Live data from Hacker News

1k True Fans? Try 100 (2020)

future.a16z.com

141–145 of 145 posts

Re: 1k True Fans? Try 100 (2020)

#142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I just started a podcast a few weeks ago [1] where I interview other folks who work at Microsoft to answer the question that I often had back when we had company meetings: what do all of these people do? I was surprised that I hadn't heard of Supercast before. At what point does it make sense for me to start thinking about services like Supercast? Is there a threshold of # subscribers, downloads, some other metric th…

If you have engaged listeners, over time you should be able to convert about 5% of them (generally for $5-10 a month). When that becomes worth it is up to you, but we generally don't see super successful launches for podcasts with less than 10,000 downloads per episode.

Thanks! That gives me a concrete goal to strive for.

Re: 1k True Fans? Try 100 (2020)

#143
post #139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My edit was to add: > Not working with folks that try to get this type of viewer to press this button multiple times per months is a fantastic thing not something to get inflamed about. At the same time it doesn't mean these types of streamers and fans don't exist just because you don't work with them and clearly they do exist or Twitch wouldn't have bothered to make all of these types of options and fancy effects an…

> If you haven't noticed that with the several hundred live streamers you've consulted with then it seems by definition the streamers you interact with do not have the Super Fans being discussed [...] At the same time it doesn't mean these types of streamers and fans don't exist just because you don't work with them I'm trying to take your word that you don't mean to disparage, but I don't see another interpretation…

(1/2)

Thanks for the walkthrough on the statement, I think I see a bit of what you were thinking when you read the statement. At the same time let's walk through what it says and try to see :

> Twitch has a "Gift 100 subs $499" button right in the gift UI. If you haven't noticed that with the several hundred live streamers you've consulted with then it seems by definition the streamers you interact with do not have the Super Fans being discussed yet such fans are common enough for Twitch to make UI for it.

What I intended to communicate: Twitch has far more than a $25 subscription option but the vast majority of partnered channels (there are ~50k active) don't know things like "Gift 100 subs" is a preset option because $499 is a whole number percentage of their lifetime Twitch revenue not something they regularly get from a single user action. And genuinely on the condition the hundreds of live streamers you've consulted aren't exactly the top couple hundred overall you would then by, by your own answer to the question, not talking about the same types of fans when referring to the "Super Fans" that dump life savings or such into these actions. On the other half of the if, i.e. those are the streamers, then we've short-circuited to these high cost options existing and went back to discussion on exploitation/marketing that was perhaps accidentally (or for some other reason) initially dismissed as not even being possible on the site.

What you interpreted I communicated: I found a few nits as an excuse to say you're ignorant and couldn't possibly work with streamers of that level.

This is the kind of split I had in mind when talking about "often on the internet plain text can be interpreted many different ways". If you go into the comment assuming it has good intent it's just a genuine comment asking if you're referring to the same group that sees these extremely high cost actions or not since the type of fan being talked about necessarily is one doing far more than a tier 3 sub worth $25 via Twitch. If you go into the comment assuming my only intent is to nit and demean, discussion be damned, then it's a reductive comment made purely to be inflammatory. When you start with either of those points of view going in though it can be extremely hard to see how the other person could see it so differently but talking through it like this really helps, for me at least :).

> All of those things (and some that I left out) are disparaging, and the entire premise of your commentary has been that your perspective as a viewer can be applied to the entirety of the content creation industry as an absolute and indisputable fact, but that my perspective as a viewer, streamer and consultant strictly applies to a unique subset of streamers whom I've personally worked with -- because apparently I exclusively find the extremely rare streamers and whales who aren't part of "the vast majority" involved in an "exploitative" industrial complex, even though that would be a statistical impossibility. So, when you say "nothing I've talked to is about my personal experience vs your professional experience," that's patently untrue. It's the basis for everything you've said.

Going off the above if we start making the conversation about how I view your experience or how you view my experience we'll both get nowhere as we'll be divining things from our interpretations of the other person's anecdotes, neither of which is solid on their own so doubly less so together. That's why I've tried to avoid talking about my experiences vs your experiences and instead try to bring back each talking point to a hard publicly verifiable item like what actions Twitch makes purchasable, how they are advertised, the Twitch data leak and how there can't be 1000 counterexamples because there aren't 1000 accounts with the payout level to have had fans like the mentioned. I'm not bringing these points in because I'm trying to find nits to take a shit on your consultancy business (which sounds pretty successful, congrats consulting can be hard to grow) but because they necessitate that there was a misinterpretation in who GP was referring to and they can't possibly have been referring to all of the people you went to the strong defense of. Now that doesn't mean I think you'll agree with GP's original statements but the reason I bring them up is I think it steers towards a much more interesting conversation on why you disagree with GP with the people they were really referring to not the larger group you feel the need to defend.

> In reality, there are magnitudes more large donors who contribute to be supportive and out of appreciation for the streamers time and talents. Some fans will spend 100+ hours per month watching a particular streamer, so if they can afford to donate $1,000, that works out to paying $10/hr for entertainment, which is less than many hobbies. Yet, I don't see you making claims that people who spend lots of money on other forms of entertainment are exploited -- just this particular industry, and for reasons you haven't actually articulated.

