A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
economist.com
A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
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Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#2The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles.
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#3The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles.
Why is that?
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#4No post body was provided.
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#5I would be interested in an analysis at scale of artifacts, components, foodstuffs, industrial inputs, which have similar impact to the loss of this source of wheat, against a worldwide wheat market.
If (eg) Argentina Bolivia and Chile were unable to supply Lithium, how long would it take the world to ramp up to using Australian sources, and what would it do to the supply chain?
Or, if the soybean crop failed in one economy, would worldwide pig production suffer?
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#6The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles.
> The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles.
That's very difficult to say, actually; the Moskova was sunk with them after all, but the bigger issue is the abhorrent and indiscriminate shelling of civilian populations by the Russians. Fields with farmers and homes and hospitals with civilians are not of military importance. And yet, Russia keeps shooting them.
The truth is Putin's Kremlin is to blame for this wide-spread shortage and upcoming famine in many regions of the World, the West should just take the funds they seized as seed money to grow wheat in Africa this season even if it's a loss to offset this massive lost in cultivation in Ukraine.
For what it's worth, planting is still taking place [0], it's just being disrupted and will not be as large of a grow as it was prior to the invasion, so the yields will be reduced. I have it on good authority that in Lviv Oblast, specifically in Trasncarpathia things are still going into the ground as planned since Spring.
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#7The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles.
Russia has submarines in the black sea.
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#8Non paywalled version: https://archive.ph/u7s5R
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#9The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles.
> The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles. That's very difficult to say, actually; the Moskova was sunk with them after all, but the bigger issue is the abhorrent and indiscriminate shelling of civilian populations by the Russians. Fields with farmers and homes and hospitals with civilians are not of military importance. And yet, Russia keeps shooting them. The truth is Putin'…
That’s true of course, but from my understanding the main problem at the moment is exporting the grain, not production of said grain.
Re: A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
#10Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The war wouldn’t be such a problem if Ukraine received proper anti-ship missiles. That's very difficult to say, actually; the Moskova was sunk with them after all, but the bigger issue is the abhorrent and indiscriminate shelling of civilian populations by the Russians. Fields with farmers and homes and hospitals with civilians are not of military importance. And yet, Russia keeps shooting them. The truth is Putin'…
That’s true of course, but from my understanding the main problem at the moment is exporting the grain, not production of said grain.
No, growing is definitely going to be an issue, as is storing it because Russia has been targeting Grain silos, too.
The transportation aspect is a critical issue, too, but one would like to think that as Russia is being pushed back to the border that the center and West will be able to transport to Poland/Romania to enter EU markets by the time harvest occurs in the Fall.
The main issue is that Russia keeps attacking civilian targets as well as Military ones, the recent bombing in Lviv also struck and damaged the trains [0].
Again, the sanctions on Russian oil need to be swift and deceive if this is going to stop anytime soon, they are losing nearly $1 billion per day of the illegal war in Ukraine. This only possible because of the few EU nations holding out on a total withdraw from Russian energy. I get the implications are dire, but this is the reality of countries like Germany and Italy building their entire economies around Russian energy, but this is what will shift the West to renewables more than anything else in my lifetime. So, short term pain but long term thinking needs to be put into place.
Summer is here, and it's already clear to me that it's no different than what we've had since COVID started the numbers look remarkably the same and the recession is showing.
I just hope that we make progress in this area and we can justify the last 3 years by making a massive leap towards renewable energy being at the core of energy useage.