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Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

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Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#61

DeFi/crypto detractors will say "but there's nothing backing it" which is not entirely crazy. After all you could just print out bits of paper and exchange them for money, so long as someone is willing to play that game with you. Blockchain is no different, it's just a clever way to record who has what. So why do people put billions in crypto but not in random bits of paper such as Pokemon cards? Liquidity. This is t…

Well put. The financial system largely exist for the purpose of wealth extraction. Sure, companies use the share market to initially raise capital but what is the true value of Amazon stock considering they don't issue dividends? Even with a stock that issues dividends how do know that it will happen for years to come? It's all speculation backed by nothing but emotion.

Amazon stock isn’t backed by nothing but emotion. It’s backed by a company that is the largest e-commerce provider and cloud provider.

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#62
post #49
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Calling it a Ponzi scheme is uninteresting and not really the point here. Was GameStop a Ponzi scheme when the stock price soared? I think the interesting part here is the relation to bitcoin and a new theory on how to price things. It’s traditionally been assumed that the price of an asset is related to the underlying value it has or the value it generates (eg cash flow). SBF is pointing out that’s not a complete me…

That's a lacking comparison. The Gamestop stock has not been specifically created for this kind of "investing", neither does it not have fundamentals behind the value. Of course there's going to be speculation going on with any asset, but GME is not a purely speculative asset, and is not purely based on possible future application which isn't even known yet. There's a corporation behind it, which generates revenue, w…

(and if you then back a stablecoin with this Ponzi scheme it's called Luna/Terra)

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#63

> SBF: Well, okay. So you've got this boxes and it’s kind of dumb, but like what's the end game, right? This box is worth zero obviously. It blows my mind that the people profiting from this are publicly describing the scheme like this, and nobody seems to care.

How much is a share of Amazon worth considering they don't pay any dividends? Isn't this the same thing?

At worst, a fraction of the value of all the companies physical assets and IP, which is significant. At best, fractional control over huge amounts of revenue that the company earns.

A share isn’t just some token, it conveys ownership of a public company.

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#64
post #49
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Calling it a Ponzi scheme is uninteresting and not really the point here. Was GameStop a Ponzi scheme when the stock price soared? I think the interesting part here is the relation to bitcoin and a new theory on how to price things. It’s traditionally been assumed that the price of an asset is related to the underlying value it has or the value it generates (eg cash flow). SBF is pointing out that’s not a complete me…

That's a lacking comparison. The Gamestop stock has not been specifically created for this kind of "investing", neither does it not have fundamentals behind the value. Of course there's going to be speculation going on with any asset, but GME is not a purely speculative asset, and is not purely based on possible future application which isn't even known yet. There's a corporation behind it, which generates revenue, w…

> Of course there's going to be speculation going on with any asset, but GME is not a purely speculative asset, and is not purely based on possible future application which isn't even known yet. There's a corporation behind it, which generates revenue, which provides services, all of this has real value, which then serves as a valuation.

GME also benefits from a significant protest aspect, with people buying stocks without any expectation of profiting from it and with the sole motivation of participating in an event which, in the very least, causes an hedge fund suspected of ilegal practices to go bankrupt.

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#65
post #36

It's a Ponzi scheme. He doesn't even seem to push back against the "Ponzi" phrasing. Also -- this is merely a footnote -- his Ponzi scheme is currently the 3rd-largest political donation source in the USA. https://www.opensecrets.org/outsidespending/summ.php?GoToPag... https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/-crypto-cash-...

Calling it a Ponzi scheme is uninteresting and not really the point here. Was GameStop a Ponzi scheme when the stock price soared? I think the interesting part here is the relation to bitcoin and a new theory on how to price things. It’s traditionally been assumed that the price of an asset is related to the underlying value it has or the value it generates (eg cash flow). SBF is pointing out that’s not a complete me…

"Collectives agreements" are not an innovation. Underlying value is precisely, simply and only, a collective agreement (made by the market, instantaneously in real time billions of times a day) about how much something is worth.

Absolutely zero innovation there.