(1/2)

Re: 1k True Fans? Try 100 (2020)

#144
post #139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My edit was to add: > Not working with folks that try to get this type of viewer to press this button multiple times per months is a fantastic thing not something to get inflamed about. At the same time it doesn't mean these types of streamers and fans don't exist just because you don't work with them and clearly they do exist or Twitch wouldn't have bothered to make all of these types of options and fancy effects an…

> If you haven't noticed that with the several hundred live streamers you've consulted with then it seems by definition the streamers you interact with do not have the Super Fans being discussed [...] At the same time it doesn't mean these types of streamers and fans don't exist just because you don't work with them I'm trying to take your word that you don't mean to disparage, but I don't see another interpretation…

(2/2)

Conveniently enough this is the exact kind of conversation I was just talking about trying to find! Certainly particularly rich, particularly interested, fans of a particular stream can spend $1,000 on actions without causing personal financial problems and it can be a reasonable entertainment expense for that particular combo. The same could be said for gambling which was mentioned in the original comment but is also still extremely problematic for the majority it attracts in practice and nowadays heavily regulated. Being able to find many individual anecdotes of such users would even be expected given the original claim was about the majority not every single one of what is probably a group on the order of the mid 4 digits, most of which. In regards to articulating why it's a problem despite these anecdotes something else I've previously mentioned to build off this is the millionaire streamers (roughly the top ~10^2 of payouts not ~10^3) are more heavily weighted to be the ones getting these kinds of donations. Not that the ~10^3 pool won't get any but it's not a flat or even linear distribution. In general it's more this misalignment in distribution that defines how exploitative an industry/service is with whales than the presence of whales itself. The idea about it being in majority for supporting content only works if the majority of whales are very evenly spread out not highly clustered. Unfortunately it's exceedingly rare to regularly have someone or multiple someone's like the user that donated nearly 500 gift subs within the last week unless you're a top 10 exception or one of the streamer types the GP was talking about.

> And that's all still ignoring the fact that your perceived observations do not apply to the content creation industry as a whole, or even the majority of it. When I tell you that what you're describing can't be applied to the nearly 1,000 whales I've personally communicated with over the past few years, it makes no sense for you to double down on a blanket generalization that "the vast majority" of streamers are exploitative and large donors are being exploited, because even basic math doesn't back your argument.

Again I'm not really expecting to make much progress talking about how you perceive my perceived observations. If you want to talk about this in terms the publicly accessible data or hard facts from twitch.com itself I think there might be more interesting discussion to be had there. Or dive into the math you're talking about as if I've provided my derivations and sources and came to a conclusion I'm not going to be able to come no a new conclusion with just the additional info "even basic math doesn't back your argument".

> You listed the basic concept of subscriptions and rewards as evidence for nefarious activity and exploitation. That's rather silly, and I'm not going to engage with it.

It's 100% up to you what you find silly or not silly. Some people find the basic concept of casinos having meanendering layouts, free drinks/meals, and machines/games designed to make you feel continually close to a payout or needing to up the bet as rather silly evidence for nefarious activity/exploitation. At the same time it's very hard to have any meaningful conversation with someone who simply says things like "that's rather silly, and I'm not going to engage with it" when confronted with the reasoning of the other person.

> Please stop making pedantic nitpicks... You know exactly what I was referencing, and that you continue to turn these false nitpicks into full arguments is both exhausting and starting to resemble gaslighting.

> In general if there is something you find nitpicking, confrontational, disparaging, inflammatory, or so on I'd greatly appreciate if you could provide an example of what and how it could have been better worded to focus on the content. As it stands now I'm having a hard time distilling what or how you're expecting things to be different, just that you seem extraordinarily unhappy with every comment I make.

In particular my initial "internet filter" reading whenever you say nitpicking multiple times per comment without trying to build off of it is that every time I bring up a counter point it's just a nit to be ignored while every time you bring up a counter point it's something that could only be disagreed with if I'm trying to incite confrontation or personally attack you. Of course this interpretation isn't going to help either of us so again I refer to my comment that if you do feel these things it'd be very helpful of why the non-nit interpretations of my comments are invalid and how they could have been better framed to focus around the core of the conversation.

Claims like gaslighting (defined as "psychological manipulation of a person usually over an extended period of time that causes the victim to question the validity of their own thoughts, perception of reality, or memories and typically leads to confusion, loss of confidence and self-esteem, uncertainty of one's emotional or mental stability, and a dependency on the perpetrator") are particularly extraordinary interpretations of a few short comments on HN but if you really think these kinds of things I think it's probably best to report such things to the mod team and disengage completely as it's both extremely troubling if the claim as true or extremely troubling if you're interpreting comments as being that way but it wasn't true. Unlike the other things I'm not really sure how to gain new perspective when one of the parties is honestly suspicious they are being psychologically manipulated.

Regardless I appreciate your time so far, you've certainly opened me to the concept there are many more "wholesome" communities out there than one would expect from just looking at the top numbers. I also think you've helped me better see how wide interpretations of the same plain text statements can be taken and it will help to have that in mind in the future.

(2/2)

Re: 1k True Fans? Try 100 (2020)

#145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>What the article is describing isn't "fans" as much as plain old "customers". This doesn't apply to webnovels. There are people there making over $1000 a month (some over $15 000) publishing completely free webnovels.

> This doesn't apply to webnovels. There are people there making over $1000 a month (some over $15 000) publishing completely free webnovels. I don't consider authors of web novels or serials with Patreons like Wild bow or ErraticErrata to be representative of the broader population of authors on places such as Royal Road. I'd assume the total income distribution of web novel authors to be fairly top heavy.

Wildbow makes two to three times less than other authors on royalroad.

As always in the creative industry, the earnings are on a steeply descending exponential curve. But people still make good money out of a couple of hundreds fans.

Post reply on HN