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Taiwan to Deploy ‘Bee Eye’ Radars Near Chinese Mainland

thedefensepost.com

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Re: Taiwan to Deploy ‘Bee Eye’ Radars Near Chinese Mainland

#5

Unfortunately, China will likely attack Taiwan unless Russia is humiliated.

That is a fundamental misreading of China's relationship with Taiwan and China's intentions. China is likely to never attack Taiwan as long as the status quo is maintained, and as long as they believe that eventual peaceful reunification is possible. China's policy on Taiwan has not changed for decades.

The height of military tensions were in the late 50s, when China and Taiwan were shelling each other. In later decades, they still sometimes deliberately shelled each other as a statement to others that the China-Taiwan issue is a domestic Chinese issue. Nowadays neither side has unleashed a shot for well over 30 years.

The US has maintained the One China Policy for decades as well. Officially they haven't changed the policy, but unofficially they are trying to change it into a "Taiwan Independence Policy" without admitting that they are. This is where a lot of recent US-China tensions come from, especially on the military side.

Anything Russia does to other states has got absolutely nothing to do with it.

Re: Taiwan to Deploy ‘Bee Eye’ Radars Near Chinese Mainland

#7

Unfortunately, China will likely attack Taiwan unless Russia is humiliated.

That is a fundamental misreading of China's relationship with Taiwan and China's intentions. China is likely to never attack Taiwan as long as the status quo is maintained, and as long as they believe that eventual peaceful reunification is possible. China's policy on Taiwan has not changed for decades. The height of military tensions were in the late 50s, when China and Taiwan were shelling each other. In later deca…

This is only the second time I have heard someone reference actual shelling of Taiwan, the other was my Mother in Law who lived there for awhile - I tried to find info about it online and came up blank, is there a good source you know of?

Re: Taiwan to Deploy ‘Bee Eye’ Radars Near Chinese Mainland

#8
post #6

Biden said he would militarily defend Taiwan (throw Ukraine under the bus). The leash on Taiwan is officially off now. Embrace for more aggression from both sides to challenge the status quo.

I'm not convinced the equivalence you mention - "aggression from both sides" - is really there. The current Taiwanese government's only stated goal is to defend itself; there is no serious surviving political will in Taiwan to attack China.

China could attack Taiwan (particularly Matsu and Kinmen), but an attack on the mainland also appears less likely these days, given the very real chance of humiliation a la Russia in Ukraine.

Re: Taiwan to Deploy ‘Bee Eye’ Radars Near Chinese Mainland

#9
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That is a fundamental misreading of China's relationship with Taiwan and China's intentions. China is likely to never attack Taiwan as long as the status quo is maintained, and as long as they believe that eventual peaceful reunification is possible. China's policy on Taiwan has not changed for decades. The height of military tensions were in the late 50s, when China and Taiwan were shelling each other. In later deca…

This is only the second time I have heard someone reference actual shelling of Taiwan, the other was my Mother in Law who lived there for awhile - I tried to find info about it online and came up blank, is there a good source you know of?

Google 金门炮战 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Taiwan_Strait_Crisis

Re: Taiwan to Deploy ‘Bee Eye’ Radars Near Chinese Mainland

#10

Unfortunately, China will likely attack Taiwan unless Russia is humiliated.

That is a fundamental misreading of China's relationship with Taiwan and China's intentions. China is likely to never attack Taiwan as long as the status quo is maintained, and as long as they believe that eventual peaceful reunification is possible. China's policy on Taiwan has not changed for decades. The height of military tensions were in the late 50s, when China and Taiwan were shelling each other. In later deca…

What about what they did in Hong Kong? They changed the rules once, what stops them from doing it again? History clearly means nothing.
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