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#66
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Calling it a Ponzi scheme is uninteresting and not really the point here. Was GameStop a Ponzi scheme when the stock price soared? I’d argue that the intent of GameStop was not to provide a solid investment as it was just as a collective intent to make short sellers fail. I have serious trouble seeing how “collective agreements” has any intrinsic value. To me, it’s effectively the same as saying “the value of coin…

> I have serious trouble seeing how “collective agreements” has any intrinsic value. Then you probably don’t see value in any form of cryptocurrency. I do, because I think collective agreements are at the heart of how society functions. Fiat money is a collective agreement that works by the backing and enforcement of a central entity (government). It’s at least interesting to me to experiment with a collective agreem…

> Then you probably don’t see value in any form of cryptocurrency. I do, because I think collective agreements are at the heart of how society functions. Fiat money is a collective agreement that works by the backing and enforcement of a central entity (government). It’s at least interesting to me to experiment with a collective agreement that does not have to be backed or enforced by a central entity (bitcoin).

The main problem with crypto is that it does not work like that. Society demands way more than mere vague "collective agreements" in order to function. Society relies on debt transfers that preserve value between transactions. It expects value to be stored and also stable and reliable enough in order to enable deferred payments.

Crypto provides none of that. Worse,crypto proponents explicitly praise crypto's inability to remain stable even in the short term, which manifests itself through an expectation of ever increasing price. You simply cannot portray something as being a kind of money and at the same time praise it for it's "get rich quick scheme" nature.

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#67
post #4

The shock in Matt's voice was hilarious on the podcast. It's in the article, but here is is for anyone looking for it: > Matt: (27:13) > I think of myself as like a fairly cynical person. And that was so much more cynical than how I would've described farming. You're just like, well, I'm in the Ponzi business and it's pretty good.

FYI, the timestamps in the article are about 2 minutes earlier than the actual track, so this would be somewhere around 29 minutes

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#68

It's kind of a Ponzi scheme, but not really since it's not (usually) orchestrated by one malicious entity. Instead, it's a collaborative community effort with the community doing marketing and driving the price. In other words, the dirty work if customer acquisition and advertising is outsourced. It's not so different from crazy startup valuations that are often a result of market forces and competition, with the hop…

> It's a fun game to play, just like casinos are fun. In 99.9% of cases nothing of value is behind these protocols. It is a lot of fun until people start becoming homeless and consider ending their life. https://www.reddit.com/r/terraluna/comments/un3w7t/i_lost_ov...

> It is a lot of fun until people start becoming homeless and consider ending their life.

It's still fun. People make bad decisions all over the world all the time. The fact you read and dwell on the consequences some people suffer over it is not a problem, for other people, to solve.

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#69
post #34

It's a Ponzi scheme. He doesn't even seem to push back against the "Ponzi" phrasing. Also -- this is merely a footnote -- his Ponzi scheme is currently the 3rd-largest political donation source in the USA. https://www.opensecrets.org/outsidespending/summ.php?GoToPag... https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/-crypto-cash-...

Regulatory capture by a Ponzi scheme was just added to my "list of things that could legitimately destroy the USA from within." Did Bernie Madoff ever do this? I feel like he did, but maybe not so effectively or at such scale.

Albania did, and it led to a civil war.

Re: Sam Bankman-Fried Described Yield Farming and Left Matt Levine Stunned

#70

DeFi/crypto detractors will say "but there's nothing backing it" which is not entirely crazy. After all you could just print out bits of paper and exchange them for money, so long as someone is willing to play that game with you. Blockchain is no different, it's just a clever way to record who has what. So why do people put billions in crypto but not in random bits of paper such as Pokemon cards? Liquidity. This is t…

Well put. The financial system largely exist for the purpose of wealth extraction. Sure, companies use the share market to initially raise capital but what is the true value of Amazon stock considering they don't issue dividends? Even with a stock that issues dividends how do know that it will happen for years to come? It's all speculation backed by nothing but emotion.

For Amazon, it has value due to partial ownership of the business itself and the cash/assets held by the business. If I own 1% of amazon and it has $100 in the bank, I own $1 of that. This underlies and backs the stock value.

Companies also execute stock buybacks, even if they dont offer dividends.

Amazon just announced a $10 billion buyback, which is theoretically equivalent to a 1% dividend this year ($1T market cap). If amazon buys back 1% of stocks, I now own 1.01% of the company and $1.01 in that company bank account.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/09/amazon-announces-20-for-1-st...

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