simpler.

Re: Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

#56

The crypto community continues to speed run the history of traditional finance. This weeks lesson is that in an up market its leverage that makes you money and in a down market its the unwinding of leverage that kills you. They are also learning that interconnectedness will hurt more in a downturn. You can be perfectly delta hedged( don't care which way the market moves) and its the counter party risk that will sink…

>$5,000 BTC and $200 ETH are in site if Tether starts to fail.

IMO, pre-2017 prices for BTC (<$1000) returning is inevitable. If Tether fails, then pre-2014 prices (<$100) are more likely. BTC was at $5K a little over 2 years ago, anyone who thinks the bottom is at that level is deluding themselves.

Re: Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Crypto has tried to solve this by strict liquidation rules that tend to make things worse by turning firms into forced sellers This is literally how traditional finance works as well. If you have a leveraged position at a futures or options exchange, you absolutely will be liquidated as soon as your position gets close to being in the red. I 100% guarantee you that the CME or Goldman will not let you "ride things o…

As per Matt Levine: ... The way the traditional system works is that if you have a margin loan, and the value of your collateral declines, your broker calls you up and says “hey we need more collateral,” and you either post more collateral and it’s fine, or you don’t post more collateral and your broker liquidates your position. Or sometimes you say something like “hang on I’ve got another call, I’ll call you back af…

For every seller, there must be a buyer. With a defi "code is law" approach, if every contract automatically tries to execute a sell at the same time, the price will fall until there are enough matching buyers, and if there still aren't enough buyers when BTC hits $0.0000001 then the sell orders will just not execute. Smart contracts do not eliminate the problem of liquidity risk, they merely assume it away.

Re: Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

#59
post #52

The crypto community continues to speed run the history of traditional finance. This weeks lesson is that in an up market its leverage that makes you money and in a down market its the unwinding of leverage that kills you. They are also learning that interconnectedness will hurt more in a downturn. You can be perfectly delta hedged( don't care which way the market moves) and its the counter party risk that will sink…

> Tehter has lent money to almost all these firms Do you have a source for this?

https://assets.ctfassets.net/vyse88cgwfbl/1np5dpcwuHrWJ4AgUg...

The points you're looking for:

> Secured Loans (none to affiliated entities) $3,149,732,368

> Other Investments (including digital tokens) $4,959,634,446

Re: Battered Crypto Hedge Fund Three Arrows Capital Considers Asset Sales, Bailout

#60

The crypto community continues to speed run the history of traditional finance. This weeks lesson is that in an up market its leverage that makes you money and in a down market its the unwinding of leverage that kills you. They are also learning that interconnectedness will hurt more in a downturn. You can be perfectly delta hedged( don't care which way the market moves) and its the counter party risk that will sink…

> Crypto has tried to solve this by strict liquidation rules that tend to make things worse by turning firms into forced sellers This is literally how traditional finance works as well. If you have a leveraged position at a futures or options exchange, you absolutely will be liquidated as soon as your position gets close to being in the red. I 100% guarantee you that the CME or Goldman will not let you "ride things o…

CME, the exchange, is not the one closing on you.

Your prime brokerage is.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/primebrokerage.asp

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