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S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

sfchronicle.com

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Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#401

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> sudden drop in rents Curious, Why aren't properly prices droping to reflect the loss in population.

It’s possible most of the 6.3% did not own property and we’re not in the market to buy property, so there was no change in that market.

Even renters increase housing costs. Housing is finite and some people sit on the fence about buying or renting. An inability to find a rental unit sometimes tips them into the buying territory

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#402
post #395

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Homeowners are a reliable political cohort, they tend to organize quickly as soon as any issues are on the agenda that might affect the value of their land and they will reliably push for whatever increases land values. They show up at city hall to make sure they are at least the loudest group on the issue. Homeowners are also diligent voters. You’ll need more than 50% of people to be renters to counter this, unless…

> Homeowners are a reliable political cohort, they tend to organize quickly as soon as any issues are on the agenda that might affect the value of their land and they will reliably push for whatever increases land values. I feel like this is a myth, do you have research to back this? As a 20+ year home owner, I've never been asked to support anything to increase land/housing value (not that I'd want to, since that me…

But in the spirit of the question and for curiosity’s sake, if you were faced with a decision that’s beneficial to renters but decreases your property value, which way do you go?

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#403

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's because leadership is failing. The correct response of leaders is to ignore wealthy citizens attempting to prop up their multi-million dollar 3bed4bath properties and let them know, "We're going to zone more areas for residential development, sorry. 2500 square foot homes shouldn't be $3 million in any area in America." And all these rich liberals - and they are liberals - use the same bullshit line over and o…

Are you calling me a "lying fuck" because I offered my opinion about the situation?

No he called you a lying fuck because he thinks you're not being honest.

I don't think you're lying. But most definitely what he says about liberal democrats is true.

https://youtu.be/hNDgcjVGHIw

Attacking conservatives was just poor taste and off topic. The reaction you got was well deserved because you tried to give something neutral a political bent.

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#404
post #96

I think in the two scenarios you can focus on either the positives or the negatives. When population goes up: positive - the area is vibrant economically; negative - rent is spiraling upwards out of control When population goes down: positive - rent is finally affordable; negative - the area is falling apart existentially I think the media in general has found the negative spin sells better.

> When population goes up: positive - the area is vibrant economically; negative - rent is spiraling upwards out of control What's endlessly infuriating is population going up in a city should be an almost unmitigated positive. It's just our unwillingness to allow building new housing turning it into a zero sum game that makes it a mixed bag.

But why? Are we aiming to have mega-cities of 15M people like Asia? I've been there, no thanks. It would be better if people move to other cities if SF doesn't make sense.

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#405
post #255

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Rents are definitely down - or at least they were 1.5 years ago when I last moved. Before the pandemic, 1 bedrooms were usually at least $3500 and often $4000+. When I looked last January, there were decent places between $2500 and $3000. I emailed some landlords saying "is there any chance you could go lower" and they offered me free rent for 1-3 months. I ended up with a pretty good deal on a large one bedroom in t…

Many buildings around us have not since raised their rents. Still bargains to be had.

$3000 a month for a modern building, good one bedroom? Not a studio.

In SOMA/Mission? That's genuinely somewhat affordable for tech workers.

You'd get a terrible studio in Manhattan for that, plus all sorts of fees.

San Francisco's reputation is letting itself down. The house price bubble must only be for 3BR family homes with a yard in San Jose/Palo Alto.

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#406

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Here's another more bleak option. Just like in 2008 when corporations bought up huge swaths of the housing market for cash while no one could get a loan. (which is part of the current issue with not enough homes to buy) They aren't betting the market will come roaring back, they are betting that they can corner the market and housing will be a subscription just like everything else they sell. Rent seekers aren't goin…

As usual, the “speculators” and “out of towners” and others are convenient scapegoats, lest we have to face the underlying supply and demand and barriers to development. You want to have a monopoly on housing in a major city? I’d be hard pressed to point out an industry where that would be harder . You have literally millions of competitors.

Absolutely this.

The out of towners, who are mostly Blackrock, is just a fella with a spreadsheet tracking new dwelling approvals vs demand.

All the Bay Area has to do is approve new dwellings. The issue is the politicians are landlords with investment properties.

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#407

I think remote work is often understated in reasons people move away. When you go into the office every day, it's pretty obvious that you have to live in whatever city you live in. But with remote work, the question becomes "if I don't have to live here, do I want to keep living here". For many (including myself), the answer was a definitive NO. Sure many headlines and news segments make it seem that it's the crime,…

This is exactly why I left to a smaller town. Once I was fully remote, there was nothing keeping me from seeking out better prices for housing, better schooling for my children, and better streets to walk down.

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#408
post #64

SF is expensive and horrible. The only reason people in tech live there is because of employers in the area and it beats living elsewhere in the Bay Area which is expensive and dull. There's really no other reason people would put up with an hour (or more) commute each way every day.

Yep, the Bay Area somehow got lucky with the nexus of high tech being here. Without these jobs, this area wouldn’t have a whole lot to offer

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#409
post #223
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The city center can be gnarly for sure, but everywhere else is quite nice. Not sure how you could describe any neighborhood on the West side of the city as a "hellscape" for example.

I agree, the western side is hardly a hellscape. I guess don't let the tourists know! San Francisco is really 2 different cities rather than 11 counties. West side (where I live) has some minor problems but otherwise offers the best mix of culture, places to eat, parks, and transit. Downtown is rife with problems and if someday it does get cleaned up, it will wonderful since the right density and transit is there.

I need a detailed list of places please! BART only gives me access to the less desirable parts of the city

Re: S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010

#410

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are you calling me a "lying fuck" because I offered my opinion about the situation?

No he called you a lying fuck because he thinks you're not being honest. I don't think you're lying. But most definitely what he says about liberal democrats is true. https://youtu.be/hNDgcjVGHIw Attacking conservatives was just poor taste and off topic. The reaction you got was well deserved because you tried to give something neutral a political bent.

1. First rule of comments on Hackernews is "be kind". My statement didn't attack any single user on this site. If the user disagreed with me he can simply state that with a counter argument.

2. Conservative pundits have made remarks implying politics/a political party are to blame. I don't think it's politically neutral and that's what I was commenting on. Examples below where the population decline is discussed.

Foxnews - segment on the crime issues and the population decline. Saying that "a rare breed, a Republican" ... "community activist is trying to save his city". Then when talking about the DA and a recall "..who is the notoriously soft on crime DA in San Francisco". [1]

Washington Times - "In recent years, more people have left California for other states than have moved there, a trend Republicans say is a result of the state’s high taxes and progressive politics" [2]

Newsmax - [Headline]"DeSantis Concerned About California Exodus; Calls San Francisco 'Dumpster Fire'"

(Desantis quote's are the main portion of the article) It's like the leftism, they will not draw the connection between their leftist ideology and the destruction that's all around them,""

[1]https://video.foxnews.com/v/6305307974112#sp=show-clips

[2]https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/may/7/california-p...

[3]https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/desantis-california-exodus...

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